Football 
Tennis 
Horse Racing US Open 2023 Women's Winner Odds
Though your everyday tennis fan may be following the progress of Novak Djokovic and Carlos Alcaraz in the men’s draw closely, it’s the WTA side of things that generally provides more entertainment day-to-day.
Whether that comes in the form of shocking upsets, or marquee matchups in the early going, the much more level playing field in women’s tennis makes every single day of a grand slam an exciting one.
Last year, Iga Swiatek (3.25) managed to win it all, beating Ons Jabeur (21.00) in the final. It makes the world No. 1 the victor of three of the last six major events.
Can she retain the title and make it a fifth career grand slam victory at just 22 years old? Let’s dive into the draw!
In this article:
- US Open Women’s Winner Odds
- Top Half Analysis: Swiatek Leads the Way
- Bottom Half Analysis: Sabalenka in Favourable Draw
US Open 2023 Women’s Winner Odds
| Player | Odds | Implied % Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Iga Swiatek | 3.40 | 29.4 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | 5.00 | 20 |
| Cori Gauff | 7.50 | 13.3 |
| Elena Rybakina | 9.00 | 11.1 |
| Jessica Pegula | 9.50 | 10.5 |
| Karolina Muchova | 19.00 | 5.3 |
| Ons Jabeour | 21.00 | 4.8 |
| Marketa Vondrousova | 29.00 | 3.4 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | 34.00 | 2.9 |
| Madison Keys | 41.00 | 2.4 |
Odds available at bet365 as of August 25th 2023. Odds may now differ.
TOP HALF ANALYSIS: Swiatek Leads the Way
As the No. 1 player and seed, Swiatek is drawn on the first line in the top half. It should be smooth sailing for her, barring an injury, through three rounds of play, without many notable names or players with the style to trouble her in her way.
The fourth round could provide some resistance in the form of the big-hitting Jelena Ostapenko (51.00). The real concern there is that Ostapenko may not have the controlled aggression needed and certainly has temperament issues, along with poor form entering the week.
In her quarter, it’s just Coco Gauff (8.00) who I foresee being an issue. Gauff beat Swiatek in Cincinnati, but in the prior seven meetings it was one-way traffic with the forehand wing being too large of a liability for the American teen.
The real test for the Pole should come in the semifinals.
Awaiting here there could be one of a few players that have either pushed Swiatek in the past or beaten her outright.
Elena Rybakina (8.00) has had her number in the past with her power game able to force Swiatek onto the back foot and not let her control the baseline the way she wants. The sticking points with the Australian Open finalist and Rome champion come down to the fact that she hasn’t looked fully healthy this summer and she has one of the toughest draws a seeded player could get in the opening round against the explosive Marta Kostyuk.
Beatriz Haddad Maia (51.00) beat her in Toronto last season and has the consistency from the baseline, along with power and a big lefty first serve to trouble the top player in the world.
Finally, Karolina Muchova (21.00) has broken onto the scene in 2023 and given Swiatek all she could handle on a pair of occasions, including in the French Open final on her preferred clay courts.
There are varying levels of concern regarding each of those three and their fitness heading into the U.S. Open, but the games are certainly there.
BOTTOM HALF ANALYSIS: Sabalenka in Favourable Draw
The other half of the draw is anchored by the woman trying to chase down Swiatek for the world’s No. 1 ranking and the current Australian Open title holder, Aryna Sabalenka (5.50).
As much as the women’s draws can provide stumbling blocks early for even the biggest names in the game (see the aforementioned Rybakina), this looks to be about as nice of a run to the quarterfinals as the Belarussian could’ve hoped for.
It’s hard to make a case for anyone other than last year’s finalist (and this year’s Wimbledon runner-up) Ons Jabeur (21.00), and even then, the Tunisian isn’t known for her prowess in big matches and just lost to Sabalenka at a warm up event in Cincinnati.
If we’re looking for an outsider with a chance for a deep run, that leaves the third quarter, where a struggling Caroline Garcia (51.00) and Jessica Pegula (11.00) are the top seeds.
Make no mistake, the American has had a pretty strong summer of hard-court tennis, but among the world’s top-5 players, she’s easily the most susceptible, just due to the lack of pure power she possesses.
There are plenty of decent candidates in this section.
From the big-hitting (and former U.S. Open finalist) Madison Keys (51.00), who can upset anyone on her day when the serve and forehand are clicking, to Marketa Vondrousova (26.00), the in-form Wimbledon champion, who is probably even better off on these hard courts, where her improved serve still gets some traction, but where her real strength – the defensive game from the baseline – has even more time to flourish.
Even some less well-rounded players who can be erratic like Ekaterina Alexandrova (101.00), Ludmilla Samsonova (34.00) and Anastasia Potapova (101.00) can wreak havoc on a draw if they have their baseline games clicking for four or five matches.
The third quarter is one where chaos is most likely to ensue.
Odds as at 12:30 am UK Time on August 25th, 2023. All odds quoted from Bet365. Odds are subject to change.
RESPONSIBLE GAMBLING
At bettingexpert, we always take a responsible approach to gambling. We’ll never bet more than we can afford or chase losses. For more advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.
