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Boxing NBA Betting Value Report Cards: Which Teams Are The Value Bets This NBA Season?
What are the best outright bets for the upcoming NBA season? With the season right around the corner, we have ranked all 30 teams based on their betting value in the outright markets and against the spread.
How do our NBA 2021/22 Value Report Cards work?
The report cards reflect how we expect each NBA team to performance compared to bookmaker expectations. We are not ranking teams simply on how well we think they will perform this season. For example, a team may be favourites to win the title and they will almost certainly be in the mix come playoff time. But the question is, do that team’s odds to win the title represent any value?
We are looking for teams we think could surprise everyone, including the bookmakers, either by over performing or under performing against bookmaker expectations this season and give you the best return on your investment.
It’s All About Value
- A and B grades are the best of the value in NBA outright markets. A grades are the NBA teams we think will out perform the market the most, while B grades we will also exceed market expectations.
- C and D grades offer some value but we more or less consider bookmaker expectations for these teams as accurate. We see C grades marginally exceeding the market while D grades will perform just below market expectations.
- E and F grades are the worst of the value. We see these teams significantly underachieving relative to bookmaker odds this NBA season. We recommend betting against these NBA clubs in outright markets.
Based on these value grades, we have listed the best bets for the upcoming NBA season at the end of this article.
All odds featured in this article are as listed at 12th October 2021. Odds may now differ.
So let’s get into it. The 2021/22 NBA Betting Value Report Cards.
Jump to:
- The A Grades
- The B Grades
- The C Grades
- The D Grades
- The E Grades
- The F Grades
- Best Bets for the 2021/22 NBA season
The A Grades
Phoenix Suns: A+
Phoenix Suns 2021-22 Probabilities Based on Bookmaker Odds
After a decade of mediocrity, the Phoenix Suns finally made a playoffs appearance in 2020/21 and made it all the way to the finals. Unfortunately, they lost to the Milwaukee Bucks in 6 games. They took the 2-0 lead, but a mixture of injuries and inexperience saw them lose 4 games in a row, costing them the title.
It’s safe to say punters got their money’s worth out of this team last year. They were in the top 5 in offensive rating at 117.2 and 9th in defensive rating at 111.3. The Suns finished 2nd in the Western Conference with 51 wins on the season, and the bookies have them to win over 51.5 at 1.90 odds. They are also 5th in line to win the NBA title at 17.00 odds and the Western Conference at 8.50.
The Phoenix Suns have a dangerous team with a solid balance of passing, shooting and defence. Their squad is well-suited both for cruising through the regular season and grinding out wins in drawn-out playoffs series. With Devin Booker, Chris Paul, Deandre Ayton powering their offence, they are a dangerous team in the Western Conference and their odds in the outright markets give bettors excellent value.
Phoenix Suns Best Bet
The Suns easily won 51 games last year in a shortened season, and the signing of Javale McGee will help with their interior defence and rebounding. The Suns had a win percentage last year of 70.8%. Even if their percentage drops by 10%, they will still win 54 games this season. This is why Over 51.5 wins for the Suns at 2.05 odds provides excellent value.
| PHOENIX SUNS NBA ODDS 2021 | bet365 ODDS |
|---|---|
| TO WIN CHAMPIONSHIP | 17.0 |
| TO WIN CONFERENCE | 8.50 |
| TO WIN DIVISION | 3.20 |
| TO MAKE PLAYOFFS | 1.033 |
| OVER 51.5 WINS | 1.90 |
| UNDER 51.5 WINS | 1.83 |
Odds at bet365 as at October 12th 2021. Odds may now differ.
Milwaukee Bucks: A
Milwaukee Bucks 2021-22 Probabilities Based on Bookmaker Odds
The Milwaukee Bucks are the defending NBA champions and are third in line to win it all this year at 10.00 odds. They won their first title last year since 1971, and their superstar forward Giannis Antetokounmpo won the finals MVP award. The Bucks had an excellent team with solid defence and even better offence. They were 10th in the NBA in defensive rating at 111.4 and 6th in offensive rating at 117.2. But what’s most impressive is they got the job done with just one superstar. No one expected them to win an NBA title last year, and they are still underrated coming into this one.
Their team has remained largely the same, but the addition of Grayson Allen to the team will help their perimeter defence, which was their biggest weak point last year, allowing opponents to shoot 38.4% from behind the line.
The bookmakers have them to win more than 55.5 games this year at 1.90 odds, which doesn’t provide a lot of value. Backing them to win the Eastern Conference is however a solid option at 4.25 odds, as their biggest competitors are the Nets and 76ers. They are also worth backing to win the NBA title again given the odds to their name, and the fact they have proven they can adapt to the playoffs and by slowing the game down, along with finding easy points in defensive-oriented games.
The bookies have them to win more than 55.5 games at 1.90 odds, to win the Eastern Conference at 4.25 and to win the Division at 1.10. They were poor ATS (Against the Spread) last season (32-40), but they have excellent chances in every market, and most importantly, the title race.
Milwaukee Bucks Bets Bet
The Bucks are an excellent team coming off an excellent title performance and I have them to win the Eastern Conference at 4.25 odds.
| MILWAUKEE BUCKS NBA ODDS 2021 | bet365 ODDS |
|---|---|
| TO WIN CHAMPIONSHIP | 9.0 |
| TO WIN CONFERENCE | 4.25 |
| TO WIN DIVISION | 1.10 |
| TO MAKE PLAYOFFS | 1.005 |
| OVER 55.5 WINS | 1.90 |
| UNDER 55.5 WINS | 1.83 |
Odds at bet365 as at October 12th 2021. Odds may now differ.
New York Knicks: A
New York Knicks 2021-22 Probabilities Based on Bookmaker Odds
The New York Knicks finished last season 4th in the Eastern Conference with 41 wins and made the playoffs for the first time since 2012/13. They were one of the best defensive teams in the NBA with a rating of 108.2 (3rd) and Tom Thibodeau is doing an excellent job turning this team around. In fact, they were one of the worst defensive teams in the league just the year before, and even worse offensively.
The Knicks made the first step in turning their team into a competitive powerhouse, but there is still a lot of work to do. The Knicks were eliminated by the Hawks in 5 games, and their offensive chemistry was nowhere to be found. In fact, the Knicks were second to last in assists per game last year with 21.4, and they were 26th in points per game with 107.0.
The addition of Kemba Walker and Evan Fournier to their roster should help with their offensive troubles. Their young stars in RJ Barret and Mitchell Robinson will have developed their skills even more during the offseason, and the Knicks will likely surprise a lot of people this year. They are available at 61.0 odds to win the NBA title, 29.00 to win the conference, and 26.00 to win the Atlantic division. The bookies have them to win more than 41.5 games at 1.84 odds.
