Toulouse vs. Lille Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 12 April 2025 - bettingexpert

This Saturday’s clash at 18:00 sees Toulouse welcoming Lille to the Stadium Municipal for an intriguing Ligue 1 encounter. We’re heading into the 29th round of the competition, with both teams seeking crucial points. Toulouse currently sits 11th in the standings with 34 points, while Lille is 7th with 47 points, vying for a European competition spot. This game is set to be officiated by Jerome Brisard.

Despite an exciting lineup and Toulouse’s home advantage, recent form has seen them struggle, stringing together three consecutive losses. On the other hand, Lille, despite being the bookmakers’ favorite, have shown inconsistency in their performances lately.

Expectations are for a closely contested match, with the prediction leaning towards a balanced draw, possibly a 1-1 scoreline. The recommended betting tips include backing a draw, underscoring the evenly matched nature of both teams’ current form and injury issues. Given Toulouse’s typical goal-scoring ability and Lille’s defensive capabilities, this match is likely to be tightly contested.

Toulouse vs Lille Prediction & Betting Tip

Recommending a draw as the betting tip for this match, leveraging the recent form and historical context provided in the match details.

Toulouse vs Lille Prediction
Betting tip	Odds
Draw	3.20

• Both teams have demonstrated inconsistencies in their recent performances, suggesting a balanced match-up.
• Toulouse has managed to score in most matches this season, while Lille averages a low number of goals scored in recent games.
• Their head-to-head encounters have seen a notable number of draws, making a stalemate a likely outcome.

Toulouse vs Lille Odds

Toulouse vs Lille Betting Odds
Bet	Odds
Toulouse	2.83
Draw	3.20
Lille	2.50

Lille comes into the match as slight favourites, reflecting their higher league position and better recent consistency. However, Toulouse, being the home side, does not trail far behind in the betting markets. With both teams showing a tendency for draws in their recent form, the odds for a stalemate could hold value.

Given Toulouse’s ability to score in most games this season and Lille’s recent inconsistencies, a draw at 3.20 looks like an enticing option for punters.

Toulouse Team Analysis

Toulouse Recent Performance

Home team	Away team	Date	Competition	Result
Marseille	Toulouse	2025-04-06	Ligue 1	3-2 (Loss)
Toulouse	Brest	2025-03-30	Ligue 1	2-4 (Loss)
Strasbourg	Toulouse	2025-03-16	Ligue 1	2-1 (Loss)
Toulouse	Monaco	2025-03-07	Ligue 1	1-1 (Draw)
Angers	Toulouse	2025-03-02	Ligue 1	0-4 (Win)

Recent Form: LLLDW

Toulouse has had a rough patch recently, losing their last three games. Despite this, they’ve managed to score in most of their matches, boasting an average of 2.00 goals scored in their last 5 games. They’ve struggled defensively, with only one clean sheet in this period.

Despite these challenges, Toulouse has shown resilience, particularly in their surprising 4-0 win against Angers. However, they clearly need to tighten up defensively to improve their standings and move up from their current 11th position.

Toulouse Key Players

Toulouse’s key players to watch will be Frank Magri and Yann Gboho, both expected to make considerable impacts in the match. Magri, in particular, has been pivotal upfront, scoring in his last five Ligue 1 matches for Toulouse. His goal-scoring form could be crucial in breaking Lille’s defense. Midfielder Vincent Sierro will also be key in driving the team forward, while goalkeeper Guillaume Restes will aim to improve on recent performances by providing a solid presence at the back.

Expected lineup for Toulouse:

• Goalkeeper: Guillaume Restes
• Defenders: Djibril Sidibe, Charlie Cresswell, Mark McKenzie
• Midfielders: Aron Dönnum, Cristhian Cásseres Jr, Vincent Sierro, Gabriel Suazo, Shavy Babicka, Yann Gboho
• Forwards: Frank Magri

The battle between Magri and Lille’s defensive duo of Bafodé Diakité and Alexsandro Ribeiro will be one to watch.

Toulouse Suspensions & Injuries

Toulouse has a few key players sidelined due to injuries, which could impact their performance against Lille.

Player	Injury	Expected return
Niklas Schmidt	Cruciate ligament injury	Out for the season
Rasmus Nicolaisen	Ankle injury	Mid April 2025
Zakaria Aboukhlal	Thigh injury	Mid April 2025

Niklas Schmidt’s absence means Toulouse will lack some stability in their midfield for the rest of the season. Rasmus Nicolaisen and Zakaria Aboukhlal are also key losses, potentially weakening both their defense and attack. The team will rely on its depth to cope with these injuries in this crucial match, hoping the remaining players can step up.

