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The second portion of the tennis season has begun, as the clay courts take over for the next little while. The French Open winner odds are out for both the men’s and the women’s divisions!
After a month of Masters series events in the United States, it’s off to Europe for a few months. We have with a slew of big tournaments coming up, culminating with the French Open from Paris.
You can find preview and betting tips daily from tennis expert Jon Reid over on our Expert Insights page. But for now, let’s take an early glance at the odds for the year’s second grand slam.
In this article:
- French Open Winner Odds Men
- French Open Winner Odds Women
- French Open Men Winners: The last 20 winners
- French Open Women Winners: The Last 20 Winners
- French Open How to Bet?
- When does the French Open Start?
- French Open 2024 Where to Watch?
- SAFER GAMBLING
French Open Winner Odds Men
| Player Name | Bet365 Odds |
|---|---|
| Carlos Alcaraz | 2.75 |
| Novak Djokovic | 3.75 |
| Jannik Sinner | 5.00 |
| Rafael Nadal | 13.00 |
| Holger Rune | 17.00 |
| Daniil Medvedev | 21.00 |
| Casper Ruud | 12.00 |
| Alexander Zverev | 7.00 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | 8.00 |
| Grigor Dimitrov | 81.00 |
Odds are available as of 22nd May 2024. Odds may now differ.
Carlos Alcaraz French Open Winner Odds
Carlos Alcaraz is still the favorite at Roland Garros, but his odds have drifted to 2.75, as questions swirl regarding an arm injury and how that may impact him at the year’s second major.
He’s now won the U.S. Open and Wimbledon, but the phenom is still looking for a French Open title to add to his trophy case.
The talent is undeniable, but we haven’t seen him since his loss in Madrid and he hasn’t played on clay at sea level (or comparable conditions to Roland Garros) in months.
Novak Djokovic French Open Winner Odds
After Indian Wells and skipping Miami, the tennis world was set alight with buzz about what was wrong with Novak Djokovic.
The struggles have since continued, as Djokovic is still without a trophy in 2024.
As a result, his odds have gone from 3.25 to 3.75, though he’s still the second favorite. I’m not sure I’d have him as the second most likely player to win the French Open, but his pedigree and name recognition are always going to skew the market to some extent.
I wouldn’t have a bet on the Serbian at this number, even if it has drifted a little bit. I’d be waiting for more.
Jannik Sinner French Open Winner Odds
The third favorite in Paris is another man whose odds have become cheaper to back in the last month.
Sinner is now out to 5.00 and that’s with him casting doubts about him even playing the tournament. He suffered a hip injury in Rome that caused him to withdraw after his win against Karen Khachanov and he’s intimated that he may not be ready to play at Roland Garros.
I’d imagine it would take something fairly serious to keep 2024’s best player out of the draw at a grand slam, but this injury is worth keeping in mind, especially when the world No. 2 has had physical issues in the past and he’ll need to win seven times in a best-of-five set format to hoist the Coupe des Mousquetaires.
Rafael Nadal French Open Winner Odds
The overvaluation of Nadal was incredible about a month ago and his chances have gone from about 16.6% to under 8% according to the market, and I’m not sure that is far enough.
He’s simply nowhere near ready to play best-of-five tennis and his serve has dropped off so much that he’s under constant threat from returners these days.
There have been no signs that he’s improving enough to be considered a contender at Roland Garros.
Holger Rune French Open Winner Odds
Yet another player whose odds have drifted, Rune has been pretty poor in 2024. The Dane has the game to be successful across surfaces, but the errors have come too thick and fast this year and his return game has been abysmal.
Despite possessing strong groundstrokes, being athletic, and not one to consistently be out of position, only four players in the top 50 of the rankings have a lower break percentage this season than Rune.
I’m not sure what exactly he needs to do to get back on track, but he’s not even remotely close to where he needs to be to be considered a contender over the coming weeks.
Daniil Medvedev French Open Winner Odds
You can throw Medvedev in that group of players with drifting odds as well. The Russian was hurt in Madrid, but looked fine and said as much before Rome.
The problem is, he made it clear that creating winners in Rome was tough and frustrating for him and as someone who has never been fond of slower courts and conditions, he didn’t look great in the Italian capital.
Paris plays slower and is a venue he’s struggled at. I wouldn’t expect much from him until the tour moves onto the grass.
Casper Ruud French Open Winner Odds
If ever there was a time for Ruud to step up and win that elusive grand slam, this is it. The big guns all have question marks surrounding them. He’s playing with more pop on his first serve and forehand than he ever has before. His mindset has shifted to be more aggressive, while still maintaining an impressive amount of spin on his shots. He also has finally won a title above the ATP 250 level with his triumph in Barcelona.
Is it now or never? That may be a bit much, but this is certainly his best opportunity to date at Roland Garros.
