Montpellier vs. Le Havre Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 6 April 2025 - bettingexpert
As we head into Round 28 of Ligue 1, this clash between Montpellier and Le Havre at Stade de la Mosson is more than just another fixture—it’s a crucial encounter in the relegation battle. Montpellier, anchored at the bottom of the standings in 18th place with 15 points, desperately needs a turnaround but faces a daunting task. They have not scored in 690 minutes of football and have lost eight consecutive matches.
Le Havre, sitting in 16th with 24 points, has been more consistent in scoring and recently secured a positive result against Nantes. A victory here could significantly boost their chances of avoiding relegation. Montpellier’s defensive frailties and lack of goal-scoring prowess contrast sharply with Le Havre’s more consistent record.
With both teams desperate for points, referee Benoit Bastien’s oversight will be crucial. Our tip? Place your bets on Le Havre to win.
Montpellier vs Le Havre Prediction & Betting tip
Given Montpellier’s poor form and Le Havre’s consistency in finding the back of the net, our betting tip for this matchup is to back Le Havre to win.
| Montpellier vs Le Havre Prediction | |
|————————————–|——————————–|
| Betting tip | Odds |
| Le Havre to win | 2.78 |
- Montpellier has been on a losing streak with zero goals in their last 690 minutes of play.
- Le Havre has a better recent performance, consistently scoring over their last eight games.
- The home team is riddled with injuries, severely impacting their squad’s capacity to perform.
Montpellier vs Le Havre Odds
The bookmakers have given a slight edge to Montpellier despite their troubling form, possibly due to their home advantage. Here’s how the odds stack up for this crucial Ligue 1 encounter:
| Montpellier vs Le Havre Betting Odds | |
|---|---|
| Bet | Odds |
| Montpellier | 2.45 |
| Draw | 3.42 |
| Le Havre | 2.78 |
These odds reflect a closely contested match. Given Montpellier hasn’t scored a goal in their last 690 minutes of play and Le Havre’s consistent goal-scoring form, betting on Le Havre to win at 2.78 offers good value. Montpellier’s current struggles make them a risky bet, while Le Havre’s momentum gives them the upper hand in this clash.
Montpellier Team Analysis
Montpellier Recent Performance
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Auxerre | Montpellier | 2025-03-30 | Ligue 1 | 1-0 (Loss) |
| Montpellier | Saint-Étienne | 2025-03-16 | Ligue 1 | 0-2 (Loss) |
| Lille | Montpellier | 2025-03-08 | Ligue 1 | 1-0 (Loss) |
| Montpellier | Rennes | 2025-03-02 | Ligue 1 | 0-4 (Loss) |
| Nice | Montpellier | 2025-02-23 | Ligue 1 | 2-0 (Loss) |
Montpellier is enduring a torrid spell, losing their last eight matches and scoring just one goal in their last 690 minutes of play. Their recent form reads like a horror story for their fans: LLLLL. They have failed to keep a clean sheet, conceding multiple goals in several games. Averaging 0 goals per match over their last five games underscores their offensive struggles. Defensive issues and key injuries are plaguing the team, making their survival in Ligue 1 a daunting challenge.
Montpellier Key Players
Despite Montpellier’s struggles, a few key players will be crucial in their attempt to turn things around.
Arnaud Nordin, the top scorer, has managed 4 goals this season and will be keen to end their scoring drought.
Teji Savanier, known for his playmaking abilities, will need to deliver top-notch performances to ignite Montpellier’s attack.
In defence, Boubakar Kouyaté and Issiaga Sylla need to step up to provide stability at the back.
Expected lineup for Montpellier:
- Goalkeeper: Benjamin Lecomte
- Defenders: Falaye Sacko, Boubakar Kouyaté, Modibo Sagnan, Issiaga Sylla
- Midfielders: Teji Savanier, Jordan Ferri, Joris Chotard, Othmane Maamma
- Forwards: Andy Delort, Tanguy Coulibaly
Key battles to watch include Nordin against Le Havre’s Gautier Lloris and Kouyaté trying to contain Andre Ayew.
Montpellier Suspensions & Injuries
Injuries are significantly hampering Montpellier’s efforts to stay in Ligue 1.
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Christopher Jullien | Cruciate ligament injury | Mid-April 2025 |
| Nikola Maksimovic | Hamstring injury | Out for the season |
| Becir Omeragic | Meniscus injury | Mid-April 2025 |
| Enzo Tchato | Muscle injury | Mid-April 2025 |
These injuries particularly impact Montpellier’s defensive stability, with key players like Jullien and Maksimovic out, making it more challenging for Coach Jean-Louis Gasset to set up a solid backline. This defensive fragility could further compound their struggles in scoring and worsen their situation against a consistent attacking side like Le Havre.