The Knicks have a nice mixture of young talent and experienced veterans. Their defensive-minded culture, their scoring potential, and their odds in the outright markets make them one of the best teams in terms of betting value. The potential is huge, and they could even be title contenders in the next few years if they continue developing.
New York Knicks Best Bet
The Atlantic Division is looking wide open because the Nets and 76ers are having serious roster issues with Simmons and Irving. The New York Knicks are valued at 26.00 odds to win the division and they may just make it happen.
| NEW YORK KNICKS NBA ODDS 2021 | bet365 ODDS |
|---|---|
| TO WIN CHAMPIONSHIP | 61.0 |
| TO WIN CONFERENCE | 29.0 |
| TO WIN DIVISION | 26.0 |
| TO MAKE PLAYOFFS | 1.58 |
| OVER 42.5 WINS | 1.90 |
| UNDER 42.5 WINS | 1.83 |
Odds at bet365 as at October 12th 2021. Odds may now differ.
Memphis Grizzlies: A
Memphis Grizzlies 2021-22 Probabilities Based on Bookmaker Odds
The Memphis Grizzlies finished last season with 38 wins and made the playoffs after a 3-year break. Unfortunately, they faced the Utah Jazz in the first round and were bounced in 5 games. Their team performed well throughout the season and regained their identity as a tough defensive powerhouse. In fact, they were 6th in defensive rating last season, with 111.0, 1st in steals and 4th in total rebounds.
However, it was evident that this team still has a lot of work to do, as their offensive performance was average at best. The Grizzlies were 15th in offensive rating with 112.0, 18th in field-goal percentage, and 15th in points scored with 113.3. They will be looking forward to the return of Jarren Jackson this season, and Steven Adams will also be valuable in the pick-and-roll.
The Grizzlies are valued at 1.83 odds to win more than 41.5 games next year, at 81.0 to win the NBA title, and at 34.00 to win the Western Conference. They are also available to win the Southwest Division at 5.25 odds and 2.15 to make the playoffs.
The Grizzlies have a solid team this season, and their offensive issues should be alleviated with the return of Josh Jackson. They provide a lot of value in almost every market because of their playing style and the odds to their name. The only market they don’t have a realistic shot to win is the NBA title, which is why I have no problem giving them a slightly weaker A.
Memphis Grizzlies Best Bet
I expect the Grizzlies to be even better this season and make another playoffs appearance at 2.15 odds.
| MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES NBA ODDS 2021 | bet365 ODDS |
|---|---|
| TO WIN CHAMPIONSHIP | 81.0 |
| TO WIN CONFERENCE | 34.0 |
| TO WIN DIVISION | 5.25 |
| TO MAKE PLAYOFFS | 2.15 |
| OVER 41.5 WINS | 1.83 |
| UNDER 41.5 WINS | 1.90 |
Odds at bet365 as at October 12th 2021. Odds may now differ.
The B Grades
Miami Heat: B+
Miami Heat 2021-22 Probabilities Based on Bookmaker Odds
The Miami Heat made another finals appearance in 2019/20 after a 6-year wait but were bested by the LA Lakers in 6 games. They won 40 regular-season games last year and finished 6th in the Eastern Conference standings. Despite being one of the best defensive teams in the NBA, the Miami Heat struggled in the playoffs and their offensive weaknesses were brought to light. They were below average in almost all offensive categories all season and struggled to find easy baskets against a tough Bucks team, resulting in a 0-4 elimination.
However, the arrival of Kyle Lowry and the eventual return of Victor Oladipo to their squad will have a positive effect on their shooting and playmaking. Lowry is an experienced point guard, capable of sharing the ball and shooting from deep, and will be a valuable asset for the Heat this season.
The Heat are nowhere near favourites to win the NBA title this season and are available at 21.00 odds to make it happen. They are valued at 10.00 odds to win the Eastern Conference and at 1.83 to win more than 48.5 games. Because of their solid defence, along with their offensive potential this year, I believe the Heat will fare much better this season compared to last. Oladipo and Lorwry will give them some much-needed spacing and speed. The Heat were the second-slowest team in the league last year, and I expect them to improve significantly. I don’t think they will win the NBA title, but they will be competitive in the Eastern Conference, and if they show a more free-flowing offence, they will definitely be worth backing in the playoffs.
Miami Heat Best Bet
I expect the Heat to have a much better season in 2021/.22, and I have them to win Over 48.5 games at 1.83 odds.
| MIAMI HEAT NBA ODDS 2021 | bet365 ODDS |
|---|---|
| TO WIN CHAMPIONSHIP | 21.0 |
| TO WIN CONFERENCE | 10.0 |
| TO WIN DIVISION | 1.83 |
| TO MAKE PLAYOFFS | 1.10 |
| OVER 48.5 WINS | 1.83 |
| UNDER 48.5 WINS | 1.90 |
Odds at bet365 as at October 12th 2021. Odds may now differ.
Golden State Warriors: B
Golden State Warriors 2021-22 Probabilities Based on Bookmaker Odds
With odds as high as 15.50 to win the NBA championship this year, the Golden State Warriors are fourth favourites to go all the way. Despite failing to make the playoffs in the last two seasons, the Warriors are still one of the best teams in the league and are more than capable of making a comeback.
The Warriors won more than half of their games last season (39) and made it to the play-in tournament, but the Western Conference was extremely competitive and they missed out on the playoffs. The biggest reason behind this was their offensive performance. The absence of Klay Thompson negatively impacted their ability to stretch the floor and create easy opportunities for the rest of their shooters. In fact, the Warriors were mediocre in field goal percentage and points per game but were also one of the worst teams in turnovers with 15.0 per game.
That said, their defence was in the top 5 in the NBA and they like a fast-paced style of basketball. Klay Thompson is expected to make his return around Christmas, leaving enough time to shake off the rust and get back in his form for the playoffs. The Warriors are available at 1.90 odds to win more than 47.5 games next year and 6.50 to win the Western Conference. Whichever market you choose, the Warriors provide solid value this year, and I have no problem giving them a solid B.
Golden State Warriors Best Bet
I have the Warriors to win over 48.5 games at 1.90 odds.
| GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS NBA ODDS 2021 | bet365 ODDS |
|---|---|
| TO WIN CHAMPIONSHIP | 13.0 |
| TO WIN CONFERENCE | 6.50 |
| TO WIN DIVISION | 6.50 |
| TO MAKE PLAYOFFS | 1.15 |
| OVER 48.5 WINS | 1.90 |
| UNDER 48.5 WINS | 1.83 |
Odds at bet365 as at October 12th 2021. Odds may now differ.
