Euro 2024 Group C Prediction: Betting Tips Preview
The sun is shining, the football soon to be flowing, and Matthew O’Regan has his Euro 2024 Group C prediction and betting tips preview. Could it get any better?
England are the favourites to win the Euros yet again, but face stiff competition from France, Spain and Germany to name a few. However, they must progress out of a tough group containing Denmark, Serbia and Slovenia first.
In this article:
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Our guide takes a different approach to any other tournament preview. The analysis and insight you’ll find in the document is based on our in-house betting data which goes back decades. This betting data is on the following markets:
- Match Result (1X2)
- Handicap Betting
- Total Goals (Over/Under 2.5)
Using this as a foundation, we’ve split the guide into several different sections:
- 8 historical tournament analysis articles
- 24 team-by-team articles
- BETSiE projections for every team and group
- Unique analysis from our experts including exclusive quotes from Mikael Silvestre and John Barnes
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Euro 2024 Group C Overview Prediction: England to dominate
UEFA European Championships 2024, June 14th-July 14th 2024
Group C sees outright favourites England pitted against 251.00 shots Slovenia, 81.00 shots Serbia and a Denmark side priced at 41.00.
England are rightly placed as 1.40 favourites to win the group. Despite manager Gareth Southgate constantly coming under major scrutiny for his performances in charge of the Three Lions, his side should still be expected to top the group and make a serious charge to winning their first major trophy since 1966.
In Jude Bellingham, Harry Kane, and Phil Foden, England arguably possesses the best players in La Liga, Bundesliga, and the Premier League, so they have all the tools to be successful.
The 1992 winners, Denmark, qualified for this group by coming top of a tight qualifying group. The Danes finished above fellow Group C entrants Slovenia on head-to-head, ending four points ahead of Finland and Kazakhstan.
Kasper Hjulmand’s side features plenty of Premier League players, such as Rasmus Hojlund, Pierre-Emile Højberg, Joachim Anderson and Christian Eriksen. A key player could perhaps be Andreas Christensen – surplus to requirements at Chelsea, the 28-year-old has been a revelation at Barca, often acting as a deep-lying playmaker for the Spanish side. His versatility will be imperative as Denmark transition from a back four to a back five mid-game.
Serbia have a nice blend of experience and youthfulness in their squad. Despite a disappointing qualification campaign that saw them finish four points behind Hungary, Dragan Stojkovic’s side will fancy their chances of causing an upset in this summer’s tournament.
While the goals of Aleksandar Mitrovic and the creativity of Dusan Tadic can not be understated, Serbia possesses talent behind these. Sergej Milinkovic-Savic is a rangy, powerful box-to-box midfielder who should form a formidable centre midfield partnership with 23-year-old Ivan Ilic – a player of a similar ilk.
Lazar Samardzic has won plaudits for his form with Udinese this season, with the attacking midfielder making a good case to start for the Eagles. A player to watch out for is 22-year-old Strahinja Pavlovic. The 6′ 3 centre back is aerially dominant, as well as displaying composure and maturity beyond his years.
Finally, Slovenia secured qualification to their fourth major tournament and first for 14 years by qualifying second ahead of Finland, Kazakhstan and Northern Ireland and just behind Denmark on head-to-head.
Slovenia perhaps boasts one of the best goalkeepers of his generation in Jan Oblak. Jaka Bijol is the standout in defence. The Udinese centre-half has been linked with Inter Milan in recent weeks. His Udinese teammate Sandi Lovric has been likened to Sergej Milonkovic-Savic. He should form a solid partnership with Adam Gnezda Cerin, a midfielder capable of the spectacular—even scoring against Portugal in a recent friendly.
Finally, the Slovenian key man is most certainly Benjamin Sesko. The 20-year-old prodigy is shining at RB Leipzig. The 6″5 striker is a complete forward, capable of dominating any defender pitted against him. Sesko already has 11 goals for Slovenia, and he will need to be on top form to drag his nation through a tough group.
Euro 2024 Group C Prediction 1: Sorry Slovenians
As mentioned, Group C is a really strong group. England are the tournament favourites and should have no problems topping the group. They are priced as short as 1.33 to win the group and 1.002 to just qualify. This should make it a battle between Serbia, Denmark and Slovenia.