Alexander Zverev French Open Winner Odds
Finally, we’re onto the players whose odds have shortened in the last month or so. Zverev’s all-court game, along with his success this season, victory in Rome, and other players’ concerns means his odds to win the French Open have come in from 17.00 to 7.00.
Now one of the favorites to win it all, I wouldn’t put it past the big German.
His tendency to have clunker-type matches every so often can be tough in a tournament that requires seven wins on the trot to claim the trophy, but the best-of-five format also means it’s tougher to take someone out of his quality.
Stefanos Tsitsipas French Open Winner Odds
I mentioned back in April that the odds on Tsitsipas were probably skewed a bit.
He’s now at 8.00 to win what is a wide-open event and that feels far more accurate.
He’s been great this clay season, with a few deep runs in slower conditions and he was well on his way to doing so again in Rome, before he blew a set lead and a break lead in a deciding set against Nicolas Jarry.
We know how well Paris suits his game and I’m sure he sees this as his best shot to win it all as well.
Grigor Dimitrov French Open Winner Odds
He may not be one of the favorites to win, but I have to include the 81.00 shot here for two simple reasons.
First, he’s one of the form players of the last year or so. Clay is his least favorite surface, but he’s not incompetent on the dirt, has played decently so far on the surface, and has a fairly strong game.
The second is simply looking at some of the names that are being given a better chance to win it than he is. Felix Auger Aliassime? Dominic Thiem? That is downright disrespectful and, quite frankly, foolish.
French Open Winner Odds Women
| Player Name | Bet365 Odds |
|---|---|
| Iga Swiatek | 2.00 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | 6.00 |
| Coco Gauff | 9.00 |
| Elena Rybakina | 9.00 |
| Mirra Andreeva | 26.00 |
| Simona Halep | OTB |
| Ons Jabeur | 34.00 |
| Naomi Osaka | 34.00 |
| Karolina Muchova | OTB |
| Emma Navarro | 67.00 |
Odds are available as of 22nd May 2024. Odds may now differ.
Iga Swiatek French Open Winner Odds
After winning the double in Madrid and Rome, Swiatek’s odds to win the French Open yet again have come all the way down to 1.72.
If you think she’s overvalued, I’d probably disagree, though I wouldn’t bet her at this kind of price either.
It’s tough to assign likelihoods of winning the tournament to individual players that would keep the world No. 1 under the 50% mark though.
She’s as close to untouchable in slower conditions on the red dirt as it comes.
Aryna Sabalenka French Open Winner Odds
Sabalenka has done a great job of turning things back around after a few months of head-scratching results. She pushed Swiatek to the brink in Madrid, but the match in Rome is much more likely what we’ll see at Roland Garros if the two do battle again for the title.
Her odds have moved to 6.00 from 5.50. That’s showing the Belarussian some respect, with other players’ odds moving more significantly to account for Swiatek’s increased likelihood of winning.
As tough as it is to see her beating Swiatek, it’s also hard to come up with who would beat Sabalenka at the moment, as the WTA Tour seems to be pretty top-heavy at the moment.
Coco Gauff French Open Winner Odds
Serve and grind. It works like a charm on slow clay. With elite athleticism, a serve that can cut through the slow courts and stamina that can outlast just about anyone out there, Gauff has had a fair amount of success at Roland Garros.
The obvious sticking point is that she cannot beat Swiatek on slow courts. So unless there’s a monumental upset or injury along the way for the Pole, I’m not sure how Gauff can justify being above a 10% chance. 9.00 odds seem fair.
Elena Rybakina French Open Winner Odds
One of the two shock winners in Rome last year (along with Medvedev in the men’s draw), Rybakina showcased her ability to play on slower clay.
This year, however, she sat the tournament out and has not played much on the clay at all. Along with her style not translating that well to the surface, it’s hard to see why her price has moved from 13.00 to 9.00. Perhaps her talent is just so superior to the rest of the tour that even in slower conditions on clay she’s one of the favorites, but she’s another player I wouldn’t have above 10% to win it all.
Mirra Andreeva French Open Winner Odds
There’s been a course correction in Andreeva’s price, as she’s now at 26.00 after a lacklustre clay season.
The underpowered nature of her game has looked more vulnerable as she plays on the main tour more consistently. She’s an incredible talent, but still years away from being able to sustainably hit through strong defenses and the slower clay courts without sacrificing too much margin for error on her shots.
Naomi Osaka French Open Winner Odds
Osaka coming in at 21.00 to win the French Open is also wild. The former No. 1 and multi-time grand slam winner is no clay courter.
She’s never made a WTA final at any level on clay, has never been past the quarterfinals in Madrid or Rome, and has never reached the second week at Roland Garros.
With her game more serve-dependent than ever at the moment, her chances this year are even worse than when she was struggling in the opening weeks a few years back.
Emma Navarro French Open Winner Odds
Much like Dimitrov for the men, Emma Navarro should be mentioned as a longshot that won’t win but has odds that are off compared to some other women.