The C Grades
Los Angeles Lakers: C+
LA Lakers 2021-22 Probabilities Based on Bookmaker Odds
The Los Angeles Lakers are second favourites to win the NBA title in 2021/22 at 4.33 odds. They won the title in 2019/20 in the ‘bubble’ with exceptional defence and even better teamwork. But last season saw the Lakers struggle to win games, especially in the playoffs. Though their defence improved even more, and they were 1st in the NBA in defensive rating, their offence struggled to find points. They were 24th in the league in offensive rating, and their shooting percentages were mediocre at best.
But with the help of Russel Westbrook, Wayne Ellington, Malik Monk, Rajon Rondo and Carmelo Anthony, they hope to find a balance between their defence and playmaking. However, the question remains how the pieces they acquired will fit together, especially considering Westbrook’s playstyle.
The bookmakers hold the Lakers in high regard. Though I think they will perform a lot better compared to last year, and their team is built to adapt to the playoffs, backing them doesn’t provide too much room for value considering their position with the bookies. They are a better candidate to back than the Nets but are by no means a dark horse team.
LA Lakers Best Bet
The Lakers will make a jump this season, and the best bet is Over 53.5 at 1.86 odds.
| LA LAKERS NBA ODDS 2021 | bet365 ODDS |
|---|---|
| TO WIN CHAMPIONSHIP | 4.33 |
| TO WIN CONFERENCE | 2.90 |
| TO WIN DIVISION | 1.86 |
| TO MAKE PLAYOFFS | 1.033 |
| OVER 53.5 WINS | 1.86 |
| UNDER 53.5 WINS | 1.86 |
Odds at bet365 as at October 12th 2021. Odds may now differ.
Charlotte Hornets: C+
Charlotte Hornets 2021-22 Probabilities Based on Bookmaker Odds
The Charlotte Hornets won 33 games last season and finished 10th in the Eastern Conference. Although they were far from perfect, their young core showed that they are ready to take the next step and become a solid team in the Eastern Conference.
The Hornets were just over even ATS last year with a record of 36-35-1 and they are available to win more than 38.5 games this year at 1.90 odds. They are also available at 2.70 to make the playoffs and provide excellent value in both markets. Of course, they won’t be competitive in the title, division and conference outright markets, but their record against the spread and the odds to their name are more than enough to grant them a strong C.
Charlotte Hornets Best Bet
I have the Hornets to make the playoffs at 2.70 odds.
| CHARLOTTE HORNETS NBA ODDS 2021 | bet365 ODDS |
|---|---|
| TO WIN CHAMPIONSHIP | 101.0 |
| TO WIN CONFERENCE | 41.0 |
| TO WIN DIVISION | 16.0 |
| TO MAKE PLAYOFFS | 2.70 |
| OVER 38.5 WINS | 1.90 |
| UNDER 38.5 WINS | 1.83 |
Odds at bet365 as at October 12th 2021. Odds may now differ.
Denver Nuggets: C+
Denver Nuggets 2021-22 Probabilities Based on Bookmaker Odds
The Denver Nuggets are 7th in line to lift the NBA title in 2021/22 at 19.00 odds, and 5th to win the west at 11.00. They had a solid campaign in the regular season last year with 47 wins and finished 3rd in the Western Conference. Unfortunately, they suffered another early playoff exit courtesy of the Phoenix Suns in the conference semi-finals. They were swept in that series and were unable to contain Devin Booker nor Chris Paul.
The Nuggets were a very solid team throughout the regular season, with elite offence and average defence on a consistent basis. However, once the playoffs come around, the Nuggets aren’t able to increase their defensive effort, and their offence isn’t able to find easy scoring opportunities when under pressure. At the moment, they are a solid team that performs well during the regular season, but they need to make the next step in order to compete in the playoffs.
However, they faced the Suns without Jamal Murray, and Aaron Gordon was still new to the team. I expect their chemistry to increase after a full season together, and Gordon to be a key piece in their team going forward, along with Jokic, Murray and Porter Jr. The bookmakers have them to win over 48.5 games at 1.90 odds, and I expect them to win around 50 this year. The biggest question is whether backing them in the playoffs is a good idea. Barring any injuries and unexpected setbacks, I believe Denver will have another solid season with a much better playoffs performance than last year. Defence was their biggest issue last season, and we will have to wait and see how coach Malone adjusts this time around.
Denver Nuggets Best Bet
This is a risky one, but the potential return is tempting. I have the Nuggets to win the Northwestern Division at 4.25 odds
| DENVER NUGGETS NBA ODDS 2021 | bet365 ODDS |
|---|---|
| TO WIN CHAMPIONSHIP | 19.0 |
| TO WIN CONFERENCE | 9.50 |
| TO WIN DIVISION | 4.25 |
| TO MAKE PLAYOFFS | 1.14 |
| OVER 48.5 WINS | 1.90 |
| UNDER 48.5 WINS | 1.83 |
Odds at bet365 as at October 12th 2021. Odds may now differ.
Minnesota Timberwolves: C+
Minnesota Timberwolves 2021-22 Probabilities Based on Bookmaker Odds
The Minnesota Timberwolves struggled in yet another season and finished with just 23 wins on the year. They were 13th in the Western Conference and nowhere near playoff contention. The Wolves were one of the worst teams in the league in both offence and defence with a NET rating of -5.4 (26th in NBA).
They are sure to improve this season, but the bookies have them to win more than 35.5 games this year at 1.86 odds. They are also available to win the Northwest Division at 101.00 and to make the playoffs at 6.50.
The Wolves don’t provide much betting value this season apart from the total wins market. They certainly won’t win the division or make the playoffs with this team, but they have a realistic shot to improve their win total. Of course, an improvement of 13 games from one year to the next is a tall task, but the Wolves underperformed last season and changed their head coach midway through the season.
Minnesota Timberwolves Best Bet
I expect the Wolves to fare better than last year. Take them to win over 35.5 games at 1.86.
| MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES NBA ODDS 2021 | bet365 ODDS |
|---|---|
| TO WIN CHAMPIONSHIP | 201.0 |
| TO WIN CONFERENCE | 71.0 |
| TO WIN DIVISION | 101.0 |
| TO MAKE PLAYOFFS | 6.50 |
| OVER 35.5 WINS | 1.86 |
| UNDER 35.5 WINS | 1.86 |
Odds at bet365 as at October 12th 2021. Odds may now differ.
Atlanta Hawks: C
Atlanta Hawks 2021-22 Probabilities Based on Bookmaker Odds
The Atlanta Hawks won 41 games last year, even with a coaching change midway through the season, and were one of the best-attacking teams in the NBA. However, defence was their biggest weakness, and they were 21st in the league in that regard, with a rating of 113.3.
