NFL Week 1 Parlay Picks: Player Touchdown Parlay at 71.40 Odds

The NFL regular season finally returns this weekend, kicking off with Detroit Lions’ visit to Arrowhead to take on Superbowl Champions the Kansas City Chiefs on Thursday Night Football, before a slate of 14 games commences on Sunday evening, climaxing with an NFC East battle between the Dallas Cowboys and New York Giants on Sunday Night Football.

There are eight games for the Redzone Octobox at 6pm, with five more at 25-past-nine, including the NFC North matchup between the Chicago Bears and the Green Bay Packers.

• Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts: Calvin Ridley Anytime Touchdown Scorer
• Houston Texans vs Baltimore Ravens: JK Dobbins Anytime Touchdown Scorer
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Minnesota Vikings: Jordan Addison Anytime Touchdown Scorer
• Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears: Justin Fields Anytime Touchdown Scorer

Parlay odds: 71.40

Odds via 888sport as at 00:00, 7th September 2023. Odds may now differ.

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts: Riddle Me That Ridley

United States, NFL, Sunday, September 10, 18:00 (UK)

Calvin Ridley is back in the NFL and I expect him to be back in the end zone against divisional rival, the Indianapolis Colts. After missing the entirety of the 2022 season due to violating the NFL’s gambling policy, he returns to the league with a chip on his shoulder and a major point to prove.

Now out of the shadow of Julio Jones in Atlanta, Ridley has beaten teammates Christian Kirk and Zay Jones to be the clear WR1 for the Jags and with a QB as good as Trevor Lawrence is, he’ll no doubt have plenty of chances to get himself back on the scoreboard.

At 28, Jacksonville’s #0 balled out at training camp before shaking off the rust in pre-season outings against the Cowboys and Dolphins, catching all five of his targets for 71 yards at an average of 14.2 yards per reception – the highlight of them being a toe-tapping deep catch in coverage against Miami.

Ridley also has a favourable matchup this weekend too, in the form of Indianapolis’ largely inexperienced cornerback room. Only one of their active players (Kenny Moore II) has more than four career starts, with two rookies and two undrafted free agents likely to take the bulk of the snaps back there.

The trends also largely favour the Jaguars cashing in against their divisional rivals – they are currently 13-2-1 ATS against Indy since 2015, whilst the hosts are 1-13-1 in season openers. In the midst of a rebuild, and with lots of youth in their team, favour the Colts to stat slowly and Calvin to cash-in.

• Selection: Calvin Ridley Anytime Touchdown Scorer
• Best Odds: 3.00
• Bookmaker: 888sport
• Stake: 7/10

Houston Texans vs Baltimore Ravens: Ravens Run Riot In Baltimore

United States, NFL, Sunday, September 10, 18:00 (UK)

The Ravens love to rush the ball, that’s no secret. And why wouldn’t they? Baltimore boasts one of the league’s most potent running attacks and it’s led by their quarterback, one of the NFL’s truly elite dual threats, Lamar Jackson. But what happens when that team gets a new offensive coordinator, who says he wants his QB to rush less?

You turn to JK Dobbins, that’s what.

The 2020 2nd round pick certainly made his mark in his rookie season – with 925 all-purpose yards and nine touchdowns before being plagued by injuries in his 2nd and 3rd years, Dobbins missed the entirety of the 2021 season, and the majority of last season, but looked like a stud on his return down-the-stretch in 2022.

He added 337 rushing yards in the final four regular season games at 94.5 per game and opens his season with a very favourable matchup. Last season, the Houston Texans ranked #32 for opponent rushing yards per game, #31 for opponents rushing touchdowns per game, and #29 for opponent yards per rush attempt.

Meanwhile, the Ravens ranked #3 for rushing yards, #2 for yards per attempt and boast a top-10 offensive line thats more than capable of creating open lanes against a weak Houston D-Line.

• Selection: JK Dobbins Anytime Touchdown Scorer
• Best Odds: 2.50
• Bookmaker: 888sport
• Stake: 7/10

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Minnesota Vikings: Addison Adds One On

United States, NFL, Sunday, September 10, 18:00 (UK)

The star attraction in Minnesota is Justin Jefferson. The 2021 draftee is not only WR1 for the Vikings, he’s not even just WR1 in the NFC… He’s WR1 in the entire NFL. The cream of the crop. The best of the best. The centre of attention.

With Jettas on one side of the offense and likely to attract double and triple teams from the Tampa defense, there’s an opportunity for Vikings rookie Jordan Addison to announce himself in style on his NFL debut.

The former Pittsburgh Panther, drafted out of USC with the 23rd pick in this year’s draft, is an elite route-runner and racked up 100 receptions for 1,593 yards and 17 receiving touchdowns in his final year at Pitt.

The rookie looked really strong in Minnesota’s various training camps, and now takes over Adam Thielen’s role in the Vikings’ pass-heavy offense. Thielen, who left for Carolina in the offseason, racked up 107 targets and six touchdowns last year on what was a down year for him, and I think Addison has the sauce to be better.

He faces a Bucs defence that ranked dead last for passing touchdowns allowed last season and, while Jamel Dean focuses on Jefferson, Addison should be able to create separation on the other side.

• Selection: Jordan Addison Anytime Touchdown Scorer
• Best Odds: 4.00
• Bookmaker: 888sport
• Stake: 5/10

Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears: Fields’ Field Day With Green Bay

United States, NFL, Sunday, September 10, 21:25 (UK)

It’s extremely rare for a side to go from #1 pick in the NFL draft to division winners the next season, but the Chicago Bears have as good an opportunity as the sides that have come before them to do just that – especially in the NFC North.

If they are to stand a chance of doing so, they’ll need 3rd-year QB Justin Fields to take a big leap and explode as a legitimate dual threat quarterback and there’s probably no better place to begin than an Aaron-Rodgers-less Packers side rolling with a fourth-year QB that has made just one career start – which came all the way back in November 2021.

While the Packers seemingly got weaker, the Bears under HC Matt Eberflus and GM Ryan Poles improved their offensive weapons across the board. The addition of a true WR1 in DJ Moore as part of the package that saw the aforementioned #1 draft pick head to Carolina gives Fields a plethora of options under centre and should help to open up more RPOs.

Towards the end of last season, the Bears became all too predictable with the ball given Fields’ accuracy issues and reluctance to throw and if he’s ironed out some of those shortcomings in the offseason, he’ll give defenses a lot more to think about which should – theoretically – create space for him to use his legs.

Fields finished the 2022 regular season with eight rushing TDs – the 2nd most of all QBs and 12th highest overall – including scores in both of last year’s divisional games with the Packers.

• Selection: Justin Fields Anytime Touchdown Scoer
• Best Odds: 2.45
• Bookmaker: Betway
• Stake: 7/10

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