Valencia vs. Leganes Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 9 February 2025 - bettingexpert

This Sunday at 15:15, Valencia hosts Leganes at Estadio Mestalla in a crucial LaLiga relegation battle. With Valencia sitting 19th and Leganes slightly better at 16th, both teams are under severe pressure to secure points.

Valencia recently showed resilience by winning against Celta Vigo and Real Sociedad, despite conceding heavily in other matches. They are four points adrift of safety, relying on Hugo Duro, their top scorer, to spearhead their attack.

Leganes, unbeaten in their last seven away matches, have proven to be defensively solid, making this a tough challenge for Valencia. The referee Guillermo Cuadra will oversee the proceedings.

Our match tips favor Valencia to win. Despite their position, they have a solid home record, and Leganes have struggled on the road. Thus, backing Valencia to clinch three vital points seems a prudent choice.

Valencia vs Leganes Prediction & Betting Tip

This LaLiga matchup sees Valencia taking on Leganes at Estadio Mestalla. Given the circumstances, our recommended betting tip is to back Valencia to win. Here’s why:

Valencia vs Leganes Prediction
Betting tip	Odds
Valencia to win	1.72

• Solid Home Record: Despite their struggles, Valencia tends to perform well at home, enhancing their chances of a win.
• Leganes’ Away Struggles: Leganes generally find it challenging to secure victories on the road, placing them at a disadvantage.
• Better Recent Form: Valencia’s recent form of 2-1-2 is slightly better than Leganes’ 1-2-2, instilling more confidence in their potential to clinch the three points.

These factors make Valencia the more favorable option for securing a win in this crucial relegation battle.

Valencia vs Leganes Odds

With Valencia hosting Leganes at the Estadio Mestalla, let’s delve into the odds for this upcoming LaLiga clash. The bookmakers clearly favor Valencia to come away with a win, reflecting their strong home record.

Valencia vs Leganes Betting Odds
Bet	Odds
Valencia to win	1.72
Draw	3.40
Leganes to win	5.42

The odds lean heavily towards a Valencia victory. Despite their rocky season, Valencia’s home strength gives them the upper hand.
Furthermore, considering Leganes’ struggles on the road and Valencia’s better recent form, putting your money on a home win looks like a sound bet.

Valencia Team Analysis

Valencia Recent Performance

Valencia has had a rollercoaster ride in their recent matches, demonstrating both resilience and frailty.

Home team	Away team	Result
Valencia	Barcelona	0-5 (Loss)
Valencia	Celta Vigo	2-1 (Win)
Barcelona	Valencia	7-1 (Loss)
Valencia	Real Sociedad	1-0 (Win)
Ourense	Valencia	0-2 (Win)

Recent Form:

Valencia has shown mixed form lately, registering two wins and three losses over their last five encounters. An average of 1.20 goals scored per game during this period highlights their offensive capability, but it’s offset by defensive vulnerabilities.
They’ve managed to keep two clean sheets in these games, indicating moments of defensive solidity. This pattern underscores the challenge Valencia faces in maintaining consistency, as evidenced by heavy defeats interspersed with crucial victories.
Carlos Corberán will be looking to build on their recent home wins against Celta Vigo and Real Sociedad, hoping that their strong performances can steer them clear of the relegation zone.

Valencia Key Players

Valencia will be heavily relying on Hugo Duro, their top scorer with 7 goals this season, to make an impact up front. His performance against Leganes’ defense will be crucial, especially given Leganes’ ability to maintain defensive discipline.
Pepelu and Hugo Guillamón in the midfield will be tasked with dictating the play and stopping Leganes’ attacking threats, particularly from Juan Cruz, who has 4 goals this season.
Expect significant contributions from goalkeeper Giorgi Mamardashvili, whose shot-stopping ability is vital for Valencia’s prospects.
Expected lineup for Valencia:

• Goalkeeper: Giorgi Mamardashvili
• Defenders: Max Aarons, Cristhian Mosquera, César Tárrega, Jose Gaya
• Midfielders: Diego López, Javi Guerra, Enzo Barrenechea, Luis Rioja
• Attackers: André Almeida, Hugo Duro

This lineup will need to balance offensive threats and defensive solidity if they are to secure vital points.

Valencia Suspensions & Injuries

Valencia have a significant injury concern with Thierry Correia out for the season due to a cruciate ligament injury. His absence leaves a noticeable gap in their defensive line, which could affect their ability to handle Leganes’ attacks.

Player	Injury	Expected return
Thierry Correia	Cruciate ligament injury	Out for season

This injury forces Carlos Corberán to adjust his defensive strategy, potentially making their backline more vulnerable. With no suspensions reported, the rest of the squad remains available for selection, granting some flexibility in their approach against Leganes.

Valencia Tactics and Formation

Valencia Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-4-2
• Key Forward: Hugo Duro
• Midfield Dynamics: Diego López and Enzo Barrenechea
• Defensive Backbone: Max Aarons and Jose Gaya
• Strategic Note: Solid defense with an emphasis on maintaining possession.