Montpellier Tactics and Formation
Montpellier Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 4-2-3-1
- Key Forward: Andy Delort
- Midfield Core: Jordan Ferri, Joris Chotard, Teji Savanier
- Defensive Set-Up: Falaye Sacko, Boubakar Kouyaté, Modibo Sagnan, Issiaga Sylla
- Weakness: No clean sheets in the last five games
- Notable Strategy: Pushing forward through wingers to create scoring opportunities
Jean-Louis Gasset appears to favour a 4-2-3-1 formation to address Montpellier’s recent struggles. Delort is likely to lead the attack, aiming to break their 690-minute goal drought. The midfield trio of Ferri, Chotard, and Savanier will need to be resilient, with the defensive backline shored up by Kouyaté and Sagnan, key to stabilising their shaky defence. Expect Montpellier to push hard in wide areas to exploit Le Havre’s defensive weaknesses.
Le Havre Team Analysis
Le Havre Recent Performance
Le Havre have shown a mix of results in their recent outings, displaying both resilience and inconsistency. Here’s a look at their last five matches:
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre | Nantes | 2025-03-30 | Ligue 1 | 3-2 (Win) |
| Lyon | Le Havre | 2025-03-16 | Ligue 1 | 4-2 (Loss) |
| Le Havre | Saint-Etienne | 2025-03-09 | Ligue 1 | 1-1 (Draw) |
| Lens | Le Havre | 2025-03-01 | Ligue 1 | 3-4 (Win) |
| Le Havre | Toulouse | 2025-02-23 | Ligue 1 | 1-4 (Loss) |
Le Havre have scored an impressive average of 2.20 goals per game in their last five matches, but their defense has struggled, allowing multiple goals per match and keeping no clean sheets. They’ve managed to find the net in all of their last eight games, highlighting their attacking prowess, especially in the 61-75 minute interval where they are most prolific. This recent form makes them a formidable opponent for Montpellier.
Le Havre Key Players
Le Havre will be relying on some key players to make an impact in their clash against Montpellier.
Expected lineup for Le Havre:
- Goalkeeper: Arthur Desmas
- Defenders: Loic Nego, Arouna Sangante, Gautier Lloris, Timothée Pembélé
- Midfielders: Abdoulaye Toure, Junior Mwanga, Josué Casimir, Yassine Kechta, Issa Soumaré
- Forward: André Ayew
Abdoulaye Toure, with 7 goals, will be pivotal in the midfield, providing both defensive strength and attacking support.
The experienced André Ayew will lead the frontline, hoping to exploit the vulnerabilities in Montpellier’s defense.
Potential battles to watch include Ayew vs Montpellier’s center backs, Modibo Sagnan and Boubakar Kouyaté.
With both teams struggling defensively, these individual matchups could very well decide the outcome.
Le Havre Suspensions & Injuries
Le Havre will have to navigate through some injury concerns as they face Montpellier. Here are the current absences affecting the squad:
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Mohamed Bayo | Sprained ankle | Late May 2024 |
| Elysee Logbo | Shoulder injury | Mid April 2025 |
| Mathieu Gorgelin | Muscle injury | About 1-2 weeks |
The absence of Mohamed Bayo, a potential attacking threat, could limit Le Havre’s offensive options. Elysee Logbo’s shoulder injury also impacts their depth. However, their midfield and defensive structure remain relatively intact, giving them a fair chance against Montpellier.
Le Havre Tactics and Formation
Le Havre Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 4-2-3-1
- Key Forward: André Ayew
- Midfield Duo: Abdoulaye Toure, Junior Mwanga
- Defensive Line: Loic Nego (right back), Arouna Sangante (right center back), Gautier Lloris (left center back), Timothée Pembélé (left back)
Le Havre, under Didier Digard, have been utilizing a 4-2-3-1 formation, which provides a solid blend of defensive stability and offensive fluidity.
Abdoulaye Toure is a linchpin in midfield, paired with Junior Mwanga to provide both ball-winning capabilities and playmaking prowess.
Their attacking strategy is potent during the 61-75 minute interval, where they’ve scored the most goals this season.
With André Ayew leading the line and supportive roles from wingers like Josué Casimir and Issa Soumaré, they pose a constant threat to Montpellier’s defence.
Montpellier vs Le Havre Head-to-Head Statistics
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre | Montpellier | 2024-11-03 | Ligue 1 | 1-0 (Loss) |
| Le Havre | Montpellier | 2024-03-31 | Ligue 1 | 0-2 (Win) |
| Montpellier | Le Havre | 2023-08-13 | Ligue 1 | 2-2 (Draw) |
| Montpellier | Le Havre | 2008-05-02 | Ligue 2 | 0-0 (Draw) |
| Le Havre | Montpellier | 2007-12-10 | Ligue 2 | 0-0 (Draw) |
These teams have faced off multiple times across different competitions.
Montpellier managed a win and a draw in the last three encounters, suggesting a historically competitive matchup.
However, recent form and Montpellier’s current losing streak may affect their performance in this fixture.
Odds accurate as of 04/04/2025 16:18, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.
