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Horse Racing Miami Marlins vs Texas Rangers Run Total Best Bet: Value in the Over
Miami Marlins vs Texas Rangers Best Bet: Thursday, July 21st
And, we’re back! The second half of the campaign gets underway with a limited slate on Thursday and our resident MLB pundit has a winning tip on a total for our loyal baseball followers. Ej closed out the first half of the season on a 6 – 2 – 2 run over the last 2 weeks leading up to the All-Star break, and the plan is to continue to fill our readers’ pockets with more winning offers. It starts with the game being played at LoanDepot Park in Miami as the Marlins and Rangers
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Miami Marlins vs Texas Rangers Preview
July 21, 18:10 (UK time)
That’s right, we’re back at it again and it’s a short week due to the All-Star game festivities so let’s do some damage with these next two days on the diamond. I am turning to the total in Miami because the line setters have issued a 6.5 with the Texas Rangers in town for one game. Both teams will pick up their things and get back on the road after the completion of this affair, and I expect them both to enjoy their stay with some timely hitting that helps us topple this low total.
Let’s talk starting pitching because I am seeing Jon Gray (6 – 4; 3.71 ERA) and Pablo Lopez (6 – 4; 2.86 ERA) as the expected minders of the mound. I know that I have been previewing Jon Gray’s games in abundance this campaign and it seems like whenever he is on the mound I expect runs to be scored. Gray gets plenty of run support when he takes the mound, and expecting his offence to find 3 or 4 runs is not even a tall order at all.
As we go over the 16 starts for Gray, you can see that the Rangers have scored at least 3 runs for him in 12 of those outings. Run support is as important for a starting pitcher as his ability to shut down his opponents, and I like the fact that he gets enough out of his offence to help find wins. Gray has picked up 5 wins over his last 6 starts, and only once was the Rangers’ offence held to fewer than 4 runs in those affairs, which came against the Mets on July 3rd.
Pablo Lopez has been getting a good bit of run support lately even though the Marlins offence is ranked 24th in MLB. By the same token, that 24th ranking still means that the Fish are averaging 4.13 runs per game so we’re not asking them to go way above and beyond what they normally do here. Let’s not lose track of the fact that a 3 – 3 game at any point of the game means we have to simply wait for the last dude to cross home plate so we can, at worst, push our action.
I have seen both of Lopez’s last two starts against the Mets and Pirates and as much as I appreciate his ability to throw strikes, he needs to work on one thing moving forward. Lopez has never started more than 21 games in any of his 4 previous campaigns, and now we will see how his second half will go having already thrown over 104 innings. In 2019, Lopez maxed out at 111 IP and he is scheduled to make around 10 more starts or so. I will be interested to see how his pitch count gets affected and if he can keep up the pace and remain a factor in the Marlins rotation.
Miami Marlins vs Texas Rangers Best Bet
The Rangers’ offence averages 4.54 runs an outing, ranking them 13th in all of baseball. Neither team hits for average but we do see some power numbers for Texas help support our cause. Texas ranks 7th in all of baseball bashing balls out of the park and we just need one big blast and a knock or two to get a measly 3 runs out of both teams this afternoon.
- Selection: Over 7 Runs
- Best odds: 1.93 (MarathonBet)
- Stakes 4/10
Odds as of 10:00 am July 21st, 2022. Odds may now differ.
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