Over 2.75 goals
SCOTLAND: League One - Matchday 19
This match, set to be played on Saturday, December 28, features Dumbarton, sitting at the bottom of the league with just four points, 24 goals scored, and 36 conceded, against Kelty Hearts, who are second in the standings with 29 points, 28 goals scored, and 17 conceded.
The visiting team is clearly the favorite in this clash. However, despite their poor and worrying position in the table, they have managed to secure two wins recently. Over the last five matches, the home team has collected seven points, the same tally as their opponents, who also come into this match with two consecutive victories.
This game pits the league’s worst defense against best attack, which is why I believe Over 2.75 could be a good betting option, avoiding the 1X2 market. The current form of both teams suggests that Dumbarton might be a tougher opponent than expected.
The statistics support this type of bet, as at least three goals have been scored in Dumbarton’s last five matches. Furthermore, in the last three head-to-head meetings, two of them featured at least three goals.
I expect a match where the visitors will likely win but concede at least one goal. Over 2.75 is my choice for this match