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FIBA World Cup 2023 MVP Odds Analysis: Friday, August 25th
The FIBA 2023 World Cup will be the 19th edition of the World Cup and co-hosts are the Philippines, Indonesia, and Japan. There will be 32 national teams in 8 groups.
While many huge names will miss this World Cup (Nikola Jokic and Giannis Antetokunmpo being most notable), there will still be plenty of good players from the NBA and Euroleague. But there can only be one tournament MVP, and we will look at what are the odds telling – which players are the candidates.
bettingexpert’s basketball expert Elek Lenard takes a look at the FIBA World Cup MVP winner odds and gives his thoughts on the matter. For more daily tips, visit the bettingexpert basketball community, and for more expert insights and tips, visit Expert Insights.
In this article:
- FIBA World Cup MVP Winner Odds
- The Favourites: USA Players Lead the Way
- Contenders: Gilgeous-Alexander a Solid Bet
- The Unlikely: Bogdanovic and Doncic Out of Reach
- Germany’s Schroeder Is a Dark Horse
FIBA World Cup MVP Winner Odds
| Player | Odds | Implied % Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Edwards | 4.00 | 25.0 |
| Jalen Brunson | 6.50 | 15.4 |
| Brandon Ingram | 10.00 | 10.0 |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | 11.00 | 9.1 |
| Tyrese Haliburton | 12.00 | 8.3 |
| Mikail Bridges | 13.00 | 7.7 |
| Luka Doncic | 17.00 | 5.9 |
| Evan Fournier | 21.00 | 4.8 |
| Josh Giddey | 21.00 | 4.8 |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic | 21.00 | 4.8 |
| Dennis Schroeder | 21.00 | 4.8 |
Odds available at Betway on August 2th 2023. Odds may now differ.
The Favourites: USA Players Lead the Way
There is nothing unusual that five players with the lowest odds are from the USA. They are the favourites of this World Cup, and if everything goes as expected, they should win the gold medal.
Anthony Edwards (4.00) is leading the way for a reason: The young superstar in the making averaged 18.8 points per game in the preparations, which is the most out of the whole team.
Second in the line is Jalen Brunson (6.50), who got the role of starting point guard. He is one of the most experienced players on the roster, and his game should suit well with FIBA rules. Three other players from the USA that are on the top are Brandon Ingram (10.00), Tyrese Haliburton (12.00), and Mikal Bridges (13.00).
I recommend avoiding betting on Mikal as he will have a roleplayer role, so while he will be an important piece for the defence, he won’t rack up enough stats.
The Contenders: Gilgeous-Alexander a Solid Bet
The first non-Usa player is Canadian NBA star, Shai Gilgeous Alexander (11.00). It is obvious that he will be the main scoring force of the ”Mapleleafs” and without Jamal Murray, he will have to put the team on his back.
While Canada is 4th candidate to win the World Cup, there is a slight chance that Shai can win the tournament MVP even if Canada finishes second or third. It happened with Dirk Nowitzki in the FIBA 2002 World Cup, when Germany finished third but he got an MVP award.
Next is Jaren Jackson Junior, and he could be a value pick. Jaren is the starting centre for the USA, and in FIBA rules, he should dominate on defence. But he also got a solid offensive game, so with enough usage he could shine.
From the 2nd favourite of the tournament, France, Evan Fournier (21.00) has the lowest odds, but it seems that he lost a step last year in the NBA. Rudy Gobert (26.00) is just so much more valuable for France, that there is no point to bet on Fournier.
The Unlikely: Bogdanovic and Doncic Out of Reach
Next in the line are Luka Doncic (17.00) and Bogdan Bogdanovic (21.00), but both Slovenia and Serbia have problems thanks to which they aren’t in the top tier of contenders. Serbia is in the easier bracket though, so they could go far but everything can happen.
The third favourite in the tournament, Australia, got two players at the same odds. Australia has a case to finish with the gold, but it is unclear will Patty Mills (26.00) lead the way or it will be Josh Giddey (21.00). Their roster is deep, and everyone has their role, which could hinder individual statistics. Mills is two years older than the last Olympic games, so I think he should pass the torch to Giddey.
The Spain players that are in the mix are the Hernangomez brothers, but it is hard to decide which one from them will be better than the other.
Three-time NBA DPOY, Rudy Gobert, is barely in the top 15 candidates to win the MVP of the World Cup, and that seems weird. He doesn’t need points to impact the game, and he singlehandedly held France’s defence in last year’s Eurobasket.
Dark Horse: Germany’s Schroeder Is a Good Pick
Dennis Schroeder (21.00) got the lowest odds from Germany’s squad. They showcased a strong level of play in the preparations and could be a dark horse in the tournament.
If Germany manages to win the World Cup, Dennis would be an MVP, as he is the main playmaker of the team who also scores a huge number of points. In last year’s Eurobasket, Dennis was 5th leading scorer and was also in the top five players in the assists category.
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