Toulouse Tactics and Formation

Toulouse Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 3-4-2-1
• Key Forward: Frank Magri – consistently finding the net, he has scored in his last five Ligue 1 matches.
• Midfield Four: Aron Dönnum, Cristhian Cásseres Jr., Vincent Sierro, Gabriel Suazo
• Right Midfielder: Aron Dönnum provides width and crosses.
• Central Midfielders: Cristhian Cásseres Jr. and Vincent Sierro manage defense and transition play.
• Left Midfielder: Gabriel Suazo adds creativity and supports attacks.
• Defensive Trio: Djibril Sidibe, Charlie Cresswell, Mark McKenzie

Toulouse will likely deploy a three-man defensive line, aiming to be compact and hard to break down. The wing-backs play crucial roles in both defense and attack, while the two attacking midfielders – Shavy Babicka and Yann Gboho – seek to link up with Magri and create scoring opportunities.

Despite recent inconsistent results, Toulouse’s lineup shows promise in balancing defensive duties with offensive threats, relying on structured play and quick transitions to exploit Lille’s defensive vulnerabilities.

Lille Team Analysis

Lille Recent Performance

Home team	Away team	Date	Competition	Result
Lyon	Lille	2025-04-05	Ligue 1	2-1 (Loss)
Lille	Lens	2025-03-30	Ligue 1	1-0 (Win)
Nantes	Lille	2025-03-15	Ligue 1	1-0 (Loss)
Lille	B. Dortmund	2025-03-12	Champions League	1-2 (Loss)
Lille	Montpellier	2025-03-08	Ligue 1	1-0 (Win)

Recent Form: LDLWL
Lille’s recent run has been a mixed bag. They snagged victories against Lens and Montpellier but faced setbacks from Lyon, Nantes, and Borussia Dortmund. In these last five games, Lille managed only two clean sheets and scored an average of 0.8 goals per match.
Their inconsistencies hinder them from securing a stronger foothold in the competition, but their defense remains relatively robust with an average concession of only 1.1 goals in 28 matches. Bruno Génésio will be keen to tighten up both offensively and defensively to push for a higher standing.

Lille Key Players

Expected lineup for Lille:

• Goalkeeper: Lucas Chevalier
• Defenders: Thomas Meunier, Bafodé Diakité, Alexsandro Ribeiro, Gabriel Gudmundsson
• Midfielders: Benjamin Andre, Andre Gomes, Mitchel Bakker, Ngal’ayel Mukau, Hákon Arnar Haraldsson
• Forward: Jonathan David

Jonathan David stands out as Lille’s main threat with 14 goals this season. His battle against Toulouse’s defenders, such as Charlie Cresswell and Mark McKenzie, will be key.

Benjamin Andre and Andre Gomes will look to control the midfield and counter Toulouse’s creativity from Cristian Cásseres Jr.

In defense, Lucas Chevalier, along with a sturdy backline, aims for a clean sheet to strengthen Lille’s stand.

Lille Suspensions & Injuries

Player	Injury	Expected return
Samuel Umtiti	Knee injury	Mid April 2025
Tiago Santos	Cruciate ligament injury	Out for season
Edon Zhegrova	Muscle injury	Mid April 2025
Ethan Mbappe	Illness	About 1-2 weeks

Lille faces a few challenges with their current injury list. Samuel Umtiti and Edon Zhegrova are expected to return by mid-April, but their presence on the bench this Saturday is uncertain. Tiago Santos will be missing for the rest of the season due to a severe injury, reducing defensive options. Ethan Mbappe is also sidelined, expected to return in 1-2 weeks. These injuries could impact squad depth and rotation, particularly in defense.

Lille Tactics and Formation

Lille Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Jonathan David
• Midfield Duo: Benjamin Andre and Andre Gomes
• Defensive Quartet:
  • Right Back: Thomas Meunier
  • Center Backs: Bafode Diakite and Alexsandro Ribeiro
  • Left Back: Gabriel Gudmundsson
• Defensive Strength: Two clean sheets in the last five games
• Notable Strategy: Efficient at breaking down opposition during counter-attacks.

Lille will rely heavily on Jonathan David’s attacking prowess to lead their forward line, while Andre and Gomes are expected to control the midfield. The defensive lineup aims for stability, bolstered by their recent clean sheets, suggesting a well-organized back line.

Toulouse vs Lille Head-to-Head Statistics

Toulouse	Lille	Date	Competition	Result
Lille	Toulouse	2024-10-05	Ligue 1	2-1 (Loss)
Toulouse	Lille	2024-02-25	Ligue 1	3-1 (Win)
Lille	Toulouse	2023-11-12	Ligue 1	1-1 (Draw)
Toulouse	Lille	2023-03-18	Ligue 1	0-2 (Loss)
Lille	Toulouse	2022-09-17	Ligue 1	2-1 (Loss)

Over the last five encounters between Toulouse and Lille, Lille has emerged victorious in three matches, while Toulouse secured a single win, and one match ended in a draw.
Looking at these results, Lille seems to have an edge in recent head-to-head clashes.

Odds accurate as of 04.10.2025 18:02, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.