But the Hawks flourished under Nate McMillan in 38 games, winning 27 and losing just 11. They also had a very successful playoff run, eliminating the 76ers and making the conference finals. Unfortunately, the Hawks weren’t yet ready to play at the highest level and lost to the Bucks by 2-4 in the Eastern Conference Finals, after a respectable effort.
The Hawks are available at 1.76 odds to win more than 46.5 games, at 41.00 to win the NBA title and 19.00 to win the Eastern Conference. They are also valued at 2.25 odds to win the Southeast Division. The Hawks don’t provide much value in regular-season betting, but they quickly became a solid defensive team under McMillan, and are ready to surprise everyone in the playoffs. They also have a solid chance to win the division, which is why I have no problem giving them a solid C.
Atlanta Hawks Best Bet
The Atlanta Hawks proved to be an excellent team last year, and they should improve, especially on the defensive end. The 2.25 odds to win the Southeast Division are very tempting, and this is the best bet.
| ATLANTA HAWKS NBA ODDS 2021 | bet365 ODDS |
|---|---|
| TO WIN CHAMPIONSHIP | 41.0 |
| TO WIN CONFERENCE | 19.0 |
| TO WIN DIVISION | 2.25 |
| TO MAKE PLAYOFFS | 1.19 |
| OVER 46.5 WINS | 1.76 |
| UNDER 46.5 WINS | 2.0 |
Odds at bet365 as at October 12th 2021. Odds may now differ.
Chicago Bulls: C
Chicago Bulls 2021-22 Probabilities Based on Bookmaker Odds
The Chicago Bulls were below average lasts season, winning 31 games, and finishing 11th in the Eastern Conference standings. They missed the playoffs for the fourth year in a row, and are looking to finally bounce back in the coming season.
The Bulls weren’t a bad team, but they just needed additional scoring options. They acquired Alex Caruso, DeMar DeRozan, and Nikola Vucevic since March, and are ready to fight for the playoffs again. They were average in terms of pace last year, and I expect this to change given their current roster and their defensive effort to increase dramatically.
But the main question is how much betting value this team provides. The bookmakers have them to win more than 42.5 games at 1.76 odds, to win the Eastern Conference at 29.00 and to win the NBA title at 71.00 odds. The Bulls are also available to win the Central Division at 11.00 odds. The regular-season numbers are not worth backing given the odds, but the Bulls will be a serious team this season and they will make significant improvements compared to last year. Namely, they will have multiple scoring options and a much deeper bench than last year, making them shoe-ins for the playoffs. But because the bookmakers also expect them to make the same jump, their value grade is a C.
Chicago Bulls Best Bet
The Bulls will be a much better team compared to last year, and I think they can make the playoffs this year at 1.55 odds.
| CHICAGO BULLS NBA ODDS 2021 | bet365 ODDS |
|---|---|
| TO WIN CHAMPIONSHIP | 71.0 |
| TO WIN CONFERENCE | 29.0 |
| TO WIN DIVISION | 11.0 |
| TO MAKE PLAYOFFS | 1.55 |
| OVER 42.5 WINS | 1.76 |
| UNDER 42.5 WINS | 2.0 |
Odds at bet365 as at October 12th 2021. Odds may now differ.
Indiana Pacers: C
Indiana Pacers 2021-22 Probabilities Based on Bookmaker Odds
After 5 consecutive playoff appearances in a row, the Indiana Pacers failed to make it to the playoff tournament last season with 34 wins. The Pacers were average in both offence and defence, but they played a very fast-paced style of basketball with lots of shooting and were 6th in the NBA in points scored per game with 115.3.
With a healthy team this year, the Pacers should improve significantly upon their total games won, and the bookies have them to win more than 43.5 at 1.90 odds. They are available at 1.55 odds to make the playoffs, and 12.00 to win the Central Division.
When it comes to value, the Pacers have a realistic chance of winning more than 42 games, and they should make the playoffs if they manage to avoid injuries. But they don’t provide much value in other markets, and their short odds to make the playoffs force me to place them among the average performers.
Indiana Pacers Best Bet
With a healthy team this year, I expect the Pacers to win more than 43.5 games at 1.90 odds.
| INDIANA PACERS NBA ODDS 2021 | bet365 ODDS |
|---|---|
| TO WIN CHAMPIONSHIP | 81.0 |
| TO WIN CONFERENCE | 29.0 |
| TO WIN DIVISION | 12.0 |
| TO MAKE PLAYOFFS | 1.55 |
| OVER 43.5 WINS | 1.90 |
| UNDER 43.5 WINS | 1.83 |
Odds at bet365 as at October 12th 2021. Odds may now differ.
Sacramento Kings: C-
Sacramento Kings 2021-22 Probabilities Based on Bookmaker Odds
The Sacramento Kings were the worst defensive team in the NBA last season with a rating of 117.2. However, their offense was solid, scoring 113.7 points per game, and the Kings finished 12th in the Western Conference with 31 wins.
The Kings haven’t made the playoffs since 2005/06, and they are unlikely to provide value in the title, conference-winner or division-winner markets. However, winning more than 36.5 games at 1.95 odds is a realistic goal, and the Kings could make it happen. They were also in the middle of the league last year against the spread, and I have no problem giving them a weaker C.
Sacramento Kings Best Bet
Although I don’t expect the Kings to be amazing this season, the 1.95 odds on Over 36.5 wins are very tempting and I think that this is the best bet.
| SACRAMENTO KINGS NBA ODDS 2021 | bet365 ODDS |
|---|---|
| TO WIN CHAMPIONSHIP | 201.0 |
| TO WIN CONFERENCE | 81.0 |
| TO WIN DIVISION | 151.0 |
| TO MAKE PLAYOFFS | 4.75 |
| OVER 36.5 WINS | 1.95 |
| UNDER 36.5 WINS | 1.80 |
Odds at bet365 as at October 12th 2021. Odds may now differ.
The D Grades
Boston Celtics: D+
Boston Celtics 2021-22 Probabilities Based on Bookmaker Odds
The Boston Celtics finished the 2020/21 season 7th in the Eastern Conference and had another unsuccessful playoffs appearance, losing by 1-4 to the Brooklyn Nets in the first round. They were an average team throughout the season and looked a step behind compared to previous years largely due to injuries or other health issues.
But new head coach Ime Udoka is set to transform their defensive schemes, and lift the Celtics up from the middle of the league in defensive rating (14th). Offence was also a problem last year, as they were near the bottom of the league in assists, field goal percentage and free-throws made.
The Celtics certainly have a good team, with a nice mix of experienced vets and young talent. Depth is their biggest asset at this point, and they have the potential to significantly improve upon their 36 wins from last season. The bookies have them to win more than 46.5 games at 1.86 odds, to win the east at 17.00 and the NBA title at 34.00 odds.
