Real Madrid vs Crvena Zvezda Prediction, Picks, Odds, News, Injury Report, 29/3/24

Real Madrid, having secured a first-place finish, can now focus on preparing for the playoffs as they welcome the already-eliminated Crvena Zvezda. Zvezda is playing for pride, so there is no pressure on either side. Our Real Madrid vs Crvena Zvezda prediction is for Real Madrid to cover the 12.5 spread. Real are favorites with an implied probability of 90.9% to win this one at 1.10 odds, while Crvena Zvezda is available at 7.25 odds. The point spread is +/-12.5 points and the total points line is at 165.5.

Real Madrid will face Crvena Zvezda on Friday night at the WiZink Center, in Madrid, Spain. For more Euroleague picks from Agbeniga Ayobami and other basketball experts, visit our Expert Insights section.

Real Madrid vs Crvena Zvezda Prediction, Picks: Zvezda do not have enough 

• Selection: Real Madrid -12.5
• Odds: 1.90
• Bookmaker: Bet365
• Stake: 5/10

Odds available as of 27th March 2024. Odds may now differ. 

Real Madrid has already secured its playoff berth and Crvena Zvezda already out of contention, there’s little pressure on either team. Real’s head coach, Chus Mateo, is expected to share playing time across his roster, giving opportunities for newer players to showcase their skills and vie for regular minutes.

Given Zvezda’s limited success on the road this season, with just three wins away from home, it’s reasonable to expect Real Madrid to cover the spread comfortably in this matchup, regardless of the circumstances.

Game Info

• Date: Friday, March 28th, 2024
• Time: 20:30 (CET)
• Arena:  WiZink Center.
• Location: Madrid, Spain.

Real Madrid Injury Report, Team News, Schedule

Real Madrid recorded a decisive 76-88 victory over Partizan on Thursday at Stark Arena, securing first place with a season record of 25-6. Mario Hezonja led the charge with an impressive 25 points, fueled by his sharp shooting from beyond the arc.

Despite injuries sidelining Sergio Llull Melià and leaving Sergio Rodríguez questionable, Real’s head coach Chus Mateo is expected to utilize his roster depth, potentially granting substantial minutes to 18-year-old forward Hugo Gonzalez. Gonzalez, who recently turned 18, was superb defensively against James Nunnally, stepping up when called upon late in the first half.

Real Madrid boasts league-leading statistics across various categories, including average team performance index rating (PIR) at 106.9 per game, scoring 88.5 points per game, assists at 20.5 per game, rebounding at 36.6 per game, defensive rebounds at 26.8 per game, and blocks with 3.5 per game.

Additionally, they rank second in two-point shooting accuracy at 57.7%. Defensively, Real has stifled opponents with the lowest two-point shooting percentage allowed at 50.7% and the second-lowest three-point shooting percentage allowed at 32.9%.

Real Madrid Next 2 Games

• April 4th vs Baskonia
• April 11th vs Zalgiris

Crvena Zvezda Injury Report, Team News, Schedule

Crvena Zvezda will seek to end their season on a positive note following last week’s impressive victory over Virtus Bologna. They halted a six-game losing streak with a commanding 94-79 home win, led by Nemanja Nedovic’s 25 points and 7 assists. Joel Bolomboy contributed 15 points, while Milos Teodosic and Dejan Davidovic added 11 each, with Luka Mitrovic scoring 10. Notably, Zvezda set a club record with 30 assists, matching the third-highest total in the EuroLeague this season.

With their EuroLeague journey already concluded for the season, Crvena Zvezda plays solely for pride in this matchup. They boast averages of 81.6 points, 34.7 rebounds, 18.6 assists, 6.9 steals, 2.5 blocks, and a 90.0 performance index rating (PIR). Additionally, they rank second in offensive rebounding with 11.9 per game.

However, Nikola Topic is doubtful due to a knee injury, while Yago Dos Santos is sidelined with multiple injuries. Branko Lazic is expected to return to action after missing the last round due to illness.

Crvena Zvezda Next 2 games

• April 4th vs Olympiakos
• April 11th vs Anadolu Efes

Real Madrid vs Crvena Zvezda Trends

• Real Madrid has a 13-2 record playing at home.
• Crvena Zvezda has a 3-12 record playing away from home.
• Real Madrid is 25-6 SU.
• Crvena Zvezda is 11-20 SU.

Real Madrid vs Crvena Zvezda H2H 

Real Madrid holds a favorable 11-5 record over Crvena Zvezda in their head-to-head matchups. Last season in Belgrade, Real secured a convincing 79-59 victory, with Walter Tavares delivering a stellar performance of 17 points, 12 rebounds, and 4 blocks, earning him the MVP of the Round award.

However, Crvena Zvezda has also had memorable moments against Real Madrid. In December 2017, they achieved a remarkable 87-83 road win, fueled by a club-record 17 three-pointers. Additionally, Zvezda’s single-game record for two-pointers made stands at 11, a feat that Alen Omic accomplished against Real Madrid in March 2018.

In terms of individual performances, Dejan Davidovac of Zvezda had a career-best 9 rebounds in a match against Real Madrid in November 2021, despite ending in a loss for his team.

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