Deportivo Alaves vs. Villarreal Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 8 March 2025 - bettingexpert
We’ve got an exciting LaLiga clash at Estadio Mendizorroza as Deportivo Alaves hosts Villarreal on 8 March 2025, with kickoff at 15:15. Alaves, currently 19th in the league with 23 points, desperately need a win to escape the relegation zone. On the other hand, Villarreal sits comfortably in 5th place with 44 points and is aiming for a top-four finish.
Despite the home advantage, Alaves is struggling with form and key injuries, including top scorer Kike Garcia. Villarreal, unbeaten in their last six matches, comes in as the bookmaker’s favorite, thanks to their strong attacking form led by Ayoze Perez.
We recommend an away win for Villarreal, given their recent dominance and overall superior form. The referee for the game is Miguel Ortiz, and we’re all set for an intriguing battle.
Deportivo Alaves vs Villarreal Prediction & Betting Tip
We recommend betting on an away win for Villarreal. Based on their recent form and statistical data, Villarreal seems poised to secure the victory in this encounter.
| Deportivo Alaves vs Villarreal Prediction | |
|---|---|
| Betting Tip | Odds |
| Away win for Villarreal | 2.38 |
- Villarreal is in superior form: They are unbeaten in their last six matches, showing strong stability and consistency.
- Deportivo Alaves has injury concerns: Key players, including top scorer Kike Garcia, are sidelined, making it challenging for them to mount effective attacks.
- Historical dominance: Villarreal recently defeated Alaves 3-0, and considering their current form, they are likely to replicate that success.
Deportivo Alaves vs Villarreal Odds
| Deportivo Alaves vs Villarreal Betting Odds | |
|---|---|
| Bet | Odds |
| Deportivo Alaves | 2.99 |
| Draw | 3.27 |
| Villarreal | 2.38 |
Villarreal is the bookmaker’s favorite to win the match, given their higher standings and superior recent form. With odds of 2.38 for an away win, Villarreal seems a solid bet. Deportivo Alaves, coming into this game as the underdog, is priced at 2.99 for a victory. The draw is placed at 3.27, reflecting the potential for a close contest. Villarreal’s unbeaten streak and Deportivo Alaves’ injury troubles make the visitors a rational choice for bets.
Deportivo Alaves Team Analysis
Recent Performance
Deportivo Alaves’ recent performances have been quite mixed, with their form in the last five matches reflecting some challenging fixtures:
| Home team | Away team | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Mallorca | Deportivo Alaves | 1-1 (Draw) |
| Deportivo Alaves | Espanyol | 0-1 (Loss) |
| Leganes | Deportivo Alaves | 3-3 (Draw) |
| Deportivo Alaves | Getafe | 0-1 (Loss) |
| Barcelona | Deportivo Alaves | 1-0 (Loss) |
With a recent form showing draws against Mallorca and Leganes and losses to Espanyol, Getafe, and Barcelona, Alaves are struggling at the moment. They have managed an average of 0.80 goals scored in their last five games but have not kept a single clean sheet during this stretch.
Despite their efforts, they are conceding around 1.5 goals per game this season in LaLiga, emphasizing their defensive vulnerabilities. The challenge has been compounded by injuries to key players, including their top scorer Kike Garcia.
Deportivo Alaves Key Players
With Deportivo Alaves currently in a challenging phase, a few key players need to step up to alter their fortunes. Kike Garcia remains their leading striker with 11 goals this season, but his recent injury casts a shadow on their attacking prospects. Antonio Sivera, the goalkeeper, will be pivotal in maintaining a solid defense, especially considering their recent lack of clean sheets. In the midfield, Joan Jordán and Carles Aleña bring creativity and stability, seeking to control the tempo of the game against a strong Villarreal side.
Expected lineup for Deportivo Alaves:
- Goalkeeper: Antonio Sivera
- Defenders: Nahuel Tenaglia, Abdel Abqar, Santiago Mouriño, Manu Sanchez
- Midfielders: Carlos Vicente, Antonio Blanco, Joan Jordán, Carles Aleña
- Attackers: Carlos Martín, Asier Villalibre
Key individual battles to watch include Kike Garcia against Villarreal’s defenders, most notably Juan Foyth.
Deportivo Alaves Suspensions & Injuries
Deportivo Alaves are facing a challenging period with several key players sidelined due to injuries, which may hamper their efforts against Villarreal.
| Player | Injury | Expected Return |
|---|---|---|
| Tomás Conechny | Skull fracture | Late April 2025 |
| Jesús Owono | Muscle injury | Doubtful |
| Hugo Novoa | Thigh injury | Doubtful |
| Carlos Benavidez | Muscle injury | Mid March 2025 |
| Kike | Muscle injury | Mid March 2025 |
Missing top scorer Kike Garcia, among others, Deportivo Alaves will need other players to step up against a strong Villarreal side. Coach Eduardo Coudet will have to shuffle his squad effectively to cope with these absences and to stop their dismal run, lacking a win in five matches.