That said, the Celtics don’t provide much value in either market and should be backed with a dose of caution. I expect them to win between 43 games, and to make the playoffs again. They provide some, but not too much betting value this season, which is why they are given a D+.
Boston Celtics Best Bet
I have the Celtics to win fewer than 46.5 games at 1.85 odds.
| BOSTON CELTICS NBA ODDS 2021 | bet365 ODDS |
|---|---|
| TO WIN CHAMPIONSHIP | 34.0 |
| TO WIN CONFERENCE | 17.0 |
| TO WIN DIVISION | 11.0 |
| TO MAKE PLAYOFFS | 1.18 |
| OVER 46.5 WINS | 1.86 |
| UNDER 46.5 WINS | 1.86 |
Odds at bet365 as at October 12th 2021. Odds may now differ.
Brooklyn Nets: D
Brooklyn Nets 2021-22 Probabilities Based on Bookmaker Odds
The Brooklyn Nets are considered favourites to win the NBA title in the coming season at 3.30 odds and the Eastern Conference at 2.15. But based on their performance last season and the overall structure of their team, it’s better to wait and see if they make any significant changes. It’s true that the Nets were the best offensive team last season with a rating of 118.3, and were 2nd in points per game with 118.6. It’s also true that they shared the ball well, finishing 7th in assists per game, and 2nd in three-point percentage.
That said, my concerns about this team are at the other end of the court. The Nets were 23rd in defensive rating last season and 21st in points allowed per game with 114.1. They were also average in defending 3-point attempts, and 21st in defensive rebound percentage.
The Nets are available at 1.90 odds to win more than 56.5 games, and 1.33 to win the Atlantic Division. A lot is expected of this team, and betting on them simply isn’t worthwhile. They were solid against the spread last season with a record of 38-34, but they have a higher chance of underperforming than improving this year.
Brooklyn Nets Best Bet
I don’t expect Brooklyn to be as good as the bookies think, and I have them Under 56.5 wins at 1.83 odds.
| BROOKLYN NETS NBA ODDS 2021 | bet365 ODDS |
|---|---|
| TO WIN CHAMPIONSHIP | 3.30 |
| TO WIN CONFERENCE | 2.05 |
| TO WIN DIVISION | 1.33 |
| TO MAKE PLAYOFFS | 1.002 |
| OVER 56.5 WINS | 1.90 |
| UNDER 56.5 WINS | 1.83 |
Odds at bet365 as at October 12th 2021. Odds may now differ.
Los Angeles Clippers: D
LA Clippers 2021-22 Probabilities Based on Bookmaker Odds
The Los Angeles Clippers have made the playoffs in 9 of the last 10 seasons, but have seen little success in each appearance. They made the conference finals last season, only to be eliminated by the Phoenix Suns in 6 games. The absence of Kawhi Leonard crippled the Clippers and prevented them from ever threatening the Suns’ road to the finals. Leonard is expected to come back to the floor sometime this season, but he will likely miss a large chunk of the regular season.
The Clippers were one of the best teams in the NBA last year, playing well on both sides of the court. They were 4th in offensive rating at 117.6 and 8th in defensive rating at 111.2. They were 1st in the league in 3-point percentage and 4th in fewest points allowed per game. The Los Angeles Clippers have a solid and well-balanced squad that can play in both parts of the season. The bookies have them to win their first-ever NBA championship title at 15.00 odds, and to win the west at 7.50. They are available to win more than 46.5 games at 2.05 odds this year.
However, with one of their two biggest stars likely out for the majority of the season, the Clippers don’t provide much value, even at such long odds. Leonard is expected to return late in the regular season, and won’t be able to help with their regular-season win total. But backing them in the playoffs may prove to be the best idea. They should have their entire squad healthy at that point, and will likely be underdogs facing the top teams in the west with very long odds. The underdogs usually have value, especially if they are a solid team, which is why I have them as a D.
Los Angeles Clippers Best Bet
With the current state of the team, taking Under 46.5 wins on the Clippers at 1.74 odds in a tough Western Conference looks like the best offer.
| LA CLIPPERS NBA ODDS 2021 | bet365 ODDS |
|---|---|
| TO WIN CHAMPIONSHIP | 15.0 |
| TO WIN CONFERENCE | 7.50 |
| TO WIN DIVISION | 9.0 |
| TO MAKE PLAYOFFS | 1.29 |
| OVER 46.5 WINS | 2.05 |
| UNDER 46.5 WINS | 1.74 |
Odds at bet365 as at October 12th 2021. Odds may now differ.
Utah Jazz: D
Utah Jazz 2021-22 Probabilities Based on Bookmaker Odds
The Utah Jazz won 52 games last year and finished atop the Western Conference for the first time since 1997/98. However, they saw yet another early elimination, this time at the hands of the Los Angeles Clippers in 6 games. After taking the 2-0 lead in the series, the Jazz lost 4 games in a row and their defence was completely ineffective, allowing the Clippers to score at will.
The Utah Jazz were the best team in the NBA during the regular season last year, and their defence performed at an elite level as always, with a rating of 108.3 (4th in NBA). Their offence was even better, scoring 116.4 points per game (4th in the league) and a rating of 117.6. They were an unstoppable force during the regular season, which is why their performance in the playoffs was disappointing, to say the least.
The bookmakers have them to win more than 52.5 at 1.83 odds. They are also available to win the Western Conference at 7.0 0dds, and the NBA championship at 15.00 odds.
Not much value in backing them during the regular season considering their odds, and their track record doesn’t suggest they will make a sudden surge in the playoffs. They brought in Rudy Gay and Hassan Whiteside this offseason, but we will have to see how they perform before making a decision. The Jazz were superb against the spread last season with a record of 41-30-1, but I don’t expect to see a repeat of that.
Utah Jazz Best Bet
The Western Conference will be very tough this year, and I have the Jazz at Under 52.5 wins at 1.90 odds
| UTAH JAZZ NBA ODDS 2021 | bet365 ODDS |
|---|---|
| TO WIN CHAMPIONSHIP | 15.0 |
| TO WIN CONFERENCE | 7.0 |
| TO WIN DIVISION | 1.38 |
| TO MAKE PLAYOFFS | 1.02 |
| OVER 52.5 WINS | 1.83 |
| UNDER 52.5 WINS | 1.90 |
Odds at bet365 as at October 12th 2021. Odds may now differ.
Philadelphia 76ers: D-
Philadelphia 76ers 2021-22 Probabilities Based on Bookmaker Odds
The Philadelphia 76ers have put trust in ‘the process’ for years now, and the team has made 4 playoffs appearances in the last 5 years. However, they haven’t seen much success out of their investment, and are currently at a breaking point. With the team’s biggest success being elimination in the conference semi-finals three times and one first-round exit, the team is at a crossroads and looking to make moves.
