Villarreal vs. Real Valladolid Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 1 February 2025 - bettingexpert

As Villarreal hosts Real Valladolid at Estadio de la Ceramica on 1 February 2025, expect an interesting contest despite the significant disparity in standings. Villarreal, sitting comfortably in 5th place with 34 points, is in fine form, having secured a commendable draw against Atletico Madrid and a dominant 4-0 victory over Mallorca in their recent matches.
Conversely, Real Valladolid is languishing at the bottom of the table in 20th place with just 15 points. Their recent form has been disappointing, marked by a heavy defeat to Real Madrid and a poor away record, losing their last five away games.

Referee Isidro Diaz de Mera will oversee this clash, which is pivotal for both teams for different reasons. Villarreal aims to keep their European hopes alive, while Valladolid battles to escape the relegation zone. Key injuries for Villarreal include Alfonso Pedraza and Daniel Parejo, while Valladolid will miss Mario Martin due to suspension.

Given the current form and bookmaker’s odds, the recommended bet is for Villarreal to win. With odds of 1.25, it’s a reasonable expectation considering their superior position and Valladolid’s struggles on the road.

Villarreal vs Real Valladolid Prediction & Betting Tip

Our recommended betting tip is for Villarreal to win, supported by a compelling mix of current form, head-to-head record, and statistical backing.

Villarreal vs Real Valladolid Prediction
Betting tip	Odds
Villarreal to win	1.25

• Current Form: Villarreal are in solid form with a DWLWD record, contrasting sharply with Valladolid’s LLWLL performance.
• Head-to-Head Dominance: Villarreal has won most recent encounters against Valladolid, enhancing their psychological advantage.
• Statistical Edge: Villarreal averages significantly more goals scored (2.20) compared to Valladolid’s 0.80 in their last five games.

Villarreal vs Real Valladolid Odds

Here’s a glance at the betting odds for the upcoming clash at Estadio de la Ceramica:

Villarreal vs Real Valladolid Betting Odds
Bet	Odds
Villarreal	1.22
Draw	6.44
Real Valladolid	11.66

Villarreal is the clear favourite, and considering their recent form and Valladolid’s struggles away from home, it’s no surprise. The home side is pushing for a European spot and is just six points shy of a Champions League place. Real Valladolid, rooted at the bottom of the table, have had a torrid time on the road, with a dire record of one win in their last ten away games.

Villarreal Team Analysis

Villarreal Recent Performance

Home team	Away team	Result
Atletico Madrid	Villarreal	1-1 (Draw)
Villarreal	Mallorca	4-0 (Win)
Real Sociedad	Villarreal	1-0 (Loss)
Leganes	Villarreal	2-5 (Win)
Villarreal	Rayo Vallecano	1-1 (Draw)

Villarreal’s recent form showcases a fairly solid run with two draws, two wins, and just one loss. In their last five games, they’ve managed an impressive average of 2.2 goals per match, while keeping one clean sheet.

Their recent 4-0 thrashing of Mallorca and a commendable draw against Atletico Madrid highlight their strong mix of youth and experience.

Despite some injury concerns, Villarreal remains a strong attacking unit, evident in their high-scoring fixtures. They have conceded 1.6 goals on average this season, but their offensive prowess often compensates.

Villarreal Key Players

Villarreal’s standout performers include Gerard Moreno and Thierno Barry, who remain the backbone of their attack. Gerard Moreno, with his experience, has a knack for finding the net, while Barry’s pace keeps defenses on edge.
Ayoze Perez, the top scorer with 8 goals, will be pivotal in breaking through Real Valladolid’s defense. Additionally, players like Yeremi Pino and Pape Gueye will play crucial roles in the midfield, controlling the game’s tempo and providing assists.
Defensively, Kiko Femenia and Logan Costa will need to be solid to counter Valladolid’s forward line.

Expected lineup for Villarreal:

• Goalkeeper: Luiz Júnior
• Defenders: Kiko Femenia, Willy Kambwala, Logan Costa, Sergi Cardona
• Midfielders: Yéremi Pino, Pape Gueye, Denis Suarez, Alejandro Baena
• Forwards: Gerard Moreno, Thierno Barry

Villarreal Suspensions & Injuries

Villarreal will be without several key players due to injuries. However, there are no suspensions reported for this match.

Player	Injury	Expected return
Alfonso Pedraza	Cruciate ligament injury	Late February 2025
Ilias Akhomach	Cruciate ligament injury	Unknown
Daniel Parejo	Finger injury	Late February 2025
Juan Foyth	Muscle injury	Doubtful

These absences could significantly affect Villarreal’s depth and strategy, particularly in defense and midfield. Players like Sergi Cardona and Pape Gueye may need to step up to fill these gaps.

