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Horse Racing Detroit Pistons vs Dallas Mavericks Best Bet: 2.00 Wager for Thursday Night
Detroit Pistons vs Dallas Mavericks Best Bet: Thursday, December 1st
We have only 1 game on the docket for the start of December, but you already know we’re giving you some value. The Detroit Pistons host the Dallas Mavericks tonight at 23:00 (UK time) for their first encounter of the season, and the bookies are already giving Dallas a comfy road win. Think again, Jack!
In this article:
Detroit Pistons vs Dallas Mavericks Preview
Thu, Dec 1st. 23:00 (UK time)
23 games into the regular season and the Detroit Pistons are officially the worst team in the NBA. With a record of 5-18, the Pistons are sitting well in the bottom of the Eastern Conference, with the Orlando Magic being their only real competition for the 15th spot. Rebuilds are always tough, and Pistons fans are going to be seeing an awful lot of losing at Little Caesars Arena this season. The Pistons have now lost 8 of their last 10 games, are riding a 3-game losing streak and are coming off a 140-110 debacle against the NY Knicks at home.
It’s been a struggle on both sides of the floor for the Pistons so far, ranking 29th in NET rating. Their offence has been one of the worst in the league, with a field-goal percentage of 44.3% (29th) and an average of only 109.1. They don’t take a lot of three-pointers, but when they do, only 33.2% of them go on. That said, they do a good job of getting to the free-throw line and they also commit a surprisingly low number of turnovers for such a young team with 14.4 (12th). Also, their perimeter defence has been surprisingly respectable, allowing 11.5 threes per game, and keeping opponents to 34.5% from beyond the arc. For tonight, Cade Cunningham is listed as ‘Out’ whilst Jaden Ivey is questionable.
For the Dallas Mavericks, it’s also been a tough first quarter of the season, and they are sitting 8th in the west with a 10-10 record. Losing Jalen Brunson in the offseason has certainly had its impact on the team, and it’s obvious that the team needs another reliable scoring star. They are coming off a 116-113 win against the Golden State Warriors in Dallas and their home form has been great overall. It’s their performance on the road that has left a lot to be desired, winning just 1 of their 8 games away from American Airlines Center.
The Mavs have been by far the slowest team in the league this year with a pace rating of 95.6, and as you can imagine, they are also last in fastbreak points per game with 9.8. They don’t get a lot of easy baskets, and a lot of their offensive sets rely on Doncic Making the right play. Whilst he has been amazing for the Mavs this year once again, averaging 33.5 points, 8.6 assists and 8.8 rebounds per game, this isn’t enough. They rely heavily on 3-pointers, averaging 39.4 attempts per game, but they’re only making 34.4% of them. Most of their games have been very low-scoring and when they win, it’s usually below double-digits.
Detroit Pistons vs Dallas Mavericks Best Bet
Let’s see what we have here then, an underachieving good team that everyone is backing on the road. In fact, the Mavericks have been the worst team ATS this year, covering in just 5 of their 20 games this year (ROI= -47.27%), and this is even worse on the road (2-9, -52.27%). They’ve only covered in 2 of their last 10 games and seeing them as heavy favourites for tonight definitely provides some nice value.
Meanwhile, the Pistons have quietly been good lately. I know, it’s hard to believe, but they have covered the spread in 6 of their last 10, including 1 push. I expect this to be a slow and low-scoring affair, along with the Pistons to prevent the Mavs from getting into a 3-point groove. +7.5 points is a lot when you’re playing against Dallas at home, and I expect the Pistons to be able to cover tonight.
- Selection: Pistons +7.5
- Best Odds: 2.00 (Marathonbet)
- Stakes: 4/10
Odds as of 1:00 pm November 30, 2022. Odds may now differ.
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