Valencia are expected to line up in a 4-4-2 formation, aiming to balance both attack and defense effectively. The forwards, Hugo Duro and André Almeida, will spearhead the attack, relying on quick transitions and exploiting any defensive lapses from Leganes.

Midfield will be pivotal, with Javi Guerra and Enzo Barrenechea anchoring the central positions, allowing Diego López and Luis Rioja to provide width and support the strikers.

Carlos Corberán’s side will look to tighten their defense, especially given past vulnerabilities, and work towards maintaining control of the game with disciplined, organized play.

Leganes Team Analysis

Recent Performance

Leganes have experienced a mixed bag of results in their last five matches, reflected in their recent form of 2 losses, 2 wins, and 1 draw (LLDWW). They’ve come up short against tough opponents like Real Madrid and Rayo Vallecano but managed hard-fought victories against Atletico Madrid and Almeria.

Here’s a look at their last five matches:

Home team	Away team	Result
Leganes	Real Madrid	2-3 (Loss)
Leganes	Rayo Vallecano	0-1 (Loss)
Athletic Club	Leganes	0-0 (Draw)
Leganes	Atletico Madrid	1-0 (Win)
Almeria	Leganes	2-3 (Win)

Despite the occasional struggles, Leganes have been consistent defensively, securing 2 clean sheets in their last five games. They average 1.20 goals scored in their recent outings, much like their opponents for the upcoming match, Valencia.

This indicates a balanced offensive and defensive performance, which will be crucial as they seek to solidify their standing in LaLiga.

Leganes Key Players

Expected lineup for Leganes:

• Goalkeeper: Marko Dmitrovic
• Defenders: Valentin Rosier, Jorge Sáenz, Matija Nastasic
• Midfielders: Adrià Altimira, Renato Tapia, Yvan Neyou, Juan Cruz, Oscar Rodríguez Arnaiz
• Attackers: Daniel Raba, Miguel de la Fuente

Key players for Leganes include top scorer Juan Cruz, who has netted 4 goals this season. Watch out for Oscar Rodríguez Arnaiz in midfield, providing creativity and linking up play.

A pivotal battle could be between Cruz and Valencia’s defenders, likely Cristhian Mosquera and César Tárrega, as Leganes look to exploit any defensive lapses.

With Renato Tapia in central midfield, expect a solid defensive performance, but Leganes will need to strike a perfect balance between attack and defense to secure points at Estadio Mestalla.

Leganes Suspensions & Injuries

Player	Injury	Expected return
Enric Franquesa	Cruciate ligament injury	Out for season
Seydouba Cissé	Hamstring Injury	Early March 2025
<br>
Player	Suspension	Expected return
—————–	————	—————–
Sergio González	Red card	1 match
<br>
Leganes’ squad is dealing with significant absences due to injuries and suspensions. Enric Franquesa’s season-long absence due to a cruciate ligament injury puts pressure on their defensive depth. Seydouba Cissé’s hamstring injury means he will be sidelined until early March, reducing their options in midfield.

Sergio González’s suspension following a red card further limits the defensive lineup for the upcoming match against Valencia. This could impact Leganes’ ability to field a solid backline and maintain their defensive structure. These absences might force Borja Jiménez to tweak his formation or rely on less experienced players, potentially creating vulnerabilities for Valencia to exploit.

Leganes Tactics and Formation

Leganes Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-3-3, shifting from their recent 5-4-1 setup.
• Key Forward: Miguel de la Fuente, expected to lead the line alongside Daniel Raba.
• Midfield Trio: Renato Tapia, Yvan Neyou, and Juan Cruz aim to control the central areas, with Oscar Rodríguez Arnaiz playing behind the forwards.
• Defensive Strength: Despite missing Sergio González due to suspension, the defense, led by Matija Nastasic, and Marko Dmitrovic in goal, aims to stay compact.

Borja Jiménez may opt for a more conservative approach due to key absences. The strategy often relies on strong defensive organization and capitalizing on late-game scoring opportunities, especially in the 76-90 minute interval as seen this season. This adaptability can be crucial against an unpredictable Valencia side.

Valencia vs Leganes Head-to-Head Statistics

Home	Away	Result
Leganes	Valencia	0-0
Leganes	Valencia	1-0
Valencia	Leganes	1-1
Leganes	Valencia	1-1
Valencia	Leganes	1-1

As you can see from recent encounters, these two teams have often shared the points or seen very closely contested games. It’s certainly something to keep in mind; expecting a large goal margin might not be the best bet.
Less than 2.5 goals have been scored in 78% of their last nine matches, indicating historically tight defensive setups from both sides. While Valencia has the bookmakers’ favor, it might still be a closely contested affair.

Odds accurate as of 07/02/2025 15:16, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.