Last season, the 76ers won 49 games in the regular season under Doc Rivers and started their campaign on the right note. However, they went to 7 games against a Hawks team that hadn’t made the playoffs since 2017/18. They lost, and the team has dealt with serious chemistry issues since.
They are valued at 21.00 odds to win the NBA title this year, and at 9.50 to win the Eastern Conference. No real value in backing them in either market. The Bucks, Nets, and Hawks are better candidates to win the east, and it’s safe to say their title aspirations won’t come to fruition this year. They are available at 1.95 odds to win more than 50.5 games next season, but with the controversy surrounding the team regarding Ben Simmons, it’s difficult to imagine them being a very cohesive team at the moment.
Philadelphia 76ers Best Bet
Given the current state of the team, I have the 76ers at Under 50.5 at 1.80 odds.
| PHILADELPHIA 76eRS NBA ODDS 2021 | bet365 ODDS |
|---|---|
| TO WIN CHAMPIONSHIP | 21.0 |
| TO WIN CONFERENCE | 9.50 |
| TO WIN DIVISION | 4.75 |
| TO MAKE PLAYOFFS | 1.05 |
| OVER 50.5 WINS | 1.95 |
| UNDER 50.5 WINS | 1.80 |
Odds at bet365 as at October 12th 2021. Odds may now differ.
Dallas Mavericks: D-
Dallas Mavericks 2021-22 Probabilities Based on Bookmaker Odds
The Dallas Mavericks wasted little time rebuilding their team after the Nowitzki era, and only missed the playoffs for three seasons before coming back. They finished 5th in the Western Conference last year but were eliminated by the Clippers for the second year in a row.
The Mavericks were a solid team last year winning 42 games in a shortened season, but they had certain issues. Although their offense was top 10 in the league with a rating of 115.4, their defence was in the lower half of the NBA, preventing them from achieving success in the playoffs. They haven’t made any significant moves during the summer to bolster their defence, and the team simply won’t be able to take the next step in this state. Doncic and Porzingis aren’t working out as well as the Mavericks expected, and they will have to make a trade for a player that suits Luka’s playing style better.
Although this team has excellent potential around their young star Luka Doncic, it’s up to management to surround him with enough talent to make this team elite. Namely, their poor defence cuts their value in half, and I am not convinced that they will perform better than last year. They are available to win the NBA title at 29.00 odds, to win the west at 14.00 and to win more than 48.5 games at 1.90 odds. I don’t see them being successful in the first two markets at all, but they theoretically have a shot of winning 49 games.
Dallas Mavericks Best Bet
The Mavs will be a solid team this year, but I have them at Under 48.5 wins at 1.90 odds.
| DALLAS MAVERICKS NBA ODDS 2021 | bet365 ODDS |
|---|---|
| TO WIN CHAMPIONSHIP | 29.0 |
| TO WIN CONFERENCE | 14.0 |
| TO WIN DIVISION | 1.47 |
| TO MAKE PLAYOFFS | 1.14 |
| OVER 48.5 WINS | 1.90 |
| UNDER 48.5 WINS | 1.83 |
Odds at bet365 as at October 12th 2021. Odds may now differ.
Detroit Pistons: D-
Detroit Pistons 2021-22 Probabilities Based on Bookmaker Odds
The Detroit Pistons were the worst team in the Eastern Conference last season with just 20 wins. Though their defence was solid throughout the year with 111.1 points conceded per game (10th in NBA), their offence was one of the worst in the league, scoring an average of just 106.6 points (27th).
The Pistons are available at 1.74 odds to win more than 24.5 games, at 17.50 to make the playoffs and 151.00 to win the central division. .
Detroit Pistons Best Bet
Although I expect the Pistons to slightly improve compared to last year, they haven’t made any significant moves to put themselves in a better position. I have the Pistons to win fewer than 24.5 games this year at 2.05 odds.
| DETROIT PISTONS NBA ODDS 2021 | bet365 ODDS |
|---|---|
| TO WIN CHAMPIONSHIP | 351.0 |
| TO WIN CONFERENCE | 151.0 |
| TO WIN DIVISION | 151.0 |
| TO MAKE PLAYOFFS | 17.50 |
| OVER 24.5 WINS | 1.74 |
| UNDER 24.5 WINS | 2.05 |
Odds at bet365 as at October 12th 2021. Odds may now differ.
The E Grades
Portland Trail Blazers: E+
Portland Trail Blazers 2021-22 Probabilities Based on Bookmaker Odds
The Portland Trail Blazers finished the 2020/21 season 6th in the Western Conference and made the playoffs for the 8th season in a row. However, just like their previous appearances, the Blazers didn’t see much success and were bounced in the first round by the Nuggets in 6 games.
The Blazers were an elite team when it came to offence last year, but were terrible defensively. They were 2nd in the NBA in offensive rating with 117.8 and 29th in defensive with 116.0. They averaged just 21.1 assists per game and mostly relied on 3-point shooting throughout the season. This type of basketball can give results during the regular season, but not in the playoffs.
The Trail Blazers are available at 61.00 odds to win the NBA title, at 26.00 to win the Western Conference and 10.00 to win the Northwestern Division. Their game win total for this season is at 44.5 and they are valued at 1.80 to go over. Depending on their defensive performance this year, the Blazers could provide excellent value for the title market, but as it stands, there is only value in backing them to win their division. Their biggest competition for that market are the Nuggets and the Jazz, so even here the Blazers are stuck.
Portland Trail Blazers Best Bet
The Blazers are available at 1.95 odds to win fewer than 44.5 games, and this is the best bet.
| PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS NBA ODDS 2021 | bet365 ODDS |
|---|---|
| TO WIN CHAMPIONSHIP | 61.0 |
| TO WIN CONFERENCE | 26.0 |
| TO WIN DIVISION | 7.50 |
| TO MAKE PLAYOFFS | 1.40 |
| OVER 44.5 WINS | 1.80 |
| UNDER 44.5 WINS | 1.95 |
Odds at bet365 as at October 12th 2021. Odds may now differ.
New Orleans Pelicans: E
New Orleans Pelicans 2021-22 Probabilities Based on Bookmaker Odds
The New Orleans Pelicans finished last season 11th in the Western Conference with just 31 wins. They were solid offensively throughout the season, but their defence was 22nd in the NBA with a rating of 113.8. Although rebounding was not an issue, they allowed opponents to shoot high percentages from both inside and outside the 3-point line. The Pelicans were also one-dimensional offensively, with terrible 3-point shooting numbers and a poor free-throw percentage of 72.9
The Pelicans are valued to win more than 39.5 games at 1.90 odds, to win the west at 26.00 and to win the NBA title at 61.0. They are also available to win the Southwest division at 5.25 odds and to make the playoffs at 2.70. However, I don’t think their pieces will fit well enough together to make the jump from 31 to 40 wins in the coming season. They made some moves during the summer, but I don’t think this is enough to give them value in any of the mentioned markets. I see them underperforming this season, and would hesitate to back them in any market.
