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Boxing Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Preview And Expert Tip: Best Value Pick for the Friday Western Conference Showdown
The Dallas Mavericks, boasting a perfect 4-0 record, will look to continue their impressive four-game win streak as they visit the Denver Nuggets (4-1). This game is set to take place in the early hours of Saturday, November 4, 2023, at the Ball Arena.
Our basketball expert Agbeniga Ayobami has her pick for the night, and if you are looking for more free NBA picks, visit our Expert Insights section.
In this article:
- Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Expert Tip
- Denver Nuggets Stats & Form
- Dallas Mavericks Stats & Form
- Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets H2H
Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Expert Tip
The Dallas Mavericks have struggled on the road against teams with winning records, losing their last six such games. On the other hand, the Denver Nuggets have a strong home record, winning their last 12 home games against Western Conference opponents and covering the spread in both of their home games this season.
The Nuggets rank second in the league for blocks per game this season, averaging 7.6. They also lead the league in field goal percentage, shooting at an impressive 50.8%.
This efficiency in shooting and their ability to protect the rim with blocks make them a formidable team, and they will look to bounce back from their recent setback and continue their title defence.
Last season the Nuggets were the top home team to bet on, covering the spread in 44 of their 52 home games. This is crazy considering the next-best team were the Grizzlies with a 37-7 record. We are backing the Nuggets to defend home court and cover the spread once again.
Denver Nuggets Stats & Form
The Denver Nuggets will be eager to bounce back after their four-game winning streak was halted by the Timberwolves in a 110-89 road loss on Wednesday. In that game, the Nuggets secured 43 rebounds, with 31 on the defensive end and 12 on the offensive end. However, their shooting was off as they only managed a 39% field goal percentage and made six of 33 attempts from beyond the three-point line. They also turned the ball over 15 times but recorded 6 steals in the contest.
Nikola Jokic led the team with 25 points and 10 rebounds, shooting 11 of 23 from the field, while Jamal Murray contributed 14 points and six assists. However, no other player on the Nuggets managed to score in double figures. Michael Porter Jr. had a terrible night, scoring just five points on two of 11 shooting.
The Nuggets have shown a strong defensive presence this season, ranking third-best in the NBA by allowing only 103.6 points per game. Their defence limits opponents to a 29.6% shooting percentage from beyond the arc and their opponents make 79.8% of their free throws. On the offensive side, they average 29.0 assists per game (second in the league) but also commit 14.6 turnovers per game. Denver has scored a total of 554 points this season, averaging 110.8 per game, and they pull down 43.2 rebounds per contest.
It’s worth noting that PF Vlatko Cancar is sidelined due to injury, while SG Christian Braun (shin), C Nikola Jokic (back), and SG Jamal Murray (quad) are listed as probable for the next game. Despite their recent loss, the Nuggets have a strong home record against Western Conference opponents, having won each of their last 12 home games.
Dallas Mavericks Stats & Form
The Dallas Mavericks are seeking their fifth consecutive victory to start the season after defeating the Bulls with a 114-105 win at home on Wednesday. The Mavericks made 20 of their 28 free throw attempts, shooting at a rate of 71.4%. They also converted 20 of their 48 three-point attempts and shot 45.7% from the field. Despite trailing against the Bulls for most of the game, the Mavericks closed the final 3 minutes and 22 seconds on a 15-7 run to secure the home win.
Grant Williams led the team with seven three-pointers and 25 points on seven of 10 shooting. Tim Hardaway Jr. contributed 24 points coming off the bench, and Luka Doncic tallied 18 points along with seven rebounds and 10 assists.
The Mavericks boast a 4-0 win-loss record this season. They average 12.8 turnovers per game and commit 15.8 fouls nightly. Dallas collects 45.3 rebounds per contest and has recorded 91 assists on the year, ranking 27th in the league for passing the ball. They shoot 41.0% from beyond the arc (73 of 178) and 74.8% from the free-throw line. The Mavericks are averaging 122.5 points per game, which is second in the league, and they shoot at a 47.9% clip from the field.
On the defensive end, the Mavericks force an average of 15.0 turnovers per game while drawing 24.0 personal fouls. They currently rank 12th in the league in assists allowed, giving up 104 for the season. Dallas defensively allows opponents to shoot at a 48.3% rate (175 of 362) and concede an average of 44.8 rebounds per contest. They permit opponents to shoot 38.5% from beyond the arc and are ranked 18th in the league in points allowed per game, giving up 113.5.
PG Kyrie Irving (foot) and PF Maxi Kleber (foot) are listed as questionable to play in the next game.
Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks H2H
Out of the 186 regular season games these two teams have played against each other, the Dallas Mavericks have emerged victorious in 96 of them. In contrast, the Denver Nuggets have secured 90 wins in these matchups. The most recent game between these two teams occurred in February of this year and ended with a 118-109 victory for the Denver Nuggets.
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