With the new format allowing four third-place teams to qualify for the knockouts, teams will naturally be more cautious when approaching games, so we should see a low-scoring tournament, with four points more than likely enough to advance.
Denmark is priced as the second favourite to qualify from the group, generally around 1.33. Kasper Hjulmand’s side is rightly expected to progress but should face stiff competition from Serbia.
Tough Draw
That leaves Slovenia at the bottom, being placed in an unfortunately tough group. Slovenia lost and drew to Denmark in the qualifying group, as well as drawing at home and losing 4-1 away to Serbia in the Nations League.
While Matjaz Kek’s side has shown they are capable of defying the odds, this group may be a bridge too far. Outside of Sesko, Slovenia lacks goals, with Andraz Sporar averaging one goal every three games for Panathinaikos.
Denmark and Serbia possess more major tournament guile and experience and this could be crucial in this format. In 1992, Denmark won the continent’s hearts by winning the Euros, while also taking the crown of the ‘people’s team’ in the 2020 Euros. Denmark should have the support of many neutrals, and this should work in their favour.
Slovenia are an exciting team with many great players. They may, however, struggle against three very established nations.
- Group A Prediction 1: Slovenia to Finish Bottom of Group C (TRACKED BET)
- Best Odds: 1.73
- Bookmaker: bet365
- Stake: 10/10
Euro 2024 Group C Prediction 2: Clinical Kane
While Harry Kane is perhaps unfairly ridiculed for his lack of a trophy in his professional career, there is no doubting the talisman’s finishing ability. The 30-year-old has ripped up the Bundesliga with Bayern Munich, scoring 36 goals from just 32 league starts, averaging 1.14 goals and 0.97 xG per 90.
Kane is also likely to win the Champions League golden boot, with his eight goals putting him top of the world’s elites. He also excels for England, scoring 62 goals in 89 caps.
In the last Euros, Kane scored four goals, with only Cristiano Ronaldo and Patrick Schick scoring more goals than him. This followed up an impressive World Cup 2018 in which Kane swept up the Golden Boot with six goals. He disappointed in the last World Cup, only scoring two goals and skying a crucial penalty against France, but Kane will be determined to write that wrong this time around.
Lacking Competition for England’s Best
In terms of his competition, it’s looking less competitive than ever. Norway failed to qualify for the tournament again so Erling Haaland will not be making an appearance. Kylian Mbappe is favourite for the golden boot and will provide stiff competition for Kane, but outside of that not many players can make a serious claim.
The third favourite is Cristiano Ronaldo, but his best days are undoubtedly behind him, and it could be argued Portugal play better without him in the side. Jude Bellingham is next in the market, but the wonderkid is unlikely to be allowed the same freedom that he is for Madrid. Oliver Giroud and Romelu Lukaku are getting to the end of their careers and may not get enough minutes to stake a serious claim for the Golden Boot, while Antoine Griezmann plays a more defensive role for France.
Therefore, with the form Kane is in coupled with the lack of competition, the English talisman looks good value to add another Golden Boot to his growing individual repertoire.
- Group C Prediction 2: Harry Kane Top Scorer (TRACKED BET)
- Best Odds: 6.50
- Bookmaker: bet365
- Stake: 7/10
Group C Prediction odds via bet365 as at 09:00, May 9th, 2024. Odds may now differ.
The Predicted Group C Standings
England boast some of the best players in the world. John Stones, Declan Rice, Jude Bellingham, Bukayo Saka, Phil Foden and Harry Kane would start for most countries in the world and will be the envy of many nations. While he has flaws, Southgate knows how to grind out results – something that should put England in good stead to top a competitive group.
I’m predicting Serbia to shock Denmark and finish above them. While there is not much to separate the sides, Serbia possesses a really powerful, aerially dominant midfield, and I feel this will give them the edge over a more technically gifted Denmark side.
Slovenia are the perennial underdogs in the group. While they may shock a few with their performances, unfortunately, I don’t think they have enough to mount a real threat to England, Denmark or Serbia.
Euro 2024 Group C Standings Prediction
- England
- Serbia
- Denmark
- Slovenia
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