Deportivo Alaves Tactics and Formation
Deportivo Alaves Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 4-2-3-1
- Key Forward: Carlos Martín
- Midfield Trio: Carlos Vicente, Antonio Blanco, Joan Jordán
- Defensive Line: Antonio Sivera (Goalkeeper), Nahuel Tenaglia, Abdel Abqar, Santiago Mouriño, Manu Sanchez
- Notable Strategy: Focusing on compact midfield play and quick counter-attacks
Despite their recent struggles, Coach Eduardo Coudet aims to solidify the midfield with Aleña providing creative sparks. Key winger Carlos Vicente will be crucial for spreading the play, while Antonio Blanco and Joan Jordán aim to maintain control in the center.
With Kike Garcia out due to injury, Carlos Martín may take on the scoring mantle. The team will need to be disciplined defensively, given their average of conceding 1.5 goals per game.
Villarreal Team Analysis
Villarreal Recent Performance:
Villarreal has shown impressive form in their recent matches, highlighted by their performance in the last five games:
| Home team | Away team | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano | Villarreal | 0-1 (Win) |
| Villarreal | Valencia | 1-1 (Draw) |
| Las Palmas | Villarreal | 1-2 (Win) |
| Villarreal | Real Valladolid | 5-1 (Win) |
| Atletico Madrid | Villarreal | 1-1 (Draw) |
Recent Form: WDWWD
Villarreal has averaged 2 goals per match in the last 5 fixtures and has kept 1 clean sheet. Their consistent scoring, led by top scorer Ayoze Perez, and solid defense make them the favorites going into this match against Deportivo Alaves. Despite a couple of injuries, including the key player Gerard Moreno, Villarreal’s form indicates they have the upper hand.
Villarreal Key Players
Villarreal boasts several impactful players, with Ayoze Perez standing out as the top scorer, having netted 11 goals this season. His ability to find the back of the net consistently will be pivotal against Deportivo Alaves.
In midfield, Yeremi Pino and Santi Comesaña provide creativity and stability, which will be crucial in dominating possession. Defensively, Juan Foyth’s experience and Logan Costa’s versatility make them key figures in repelling Alaves’ attacks.
Expected lineup for Villarreal:
- Goalkeeper: Diego Conde
- Defenders: Logan Costa, Juan Foyth, Willy Kambwala, Sergi Cardona
- Midfielders: Yeremi Pino, Pape Gueye, Santi Comesaña, Alejandro Baena
- Attackers: Thierno Barry, Ayoze Perez
Watch out for the battle between Ayoze Perez and Deportivo Alaves’ defender Nahuel Tenaglia, which could prove decisive in the match outcome.
Villarreal Suspensions & Injuries
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Ilias Akhomach | Cruciate ligament injury | Out for season |
| Gerard Moreno | Foot injury | Mid March 2025 |
Villarreal will need to cope without Ilias Akhomach for the remainder of the season due to a cruciate ligament injury. This is a significant loss as he has been a valuable attacking option. Additionally, Gerard Moreno’s absence due to a foot injury, although expected to return by mid-March, will be keenly felt.
These injuries could impact Villarreal’s attacking depth and might force coach Marcelino to rely heavily on Ayoze Perez and Thierno Barry for goals. The team’s resilience will be tested as they push for a top-four finish.
Villarreal Tactics and Formation
Villarreal’s Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 4-4-2
- Key Forwards: Ayoze Perez and Thierno Barry
- Midfield Quartet: Yéremi Pino, Pape Gueye, Santi Comesaña, Alejandro Baena
- Defensive Setup: Juan Foyth, Logan Costa, Willy Kambwala, Sergi Cardona; 1 clean sheet in the last five games
- Primary Strategy:
- Villarreal leans on a solid midfield to control the pace.
- Quick transitions from defense to attack, utilizing the flanks.
- Expect high pressing in the opponent’s half to regain possession quickly.
- Focused on exploiting the wings with skillful wingers like Pino and Baena to provide crosses for Perez and Barry upfront.
With Diego Conde in goal, Villarreal aims to maintain compactness in defense while capitalizing on their forwards’ form to secure goals.
Deportivo Alaves vs Villarreal Head-to-Head Statistics
Here’s a quick glance at the last 5 meetings between Deportivo Alaves and Villarreal:
| Home | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | Deportivo Alaves | 3-0 |
| Deportivo Alaves | Villarreal | 1-1 |
| Villarreal | Deportivo Alaves | 1-1 |
| Deportivo Alaves | Villarreal | 2-1 |
| Villarreal | Deportivo Alaves | 5-2 |
Over the last five clashes, Villarreal has had the upper hand with two convincing wins.
The most recent encounter saw Villarreal cruise to a 3-0 victory, while both teams have shared the spoils twice with 1-1 draws.
A notable win for Alaves came back in 2022 when they triumphed 2-1 at home.
Odds accurate as of 06.03.2025 15:18, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.
