Football 
Tennis 
Horse Racing NCAA Football Week 11 Parlay Picks: A 6.95 Weekend Trixie
As the college football regular season winds down, we have just a few more weekends to cash some tickets. Conference Championship Games and Bowl Season will be here in short order, and our resident NCAA football expert has three games on his mind for Saturday. With a 6.95 3-game parlay on the board, that should suffice that fix and prepare us better for the upcoming Holiday Season too!
Let’s take it to the field and see what Ej has to offer for this Week 11 round of NCAA Football games as it appears he has one favourite, one underdog, and a total in mind.
- N.C. State Wolfpack vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons: N.C. State -1.5
- BYU Cougars vs Iowa State: Over 41.5 Points
- West Virginia Mountaineers vs Oklahoma Sooners: West Virginia +13.5
NCAA Football Week 11 Parlay Odds: 6.95
Odds via Bet365 as of 8:00 am on November 10, 2023. Odds may now differ.
WAKE FOREST DEMON DEACONS N.C. STATE WOLFPACK: The Pack Survives
I’ll start with an ACC battle with a line that has me wondering what we did to get this lucky. When I started doing my sheets when the bulk of the lined games popped up on Sunday, and the Wolfpack were favoured by a mere point.
Now, you will commonly see a -1.5 and I see some bookmakers already sliding this handicap to -2.5, and it’s only Friday morning. Something tells me that the longer you wait to get this in, you might have to lay a -3 with the Wolfpack, so I hope you see this early enough to get it in.
I see Pinnacle still shows -1 on the Wolfpack at 1.87, and I already have that bet posted on my Discord channel for my members who have access to Pinnacle.
Anyway, Wake Forest is, for some reason, being respected by the line setters by not even being +3 dogs at home, but yet I see a team that is struggling to get anything right lately. The Deacs have lost five of their last six games with a 4-point win over Pitt in that mix, and they are taking on a Wolfpack squad that earned their bowl eligibility with a win last weekend over Miami, 20 – 6.
Back-to-back wins over Clemson and Miami sure do give me the confidence to think that N.C. State wants to win this game just as badly. They are not some overwhelming favourites to go on the road and beat up Wake Forest on Saturday, so they better not just let up now. Virginia Tech and North Carolina are the last two remaining games for N.C.State after this weekend, so a 7 – 3 record would sure look better for the bowl committee when they start evaluating what the Wolfpack brings to the table.
I see a 36 – 20 type of easy win for the road team, so even if this line jumps on you, just take what they give you, and we should be fine. Mr. Armstrong should be able to navigate his offense enough to find paydirt a few times against the Wolfpack defense that ranks 88th and 96th in Passing Yards per Attempt and Yards per Completion.
BYU COUGARS VS IOWA STATE CYCLONES: Defence?
The Cougars’ defense impresses who? Well, I am not one of those impressed in the least, as the rankings even show you all you need to know. I need to be more tuned into rankings that they weigh my selections much, but this BYU defense ranks 80th or worse in 9 of the top-12 major defensive rankings.
It all starts with the 411 Yards Allowed per Game which puts this BYU defense at 101st, and the run defense barely exists. At 108th and 112th, the Cougars allow 174.8 rush yards and 4.8 yards per rushing attempt.
I am not expecting Iowa State to just run all over the Cougars, however, because they aren’t exactly built to run the ball all afternoon. They too rank in the 100’s in plenty of offensive categories, and that is why the totals are 3 – 6 to the Under for the Cyclones this season. I am well aware of that, but the Cyclones have not scored less than 20 points in their last six games.
This total is not set so high that we must worry about a high-scoring affair to break out because a simple 24 – 21 gets us our money. I expect that result to take place and it might take all 60 minutes of the game to get us there.
I am not telling you to watch this game because there will be times when watching paint dry is more exciting, but they will get there, my gut is telling me it will happen before the final whistle blows.
OKLAHOMA SOONERS VS WEST VIRGINIA MOUNTAINEERS: A BIG 12 SHOWDOWN IN NORMAN
Here we go again, right? I do believe that every time the Mountaineers have shown up as underdogs there is this guy who gets you on them. That’s right, that guy is me because I have handed out West Virginia plus the points time and again, and that time is now again!
We have already seen the chinks in the Sooner armour, and they have now lost their last two games including last week’s big one against rival Oklahoma State. Losing that game in that fashion after losing to Kansas the weekend before, the Sooners are in more trouble than the line setters want you to believe.
Those are both emotional losses for a Sooners’ squad that was just 7 – 0 and being talked about as being a possible FBS Playoff participant. Yeah, how about NO! All of that just went poof in only two weekends, and now they catch a hungry Mountaineers bunch that has relished the underdog role all season.
Texas Tech, TCU, and UCF can all attest to what it is like taking on West Virginia as favourites because all three of them lost to this West Virginia team.
Garrett Greene has done a great job keeping his offense on the field with only two interceptions all year, and the 10 TD passes look great alongside the 8 scoots to the end zone with his legs.
Luckily, Greene and the Mountaineers fans have CJ Donaldson in their backfield because the dude only needs 324 more rushing yards in 3 games to topple the 1000-yard magic number.
I also think that Greene will have to do more with his arm because Oklahoma certainly does stop the run well, so he will have to do more with his arm to keep this game tight. If either team can dominate the run game it is indeed Oklahoma. Ranked 7th in the nation in both rushing yards and rushing attempts, this game might just come down to which team; ‘s offensive line holds up the longest.
Expect a tight game and a much closer affair than the line setters want to tell you, and if the Mountaineers win this game outright I will not be full of shock!
NOVEMBER 13-19 IS SAFER GAMBLING WEEK 2023
November 13-19 marks an important date in the calendar. Safer Gambling Week is a significant industry-wide event that aims to shed more light on responsible betting. For more information and advice, head to the bettingexpert Safer Gambling hub or our brief explainer below.