At 67.00, the market is implying she’s less likely to win the tournament than the likes of Osaka, Linda Fruhvirtova, and Liudmilla Samsonova. That is absurd. Though she’s American, she is adept on clay, in pretty strong form, constructs points well, defends excellently, and can reach the second week.
If there’s a longshot to back on the women’s side, it’s probably Navarro.
French Open Men Winners: The last 20 winners
| Year | Nationality | Player Name |
| 2004 | ARG | Gastón Gaudio |
| 2005 | ESP | Rafael Nadal |
| 2006 | ESP | Rafael Nadal |
| 2007 | ESP | Rafael Nadal |
| 2008 | ESP | Rafael Nadal |
| 2009 | SUI | Roger Federer |
| 2010 | ESP | Rafael Nadal |
| 2011 | ESP | Rafael Nadal |
| 2012 | ESP | Rafael Nadal |
| 2013 | ESP | Rafael Nadal |
| 2014 | ESP | Rafael Nadal |
| 2015 | SUI | Stan Wawrinka |
| 2016 | SRB | Novak Djokovic |
| 2017 | ESP | Rafael Nadal |
| 2018 | ESP | Rafael Nadal |
| 2019 | ESP | Rafael Nadal |
| 2020 | ESP | Rafael Nadal |
| 2021 | SRB | Novak Djokovic |
| 2022 | ESP | Rafael Nadal |
| 2023 | SRB | Novak Djokovic |
In the last 20 years, only six men have won the French Open. Nadal has dominated the event, winning it 13 times. Gaston Gaudio won it all the way back in 2004, while Stan Wawrinka lifted the trophy in 2009.
The other titles were all claimed by the other two members of the “Big 3”; Djokovic and Roger Federer.
French Open Women Winners: The Last 20 Winners
| Year | Nationality | Player Name |
| 2004 | RUS | Anastasia Myskina |
| 2005 | BEL | Justine Henin (2) |
| 2006 | BEL | Justine Henin (3) |
| 2007 | BEL | Justine Henin (4) |
| 2008 | SRB | Ana Ivanovic |
| 2009 | RUS | Svetlana Kuznetsova |
| 2010 | ITA | Francesca Schiavone |
| 2011 | CHN | Li Na |
| 2012 | RUS | Maria Sharapova |
| 2013 | USA | Serena Williams (2) |
| 2014 | RUS | Maria Sharapova (2) |
| 2015 | USA | Serena Williams (3) |
| 2016 | ESP | Garbiñe Muguruza |
| 2017 | LAT | Jeļena Ostapenko |
| 2018 | ROU | Simona Halep |
| 2019 | AUS | Ashleigh Barty |
| 2020 | POL | Iga Świątek |
| 2021 | CZE | Barbora Krejčíková |
| 2022 | POL | Iga Świątek (2) |
| 2023 | POL | Iga Świątek (3) |
The women’s side has seen a wider array of champions in the last 20 years, with many more of the winners now being retired. Justine Henin (three times), Anastasia Myskina, Ana Ivanovic, Svetlana Kuznetsova, Francesca Schiavone, Li Na, Ashleigh Barty, Maria Sharapova (twice), and Serena Williams (three times total, but twice since 2004) are all now retired from the sport.
2016 champion Garbine Muguruza has been on an extended break from tennis.
The players that have won the title that are still playing? Barbora Krejcikova (though she’s been out injured), Jelena Ostapenko, Simona Halep, and Swiatek (has won three of the last four).
French Open How to Bet?
Surface is Key
With tennis taking place on several different surfaces and at different elevations throughout its 11-month season, understanding which players are good on which surface can be key.
Some players may be highly ranked, but if they’re more proficient on hard courts and that’s how they accumulated their rankings points, backing them at the French Open may not be wise.
Be Selective When Betting Underdogs
This is especially important when betting in the men’s draw. Beating a better player is always tough. Doing so for three sets rather than two makes the task that much more difficult. Sometimes it may be smarter to bet on an underdog you think is more competitive than the odds suggest to win the first set.
Other times, splitting your stake on the to-win markets as well as setting handicaps can help turn more profit.
It’s also worth noting that the better the player, the harder the upset is to pull off. 20/1 odds may seem tempting, but backing players to beat the likes of Sinner, Djokovic, or Alcaraz in the first two rounds can be a fool’s errand.
When does the French Open Start?
The French Open gets underway for both the men’s and women’s singles draws on Sunday, May 26th.
The doubles action begins Tuesday, May 28th.
French Open 2024 Where to Watch?
For most of Europe, Eurosport is the destination both on TV and streaming to watch the year’s second grand slam.
In the United States, Tennis Channel has plenty of coverage, with NBC and Peacock also having broadcasting rights.
In Canada, TSN is the place to go for all things tennis, both online and on TV.
SAFER GAMBLING
At bettingexpert, we always take a safe approach to gambling. We’ll never bet more than we can afford or chase losses. For more advice, head to our Safer Gambling hub.