New Orleans Pelicans Best Bet
The tough western conference simply won’t allow the Pelicans to make the playoffs, and at 1.57 odds to miss the playoffs, this is the best available offer.
| NEW ORLEANS PELICANS NBA ODDS 2021 | bet365 ODDS |
|---|---|
| TO WIN CHAMPIONSHIP | 61.0 |
| TO WIN CONFERENCE | 26.0 |
| TO WIN DIVISION | 5.25 |
| TO MAKE PLAYOFFS | 2.70 |
| OVER 39.5 WINS | 1.90 |
| UNDER 39.5 WINS | 1.83 |
Odds at bet365 as at October 12th 2021. Odds may now differ.
Oklahoma City Thunder: E
Oklahoma City Thunder 2021-22 Probabilities Based on Bookmaker Odds
The Oklahoma City Thunder were competitive in the Western Conference almost every year since 2009/10, but they failed to make it to the playoffs last year with just 22 wins on the season. It was a difficult season for the Thunder, and their young players got a valuable opportunity to learn and grow against tough NBA competition.
That said, they were one of the worst teams in the NBA, and the bookies are expecting another terrible season for them. They are valued at 1.86 odds to win more than 23.5 games this season, and 19.00 to make the playoffs. Let’s face it, the Thunder won’t bounce back this season, and it will take a few years for them to rebuild their team. They were terrible ATS last season with 31-40-1.
Oklahoma City Thunder Best Bet
The Thunder will have another difficult season in the Western Conference, and I don’t see them winning more than 23 games, which is why this is the best bet at 1.86 odds.
| OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER NBA ODDS 2021 | bet365 ODDS |
|---|---|
| TO WIN CHAMPIONSHIP | 251.0 |
| TO WIN CONFERENCE | 101.0 |
| TO WIN DIVISION | 151.0 |
| TO MAKE PLAYOFFS | 19.0 |
| OVER 23.5 WINS | 1.86 |
| UNDER 23.5 WINS | 1.86 |
Odds at bet365 as at October 12th 2021. Odds may now differ.
The F Grades
Cleveland Cavaliers: F
Cleveland Cavaliers 2021-22 Probabilities Based on Bookmaker Odds
The Cleveland Cavaliers finished the 2020/21 season 13th in the Eastern Conference with just 22 wins. They struggled on both sides of the court and were dead last in the NBA in points per game with 103.8 and a field goal percentage of just 45%.
The bookies have them to win more than 27.5 games this year at 1.95 odds and to make the playoffs at 21.00 to make the playoffs. The Cavaliers were the worst team in the league last year with a record of 26-46, and the current state of the team doesn’t suggest a significant improvement this year. Although the 1.96 odds in the total wins market look tempting, I don’t think the Cavs will be able to win 28 games.
Cleveland Cavaliers Best Bet
I have the Cavaliers at Under 27.5 wins at 1.80 odds.
| CLEVELAND CAVALIERS NBA ODDS 2021 | bet365 ODDS |
|---|---|
| TO WIN CHAMPIONSHIP | 351.0 |
| TO WIN CONFERENCE | 151.0 |
| TO WIN DIVISION | 151.0 |
| TO MAKE PLAYOFFS | 17.50 |
| OVER 27.5 WINS | 1.95 |
| UNDER 27.5 WINS | 1.80 |
Odds at bet365 as at October 12th 2021. Odds may now differ.
Houston Rockets: F
Houston Rockets 2021-22 Probabilities Based on Bookmaker Odds
The Houston Rockets were by far the worst team in the NBA last season with just 17 wins to their name. They struggled on both sides of the floor and were way below average in almost every category. That said, the Rockets experienced injury issues throughout the season, and their best players missed a large portion of the season.
The Rockets are available at 2.0 odds to win more than 27.5 games this season, and 15.00 to make the playoffs. Though I don’t expect them to perform as bad as they did last season, making the playoffs isn’t something they can hope for at the moment. They were the second-worst team ATS last season with a record of 27-45 and they are among the worst teams when it comes to betting value. I expect them to win around 23 games this season.
Houston Rockets Best Bet
I have the Rockets at Under 27.5 wins at 1.76 odds.
| HOUSTON ROCKETS NBA ODDS 2021 | bet365 ODDS |
|---|---|
| TO WIN CHAMPIONSHIP | 351.0 |
| TO WIN CONFERENCE | 126.0 |
| TO WIN DIVISION | 126.0 |
| TO MAKE PLAYOFFS | 15.0 |
| OVER 27.5 WINS | 2.0 |
| UNDER 27.5 WINS | 1.76 |
Odds at bet365 as at October 12th 2021. Odds may now differ.
Orlando Magic: F
Orlando Magic 2021-22 Probabilities Based on Bookmaker Odds
After making 2 playoff appearances in 2018 and 2019, the Orlando Magic won just 21 games last year under Steve Clifford. They were one of the worst teams in the league on both sides of the floor, and have traded away their key pieces in Aaron Gordon and Nikola Vucevic in an attempt to overhaul their roster.
The Orlando Magic are in full tank mode, and I wouldn’t expect them to try and win and win very many games this season. In fact, they will be trying to get the 1st draft pick in the summer, and being the worst team in the league will give them, the best chances of making it happen. The Magic are available at 1.83 odds to win more than 22.5 games this year. They were one of the worst teams ATS last year, and the current state of their team suggests there is absolutely no value in backing them.
Orlando Magic Best Bet
A terrible year ahead for Orlando, take them to win under 22.5 games at odds 1.90.
| ORLANDO MAGIC NBA ODDS 2021 | bet365 ODDS |
|---|---|
| TO WIN CHAMPIONSHIP | 251.0 |
| TO WIN CONFERENCE | 101.0 |
| TO WIN DIVISION | 126.0 |
| TO MAKE PLAYOFFS | 19.0 |
| OVER 22.5 WINS | 1.83 |
| UNDER 22.5 WINS | 1.90 |
Odds at bet365 as at October 12th 2021. Odds may now differ.
San Antonio Spurs: F
San Antonio Spurs 2021-22 Probabilities Based on Bookmaker Odds
After an amazing run of making the playoffs since 1997/98, the San Antonio Spurs failed to make it to the tournament in the last two years. They won just 33 games last year, and finished 10th in the Western Conference whilst performing at an average level defensively and subpar offensively.
