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Analysis | Friday, August 25, 2023 3:40 PM (Revised at: Wednesday, December 6, 2023 7:32 AM)

Next Premier League Manager Sacked Odds: Erik Ten Hag Now Favourite

Next Premier League Manager Sacked Odds: Erik Ten Hag Now Favourite
Head coach Erik ten Hag of Manchester United, ManU before the UEFA Champions League football match between FC Copenhagen and Manchester United on November 8, 2023 in Copenhagen. Photo: Petter Arvidson / BILDBYRAN / kod PA

The next Premier League manager to be sacked odds offering is getting more and more intriguing as the season progresses.  Our expert, Daniel Jenkins, has ran the rule over those in the dugout and packaged it up into one handy bitesized article.

There is no longer a honeymoon period in Manchester for Erik ten Hag, as the sack race nips at his ankles following Paul Heckingbottom’s sacking in Sheffield. That blunt Blades outfit proved too feeble in the end. Now, the Red Devils boss attempts to navigate a hangover from a troublesome start to life in 2023/24 to avoid a similar fate to his former equal in South Yorkshire.

Next Premier League Manager To Be Sacked Odds


Next Premier League Manager to Be Sacked Odds

Manager to Leave Club Odds Implied Probability
Erik ten Hag Manchester United 2.38 42.0%
Steve Cooper Nottingham Forest 2.75 36.4%
Roy Hodgson Crystal Palace 7.00 14.3%
Vincent Kompany Burnley 8.00 12.5%
Andoni Iraola Bournemouth 15.00 6.7%
Marco Silva Fulham 15.00 6.7%
Rob Edwards Luton Town 19.00 5.3%
Chris Wilder Sheffield United 21.00 4.8%
Mauricio Pochettino Chelsea 29.00 3.4%

Odds via Sky Bet as at 07:00 on 6th December 2023. Odds may now differ.

These are the latest next Premier League manager to be sacked odds as we approach the festive period. The table also lists the implied probabilities of each of the managers leaving their post according to the latest odds.


The Sack Race Predictions

Erik ten Hag was drafted in to be a long-term fixture in Manchester but has recently seen his side slump into an off-putting stretch of form, rearing its head at the front of the sack race odds above. Will someone else face the axe before him? Maybe. However, it may not be too long if he keeps losing games in both England and in the Champions League. Many United fans will argue it’s a change in the boardroom at decision-making level that’s needed. They may be right, but we all know who the buck is going to stop with in the short-term.

Steve Cooper is next in the next Premier League manager to be sacked odds. The Forest boss has witnessed a slump in form which has seen just one win in ten games. The ten-game form table has the not so Tricky Trees in 18th, providing relegation-like returns as their man in the dugout, according to the bookmakers, teeters on the edge according to the next Premier League manager to leave odds.

The value bet in the sack race odds could be Vincent Kompany at 8.00. Burnley’s American owners have planned for life in the Premier League for a prolonged stretch. The Belgian may not be able to provide them with that. If the powers that be get itchy feet, don’t be too surprised to see Kompany be the next man to go – something that would’ve been outlandish to think amidst Belgium and Spurs head coach rumours when the Championship became his and Burnley’s play toy last campaign. 


Premier League Managers to Leave in 2022/23

Date Club Departing Manager Incoming Manager Reason
23 May 2022 Manchester United Ralf Rangnick Erik ten Hag End of interim spell
30 August 2022 Bournemouth Scott Parker Gary O’Neil Sacked
8 September 2022 Chelsea Thomas Tuchel Graham Potter Sacked
18 September 2022 Brighton & Hove Albion Graham Potter Roberto De Zerbi Left to Chelsea
2 October 2022 Wolverhampton Wanderers Bruno Lage Steve Davis Sacked
21 October 2022 Aston Villa Steven Gerrard Aaron Danks Sacked
1 November 2022 Aston Villa Aaron Danks Unai Emery End of interim spell
10 November 2022 Southampton Ralph Hasenhüttl Nathan Jones Sacked
14 November 2022 Wolverhampton Wanderers Steve Davis Julen Lopetegui End of interim spell
30 January 2023 Everton Frank Lampard Sean Dyche Sacked
6 February 2023 Leeds United Jesse Marsch Michael Skubala Sacked
12 February 2023 Southampton Nathan Jones Rubén Sellés Sacked
21 February 2023 Leeds United Michael Skubala Javi Gracia End of interim spell
17 March 2023 Crystal Palace Patrick Vieira Paddy McCarthy Sacked
21 March 2023 Crystal Palace Paddy McCarthy Roy Hodgson End of interim spell
26 March 2023 Tottenham Hotspur Antonio Conte Cristian Stellini Mutual consent
4 April 2023 Leicester City Brendan Rodgers Adam Sadler Mutual consent
2 April 2023 Chelsea Graham Potter Bruno Saltor Sacked
6 April 2023 Chelsea Bruno Saltor Frank Lampard End of interim spell
10 April 2023 Leicester City Adam Sadler Dean Smith End of interim spell
24 April 2023 Tottenham Hotspur Cristian Stellini Ryan Mason Sacked
3 May 2023 Leeds United Javi Gracia Sam Allardyce Sacked

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