Villarreal Tactics and Formation

Villarreal Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-4-2
• Key Forwards: Gerard Moreno and Thierno Barry
• Midfield Quartet: Yeremi Pino, Pape Gueye, Denis Suarez, and Alejandro Baena
• Defensive Line: Kiko Femenia, Willy Kambwala, Logan Costa, and Sergi Cardona
• Goalkeeper: Luiz Junior

Villarreal will likely stick to their reliable 4-4-2 formation, focusing on a balanced approach between defense and attack. Key forwards Gerard Moreno and Thierno Barry will be crucial in breaking down Valladolid’s defense, considering they have scored 1.8 goals on average in the last five games. Pape Gueye and Denis Suarez in midfield will be tasked with controlling the tempo and providing creative passes. Defensively, Kiko Femenia and Logan Costa will aim to shut down any counter-attacks, while Luiz Junior guards the net. Expect an aggressive push late in both halves as Villarreal has a record of scoring most goals in the 76-90 and 16-30-minute intervals.

Real Valladolid Team Analysis

Recent Performance

Real Valladolid’s recent form has been inconsistent, with just one win in their last five matches. Here’s a closer look at their recent performances:

Home team	Away team	Result
Real Valladolid	Real Madrid	0-3 (Loss)
Espanyol	Real Valladolid	2-1 (Loss)
Real Valladolid	Real Betis	1-0 (Win)
Ourense	Real Valladolid	3-2 (Loss)
Girona	Real Valladolid	3-0 (Loss)

With an average goal-scoring rate of 0.80 goals per game and managing just one clean sheet during this period, Valladolid’s defense has been leaky, conceding an average of two goals per game this season.
They’ll need to tighten up defensively and improve their attacking output if they hope to get a result against Villarreal.

Real Valladolid Key Players

Expected lineup for Real Valladolid:

• Goalkeeper: Karl Hein
• Defenders: Luis Pérez, Javi Sánchez, David Torres, Lucas Rosa
• Midfielders: Anuar, Stanko Juric, Selim Amallah
• Attackers: Ivan Sanchez, Marcos Andre, Mamadou Sylla

Raul Moro, Valladolid’s top scorer with 3 goals, will be dearly missed due to a collarbone injury. In his absence, Marcos Andre and Ivan Sanchez need to step up and lead the attack. Karl Hein’s performance in goal will be crucial, particularly given Villarreal’s ability to score late in games. The midfield battle between Anuar and Villarreal’s Pape Gueye could be pivotal, influencing Valladolid’s ability to control the game.

Real Valladolid Suspensions & Injuries

Player	Injury	Expected return
Eray Cömert	Hamstring injury	Late February 2025
Raul Moro	Collarbone injury	Mid March 2025
Player	Suspension	Expected return
————-	—————–	———————
Mario Martin	Yellow/red card	Next match

Raul Moro’s absence, due to a collarbone injury, is a significant blow for Valladolid as he is their top scorer this season. His goal-scoring prowess will be sorely missed.

Adding to their woes, Eray Cömert’s hamstring issue weakens their defensive line, necessitating other defenders to fill his void effectively.

Mario Martin’s suspension leaves a gap in their midfield, complicating Diego Cocca’s plans to control the game against Villarreal.

Real Valladolid Tactics and Formation

Real Valladolid’s Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-3-3
• Key Forward: Marcos André
• Midfield Trio: Anuar, Stanko Jurić, Selim Amallah

With key players missing due to injuries and suspension, Diego Cocca may opt for a more cautious approach to contain Villarreal’s potent attack. Their 4-3-3 formation aims to disrupt Villarreal’s flow in midfield, using Anuar’s energy and Jurić’s resilience to break up play. Valladolid will likely focus on a compact defensive setup to mitigate their average of 2 goals conceded per match this season.

Their forwards, including Mamadou Sylla and Iván Sánchez, will be crucial for swift counter-attacks, trying to exploit any space left by Villarreal’s advanced full-backs.

Villarreal vs Real Valladolid Head-to-Head Statistics

Here’s a quick look at how Villarreal and Real Valladolid have fared against each other in their last five meetings:

Home	Away	Result
Real Valladolid	Villarreal	1-2
Villarreal	Real Valladolid	1-2
Real Valladolid	Villarreal	0-3
Real Valladolid	Villarreal	0-2
Villarreal	Real Valladolid	2-0

Villarreal clearly have the upper hand with four wins out of their last five encounters. Their only blip came at home last season, where they surprisingly lost 1-2 to Real Valladolid. This recent history gives Villarreal fans confidence heading into the match.

“Odds accurate as of 30.01.2025 15:16, and are subject to change.
Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.”