The bookies have them to win more than 29.5 games at 1.83 odds and to make the playoffs at 11.00. They are also available at 16.00 odds to win the Southwest Division. Not much value in backing the Spurs this year. Their regular-season wins target is something this team could achieve with DeMar DeRozan, but they simply aren’t good enough at the moment. They certainly won’t be competitive in the west with this group of players.
San Antonio Spurs Best Bet
I have the Spurs to go Under 29.5 wins at 1.90 odds.
| SAN ANTONIO SPURS NBA ODDS 2021 | bet365 ODDS |
|---|---|
| TO WIN CHAMPIONSHIP | 101.0 |
| TO WIN CONFERENCE | 46.0 |
| TO WIN DIVISION | 16.0 |
| TO MAKE PLAYOFFS | 11.0 |
| OVER 29.5 WINS | 1.83 |
| UNDER 29.5 WINS | 1.90 |
Odds at bet365 as at October 12th 2021. Odds may now differ.
Washington Wizards: F
Washington Wizards 2021-22 Probabilities Based on Bookmaker Odds
With 34 wins last season, the Washington Wizards barely made the playoffs and suffered an early elimination in the first round at the hands of the 76ers. The Wizards were mediocre during the entire season and were barely able to rally late and buy a playoff spot in the play-in tournament.
The Wizards are valued at just 1.80 odds to win more than 34.5 games this season, 4.50 to make the playoffs, and 17.00 to win the Southeast Division. The Wizards don’t provide much value in either of these three markets, especially considering the departure of Russel Westbrook to the LAkers. Kyle Kuzma simply isn’t a game-changing player and Bradley Beal has been prone to injuries in recent years, and is always at risk of missing significant time.
Washington Wizards Best Bet
I have the Wizards to win fewer than 34.5 games at 1.95 odds.
| WASHINGTON WIZARDS NBA ODDS 2021 | bet365 ODDS |
|---|---|
| TO WIN CHAMPIONSHIP | 101.0 |
| TO WIN CONFERENCE | 41.0 |
| TO WIN DIVISION | 17.0 |
| TO MAKE PLAYOFFS | 4.50 |
| OVER 34.5 WINS | 1.80 |
| UNDER 34.5 WINS | 1.95 |
Odds at bet365 as at October 12th 2021. Odds may now differ.
Toronto Raptors: F
Toronto Raptors 2021-22 Probabilities Based on Bookmaker Odds
After winning the NBA title in 2018/19, the Toronto Raptors quickly fell out of title contention in the next two years. They finished the 2020/21 season with just 27 wins, were 12th in the Eastern Conference standings. They were average on both sides of the floor and didn’t excel in any particular category. Rebounding was an issue for them all season, and they were 27th in defensive rebound percentage.
The Raptors are valued at 71.00 odds to win the NBA championship, at 31.00 to win the east, and at 29.00 to win the Atlantic Division. They are also available at 3.25 to make the playoffs and 1.66 to win more than 36.5 games.
Unfortunately, the Raptors haven’t done anything significant to bolster their ranks, and I don’t see them pulling any surprises this year. Not much value in backing them this year, apart from the total wins market. Even here, the odds are a bit short, and I question this team’s ability to bounce back from last season’s drop.
Toronto Raptors Best Bet
I have the Raptors at Under 36.5 wins at 2.20 odds.
| TORONTO RAPTORS NBA ODDS 2021 | bet365 ODDS |
|---|---|
| TO WIN CHAMPIONSHIP | 71.0 |
| TO WIN CONFERENCE | 31.0 |
| TO WIN DIVISION | 29.0 |
| TO MAKE PLAYOFFS | 3.25 |
| OVER 36.5 WINS | 1.66 |
| UNDER 36.5 WINS | 2.20 |
Odds at bet365 as at October 12th 2021. Odds may now differ.
NBA Betting Value Report Cards Best Bets
Below are the best bets for each NBA team this 2021/22 season based on the analysis in this article.
High value bets are the best bets for this NBA season. These are based on the A and F grades. There are a total of ten best bets for this season featuring Phoenix, Milwaukee, New York and Memphis to each exceed market expectations while Cleveland, Houston, Orlando, San Antonio, Washington and Toronto are expected to fall short of market expectations.
Medium value bets offer decent value. These are based on the B and E grades. Miami and Golden State are expected to beat market expectations while Portland, New Orleans and Oklahoma City are expected to fail to meet the market.
Slight value bets offer some value though limited. These are based on the C and D grades. We see only slight value in these selections as we consider the market is more or less accurate in assessing these teams.
| TEAM | Bet | Odds | Best odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phoenix | Over 50.5 wins | 1.91 |  |
High |
| Milwaukee | Win East Conf. | 4.50 | |
High |
| New York | Win Atlantic Div. | 31.0 | |
High |
| Memphis | Make Playoffs | 2.05 |  |
High |
| Cleveland | Under 27.5 wins | 1.91 | |
High |
| Houston | Under 27.5 wins | 1.83 |  |
High |
| Orlando | Under 22.5 wins | 1.91 | |
High |
| San Antonio | Under 29.5 wins | 1.91 | |
High |
| Washington | Under 34.5 wins | 2.0 | |
High |
| Toronto | Under 36.5 wins | 2.20 |  |
High |
| Miami | Over 48.5 wins | 2.0 | |
Medium |
| Golden State | Over 48.5 wins | 1.91 | |
Medium |
| Portland | Under 44.5 wins | 1.95 | |
Medium |
| New Orleans | Miss Playoffs | 1.57 | |
Medium |
| Oklahoma City | Under 23.5 wins | 1.95 |  |
Medium |
| LA Lakers | Over 53.5 wins | 1.86 | |
Slight |
| Charlotte | Make Playoffs | 2.80 | |
Slight |
| Denver | Win Northwest Div. | 5.0 |  |
Slight |
| Minnesota | Over 35.5 wins | 1.86 | |
Slight |
| Atlanta | Win Southeast Div. | 2.38 |  |
Slight |
| Chicago | Make Playoffs | 1.82 | |
Slight |
| Indiana | Over 43.5 wins | 1.90 | |
Slight |
| Sacramento | Over 36.5 wins | 2.0 | |
Slight |
| Boston | Under 46.5 wins | 1.85 | |
Slight |
| Brooklyn | Under 56.5 wins | 1.83 | |
Slight |
| LA Clippers | Under 46.5 wins | 1.74 | |
Slight |
| Utah | Under 52.5 wins | 1.91 | |
Slight |
| Philadelphia | Under 50.5 wins | 1.91 | |
Slight |
| Dallas | Under 48.5 wins | 2.0 |  |
Slight |
| Detroit | Under 24.5 wins | 2.05 | |
Slight |
Odds as at October 12th 2021. Odds may now differ.
