Swansea vs. Plymouth Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 9 April 2025 - bettingexpert
As the Championship enters its crucial 41st round, Swansea City will host Plymouth Argyle at the Swansea.com Stadium on 9 April 2025, with kick-off scheduled for 19:45. Swansea, sitting in 15th place with 48 points, will look to continue their recent upturn in form to secure a mid-table finish. Their opponents, Plymouth Argyle, are at the bottom of the table in 24th position, desperate to fight their way out of the relegation zone.
In their previous encounters, Swansea has generally had the upper hand, winning three of their last five encounters against Plymouth. This season, Swansea has displayed a mix of results, most recently securing a crucial win against Derby County. The Swans’ coach, Alan Sheehan, will likely rely on top scorer Liam Cullen to break down Plymouth’s defense.
Despite their last-place standing, Plymouth has shown resilience, recently defeating Norwich and drawing against Watford. However, their defense remains a concern, conceding an average of 2 goals per game. Manager Miron Muslic will need key players like Ryan Hardie to be at their best to stand a chance.
Given Swansea’s better form, home advantage, and historical edge, they are the bookmakers’ favourites with odds of 1.63 for a home win. For betting tips, a home win for Swansea is recommended.
This match is pivotal for both teams as they jostle for vital points in the season’s closing stages. While Swansea aims to secure a solid mid-table finish, Plymouth fights to escape the relegation zone. The stakes are high, reinforcing the importance of every goal and defensive effort in this encounter.
Swansea vs Plymouth Prediction & Betting Tip
Given the context of this Championship clash, a home win for Swansea City is our recommended betting tip. The Swans have been showing improvement in their recent form and have a historical edge over Plymouth in head-to-head encounters. Meanwhile, Plymouth’s defensive woes and their position at the bottom of the table make this prediction favorable for punters.
| Swansea vs Plymouth Prediction | |
|---|---|
| Betting Tip | Odds |
| Home win for Swansea | 1.63 |
- Swansea have a historical advantage, winning three of their last five matches against Plymouth.
- The Swans come off the back of an important win over Derby County, suggesting their recent form can secure them a win here.
- Plymouth struggles defensively, conceding an average of 2 goals per game, making it likely that Swansea will capitalize.
Swansea vs Plymouth Odds
When it comes to the betting odds for this Championship matchup, Swansea City is the clear favourite to take all three points. The bookmakers have set their odds in favour of a home win, reflecting both Swansea’s slightly better form and their historical edge in head-to-head encounters.
| Swansea vs Plymouth Betting Odds | |
|---|---|
| Bet | Odds |
| Swansea | 1.63 |
| Draw | 3.79 |
| Plymouth | 5.19 |
These odds suggest that Swansea’s recent improvement and superior record against Plymouth make them the logical choice for a win. If you fancy an underdog bet, though, a draw or a Plymouth win offers more lucrative returns.
Swansea Team Analysis
Swansea Recent Performance:
Swansea’s recent form has been a mixed bag, with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches. Here’s how they fared:
| Home Team | Away Team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea | Derby | 2025-04-05 | Championship | 1-0 (Win) |
| Leeds | Swansea | 2025-03-29 | Championship | 2-2 (Draw) |
| Swansea | Burnley | 2025-03-15 | Championship | 0-2 (Loss) |
| Watford | Swansea | 2025-03-12 | Championship | 1-0 (Loss) |
| Swansea | Middlesbrough | 2025-03-08 | Championship | 1-0 (Win) |
Despite their mixed form, Swansea has managed to keep two clean sheets in their last five games and has averaged 0.80 goals scored per match in this period. This indicates a cautious but defensively resilient approach by Alan Sheehan’s squad. While they struggle to score prolifically, their defense could provide a solid foundation for picking up points against lower-tier opponents like Plymouth.
Swansea Key Players
Swansea will be looking to their key players to make the difference against Plymouth. One of the standout names is Liam Cullen, their top scorer with 10 goals this season. He’ll be crucial in breaking down the Plymouth defense.
In the midfield, Lewis O’Brien and Gonçalo Franco will aim to control proceedings, with O’Brien also contributing significantly in defensive transitions.
Ben Cabango and Harry Darling will be key in Swansea’s backline, particularly in dealing with Plymouth’s top scorer, Ryan Hardie.
Expected lineup for Swansea:
- Goalkeeper: Lawrence Vigouroux
- Defenders: Josh Key, Ben Cabango, Harry Darling, Josh Tymon
- Midfielders: Ronald Pereira, Lewis O’Brien, Gonçalo Franco, Ji-sung Eom
- Forwards: Zan Vipotnik, Liam Cullen
Swansea Suspensions & Injuries
Swansea currently have a few injury concerns that could impact their squad depth for the upcoming fixture against Plymouth.
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Kristian Pedersen | Hamstring Injury | Mid May 2025 |
| Myles Peart-Harris | Back injury | Mid April 2025 |
Kristian Pedersen’s absence, due to a hamstring injury, means that Alan Sheehan will need to find a suitable replacement in defence, potentially disrupting Swansea’s defensive solidity. Myles Peart-Harris, who is out with a back injury, might miss this match but is expected to return soon.
