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American football | Friday, December 2, 2022 10:53 AM

Week 14 NCAA Football Best Bets: Saturday, December 3rd

Week 14 NCAA Football Best Bets: Saturday, December 3rd
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Week 14 NCAA Football Best Bets: Saturday, December 3rd

It’s a weekend full of Conference Championship games, and our resident college football expert Ej Garr is all over it as usual. Ej has picked out a pair of games to preview and the only plan he has for the weekend is to take home the dough. Bowl Season is right around the corner too, so buckle up for what we refer to as the most wonderful time of the year!

In this article:


TCU Horned Frogs vs Kansas State Wildcats Preview

December 3, 05:00 (UK time)

It’s the Big 12 Conference Championship game, and the TCU Horned Frogs will be battling to stay perfect when they take on Kansas State on Saturday at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas.

The Horned Frogs are ranked 3rd in the Nation and they are in a position to claim one of the four playoff positions that could put them in a position to win a National title. The 10th-ranked Wildcats have other plans, but the health of starting QB Adrian Martinez is in question, and his influence on this game might not even happen.

Martinez sat out of the last game, but it didn’t stop Kansas State from smashing rival Kansas into the ground, 47 – 27, to wrap up the regular season. The Jayhawks folding like a lawn chair to finish the season is another story we’ll save for later.

Anyway, TCU is only favored by -2.5 points, and I envision that most people see that as an easy play to make if Martinez can’t go for Kansas State this Saturday. I don’t think it will matter whether he plays or not, because TCU is ridiculously ready to represent the Big 12 in the FBS Playoff.

The game being in Texas give the Frogs a little edge with the crowd, and I do believe that those TCU fans are going to enjoy the trip to Arlington as they wipe out Kansas State, 55 – 17.

Hmm hmm, you saw that! TCU is going to smash Kansas State to bits, and I do not doubt in my mind that the second half of this game is going to be ALL TCU! We’ve seen a few ugly first halves from the Frogs this season, but they’ve righted that ship, and not letting that happen again has been addressed.

Max Duggan has size, skill, and his decision-making process throughout the campaign has been outstanding. The 3 interceptions to go with 29 touchdown passes is one thing, but the 294 rushing yards and 5 scores on the ground make him a dual threat as well.

The 41.3 PPG has TCU ranked 4th in the country in scoring, and their defense is in ranked the top 20 when it comes to causing turnovers.

The wildcard in all of this is going to be the ability of Will Howard, and let’s be clear that he has held his own in Martinez’s absence. The 13 – 2 TD to INT ratio is respectable enough, If Howard can stay composed and not let nerves get in the way on this big stage, Kansas State might be able to put up some points against TCU.

Even though I see TCU smashing Kansas State, I think I would rather see you all on the total. I see 62 at most sites, and as you see I expect TCU to get most of those. My 55 – 17 prediction might turn into a 48 – 24, but we should get 70+ no matter how they get there.

TCU Horned Frogs vs Kansas State Wildcats Best Bet

When these kids walk into this venue, eyes get wide and everyone wants to be remembered for a big performance. Highlights will be filled with touchdowns, so grab the total and expect TCU to cruise!

  • Selection: Over 62
  • Best odds: 1.91 (Pinnacle)
  • Stakes: 4/10

Odds as of 9:30 am December 2nd, 2022. Odds may now differ.

More TCU Horned Frogs vs Kansas State Wildcats Tips


North Carolina Tar Heels vs Clemson Tigers Preview

December 4, 01:00 (UK time)

It’s the ACC title game and we have Clemson and the Heels meeting in this year’s game that is being played at Bank of American Stadium in Charlotte, NC.

The #9 ranked Tigers come into the affair as -7.5 favourites against the 23rd ranked Tar Heels, and we have a 63.5 showing on the total.

The Tigers have become a mainstay in this title game, having participated in the ACC Conference Championship game in 7 of the last 8 years, but this year’s Tigers’ team has still left a lot of questions to be answered. It has not been a convincing trip to the title game for Clemson although you wouldn’t think that with a perfect 8 – 0 record against conference foes in 2022.

The Tigers announced earlier this week that wide receiver, Beaux Collins, will not be contributing to this game, as his shoulder injury has taken a turn for the worse. By the same token, here is one of the issues I have with Clemson being favored so strongly this weekend. Collins sat out a few games and tried to come back against South Carolina last weekend, which ended up being a 31 – 30 loss, and he aggravated the shoulder again and is done for the year and won’t be around for the bowl game either.

Collins has only caught 22 balls all year, and his 5 TD receptions are good enough to lead the Tigers’ entire receiving corps. I am sorry, but in this day and age, those numbers are absolute rubbish in my opinion.

Antonio Williams and his 517 receiving yards go with 4 TD snags to officially lead the WR staff, but my big issue here s with Dj Uiagalelei. The Clemson QB has been anything but consistent and reliable this year, and then we turn to what North Carolina is doing lately.

The Tar Heels are a perfect 6 – 0 on the road this year, and this is naturally another game that will be played away from home. That’s a far cry from the misery this team dealt with last year, and it’s how they got to this title game.

I do not doubt that everyone saw those final two losses of the regular season contributing to this high line of +7.5, and it certainly is not the best way to head into this game. Clemson is a perfect 6 – 0 in the ACC title game in their last 6 appearances here, so this is going to be a blast to watch.

Heels QB Drake Maye has put up some big numbers this season, and his 35 – 5 TD to INT ratio is respectable. Maye leads the team in rushing yards as well, so we know when it’s time to pick up a big first down with his legs he will be up to the task.

Wideout Josh Downs only needs 71 yards to become a 1,000-yard receiver in 2022, and his 11 touchdown snags lead the Heels receiving corps. Impressively, Maye has thrown at least 1 TD pass to 11 different dudes this season, so if you get open, he will find you!

North Carolina Tar Heels vs Clemson Tigers Best Bet

Give me those points, and expect another tightly contested game in this year’s ACC title game.

Selection: Tar Heels +7.5
Best odds: 1.93 (Pinnacle)
Stakes 4/10

Odds as of 9:30 am December 2nd, 2022. Odds may now differ.

More North Carolina Tar Heels vs Clemson Tigers Tips


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