These injuries could test Swansea’s squad depth but won’t necessarily be detrimental to their overall game plan. Alan Sheehan will be looking for his team to step up and fill these gaps.
Swansea Tactics and Formation
Swansea Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 4-4-2
- Key Forward: Liam Cullen
- Midfield Setup:
- Right Midfielder: Ronald Pereira
- Right Central Midfielder: Lewis O’Brien
- Left Central Midfielder: Gonçalo Franco
- Left Midfielder: Ji-sung Eom
- Defensive Line:
- Right Back: Josh Key
- Right Centre Back: Ben Cabango
- Left Centre Back: Harry Darling
- Left Back: Josh Tymon
Swansea have recently shown a preference for a balanced 4-4-2 formation, aiming to maintain structure both defensively and offensively. With Alan Sheehan at the helm, they seem keen on securing the midfield with a robust quartet while leveraging Liam Cullen’s scoring prowess up front. Their defense, anchored by Ben Cabango and Harry Darling, has managed to secure two clean sheets in their last five games. With back-to-back home games, the Swans will look to maintain a tight defensive line while exploiting Plymouth’s vulnerabilities late on, as both teams struggle at the 76-90 minute mark.
Plymouth Team Analysis
Plymouth Recent Performance
Plymouth’s recent performance has been a mixed bag, with results showcasing a bit of everything: a win, a loss, a draw, and then another win and a loss. Their spot at the bottom in 24th position in the Championship standings reflects their struggles.
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plymouth | Norwich | 2025-04-05 | Championship | 2-1 (Win) |
| Watford | Plymouth | 2025-03-29 | Championship | 0-0 (Draw) |
| Plymouth | Derby | 2025-03-15 | Championship | 2-3 (Loss) |
| Portsmouth | Plymouth | 2025-03-12 | Championship | 1-2 (Win) |
| Plymouth | Sheffield Wednesday | 2025-03-08 | Championship | 0-3 (Loss) |
Plymouth has managed to score an average of 1.20 goals in their last 5 games while keeping one clean sheet. Their defensive issues are clear, conceding 2 goals on average per match this season. Despite the mixed results, their recent victory against Norwich and a hard-fought draw against Watford could boost their confidence heading into this clash.
Plymouth Key Players
Plymouth’s key players will need to step up if they are to make an impact against Swansea. Ryan Hardie, with 8 goals to his name, will be aiming to exploit any defensive lapses from Swansea, particularly noted in the 76-90 minute interval. Midfielder Adam Randell will play a crucial role as well, offering both defensive cover and creative sparks. Up front, Mustapha Bundu’s pace and positioning can pose significant threats.
Expected lineup for Plymouth:
- Goalkeeper: Conor Hazard
- Defenders: Julio Pleguezuelo, Victor Palsson, Kornél Szűcs
- Midfielders: Matthew Sorinola, Darko Gyabi, Adam Randell, Bali Mumba
- Attackers: Callum Wright, Ryan Hardie, Mustapha Bundu
Look out for the battle between Hardie and Swansea’s central defenders, Cabango and Darling. This could be the key area where the match is decided.
Plymouth Suspensions & Injuries
Plymouth is dealing with significant injury concerns that could impact their performance against Swansea. Notably, Brendan Galloway is out for the season due to a hip injury, and Maksym Taloverov is expected to return in mid-May following a knee injury.
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Brendan Galloway | Hip injury | Out for season |
| Maksym Taloverov | Knee injury | Mid May 2025 |
These absences will undoubtedly be felt, especially in defense where they already have vulnerabilities. The absence of Galloway, who plays a crucial role at the back, will be hard to cover for, and Taloverov’s absence further weakens their defensive line. This could leave them exposed, particularly during the latter stages of the match, where they have struggled to maintain composure.
Plymouth Tactics and Formation
Plymouth Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 3-4-3
- Key Forward: Mustapha Bundu
- Creative Spark: Ryan Hardie
- Midfield Engine: Darko Gyabi and Adam Randell
Plymouth’s strategy revolves around a dynamic 3-4-3 formation. At the front, Mustapha Bundu leads the line, with Ryan Hardie providing the creative flair necessary to break down defenses.
In midfield, Darko Gyabi and Adam Randell form a robust partnership, key to both defensive stability and attacking transitions.
Defensively, Plymouth have struggled, conceding an average of 2 goals per match, but they will look to lean on central defender Julio Pleguezuelo to shore up the back line. The wide presence of wing-backs Matthew Sorinola and Bali Mumba is crucial in stretching the opposition and creating width in attack.
Swansea vs Plymouth Head-to-Head Statistics
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plymouth | Swansea | 2024-12-10 | Championship | 1-2 (Win) |
| Swansea | Plymouth | 2024-02-03 | Championship | 0-1 (Loss) |
| Plymouth | Swansea | 2023-10-07 | Championship | 1-3 (Win) |
| Plymouth | Swansea | 2022-07-12 | Club Friendlies | 1-1 (Draw) |
| Swansea | Plymouth | 2021-08-24 | EFL Cup | 4-1 (Win) |
Swansea have had the upper hand in recent encounters, securing three wins out of their last five meetings with Plymouth.
This historical edge will certainly boost their confidence as they prepare for this crucial Championship fixture.
Odds accurate as of 4th July 2025 19:48, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.
