Mallorca vs. Deportivo Alaves Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 2 March 2025 - bettingexpert
The upcoming La Liga clash on the 2nd of March 2025, between Mallorca and Deportivo Alaves at the Estadi Mallorca Son Moix, promises to be an intriguing fixture. Set to kick off at 17:30, this match holds significance for both teams, albeit for different reasons.
Mallorca, sitting 8th with 35 points, are aiming to solidify their position and push for a top-six finish. Meanwhile, Deportivo Alaves, languishing in 19th place with just 22 points, are in desperate need of points to climb out of the relegation zone. Despite similarly inconsistent forms, Mallorca’s last few head-to-head encounters and home advantage might give them a slight edge.
Referee Cesar Soto will oversee the match, and according to the bookmakers, Mallorca are the favourites with odds of 2.23 for a win. Our match prediction aligns with this, recommending a bet on Mallorca to secure the victory.
Catch this crucial encounter as it contributes to the broader narrative of the La Liga season.
Mallorca vs Deportivo Alaves Prediction & Betting tip
| Mallorca vs Deportivo Alaves Prediction | |
|---|---|
| Betting tip | Odds |
| Mallorca to win | 2.31 |
- Mallorca have a better position in the league table, currently 8th, compared to Deportivo Alaves in 19th place.
- Mallorca have had marginally better recent form compared to Deportivo Alaves.
- With the home advantage at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix and a favorable head-to-head history, Mallorca are expected to have the edge.
Both teams are fighting for different causes in the league, but Mallorca’s slightly stronger form and home turf advantage make them the more likely victors.
Mallorca vs Deportivo Alaves Odds
| Mallorca vs Deportivo Alaves Betting Odds | |
|---|---|
| Bet | Odds |
| Mallorca | 2.23 |
| Draw | 3.03 |
| Deportivo Alaves | 3.58 |
The bookmakers have made Mallorca the favorites for this clash, reflecting their better standing in the league and home advantage.
Mallorca is currently 8th with 35 points, while Deportivo Alaves is struggling near the bottom, 19th with 22 points.
With the home team being more consistent in La Liga, the odds firmly favor them.
Mallorca Team Analysis
Recent Performance:
| Home team | Away team | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Sevilla | Mallorca | 1-1 (Draw) |
| Mallorca | Las Palmas | 3-1 (Win) |
| Mallorca | Osasuna | 1-1 (Draw) |
| Atletico Madrid | Mallorca | 2-0 (Loss) |
| Mallorca | Real Betis | 0-1 (Loss) |
Mallorca have had a mixed bag of results lately, with one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five matches. They have struggled with clean sheets, failing to keep any in their recent encounters.
The team averages 1.00 goals per game during this period, showing a lack of offensive firepower. However, their defense has been a concern, allowing goals in most matches.
Despite these stumbling blocks, their position in the table suggests that there’s room for improvement as they push for a top-six finish.
Mallorca Key Players
Mallorca’s top scorer, Vedat Muriqi, with 6 goals to his name, will be pivotal in their attacking efforts. Expect him to lead the line, supported by the likes of Dani Rodriguez and Takuma Asano, who provide creativity from the midfield and wings. Their defense will miss Johan Mojica due to suspension, but Antonio Raíllo and Martin Valjent are expected to hold the fort.
Key battles to look out for include Muriqi against Abdel Abqar and Kike Garcia trying to find spaces within Mallorca’s defensive line.
Expected lineup for Mallorca:
- Goalkeeper: Dominik Greif
- Defenders: Pablo Maffeo, Antonio Raíllo, Martin Valjent, Antonio Latorre
- Midfielders: Omar Mascarell, Sergi Darder, Dani Rodriguez, Takuma Asano, Robert Navarro
- Forward: Vedat Muriqi
Mallorca Suspensions & Injuries
Mallorca face some hurdles with injuries and a suspension affecting their squad for the upcoming match against Deportivo Alaves.
Suspensions
| Player | Suspension | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Johan Mojica | Yellow cards – Banned matches left 1 | 2 March 2025 |
Injuries
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Manu Morlanes | Thigh injury | Doubtful |
| Samú Costa | Muscle injury | Mid March 2025 |
The absence of Johan Mojica due to suspension will weaken Mallorca’s defense, adding more pressure on the backline. Manu Morlanes and Samú Costa’s doubtful returns mean the squad misses key midfield options, potentially impacting their control in the center of the park. Coach Jagoba Arrasate will need to adjust his tactics accordingly, relying on squad depth to cover these gaps.
Mallorca Tactics and Formation
Mallorca Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 4-2-3-1
- Key Forward: Vedat Muriqi
- Midfield Duo: Omar Mascarell, Sergi Darder
- Defensive Diligence: No clean sheets in the last five games
- Notable Strategy: Strong attacking phase in the 76-90 and 46-60-minute intervals.
Mallorca’s 4-2-3-1 formation provides a balanced approach, with Vedat Muriqi leading the charge up front. The creativity of Dani Rodriguez in the attacking midfielder role is crucial for unlocking defenses, while Mascarell and Darder stabilize the midfield.
Though they’ve struggled defensively recently, conceding in each of the last five matches, their tactical approach ensures they remain formidable, especially in the latter stages of each half.
The absence of Johan Mojica will force Arrasate to modify his defensive setup, likely leading to an increased reliance on set-pieces and disciplined positional play from full-backs Pablo Maffeo and Antonio Latorre.
Deportivo Alaves Team Analysis
Recent Performance
In their last five matches, Deportivo Alaves have struggled to find form, securing two draws and suffering three defeats. Here’s a closer look at their recent performances:
| Home team | Away team | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Alaves | Espanyol | 0-1 (Loss) |
| Leganes | Deportivo Alaves | 3-3 (Draw) |
| Deportivo Alaves | Getafe | 0-1 (Loss) |
| Barcelona | Deportivo Alaves | 1-0 (Loss) |
| Deportivo Alaves | Celta Vigo | 1-1 (Draw) |
Deportivo Alaves have averaged 0.8 goals per game and have not kept a clean sheet in their last five matches. Their scoring has been an issue, with Kike Garcia, their top scorer, netting ten goals this season being a rare bright spot. Defensive lapses remain a concern, given their lack of clean sheets in recent encounters.
Deportivo Alaves Key Players
Expected lineup for Deportivo Alaves:
- Goalkeeper: Antonio Sivera
- Defenders: Nahuel Tenaglia, Abdel Abqar, Santiago Mouriño, Moussa Diarra
- Midfielders: Carlos Vicente, Antonio Blanco, Joan Jordán, Carles Aleña
- Forwards: Toni Martínez, Kike Garcia
Kike Garcia, with 10 goals this season, remains Alaves’ main threat up front and will be pivotal in their attacking strategy. His duel with Mallorca’s centre-backs, Antonio Raíllo and Martin Valjent, will be one to watch.
Another key figure is Joan Jordán, who will aim to control the midfield battle against Mallorca’s duo of Omar Mascarell and Sergi Darder.
With players like Carlos Vicente on the wings, Alaves will look to exploit any defensive lapses from Mallorca.
Deportivo Alaves Suspensions & Injuries
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Tomás Conechny | Skull fracture | Late April 2025 |
| Jesús Owono | Muscle injury | Doubtful |
| Hugo Novoa | Thigh injury | Doubtful |
| Carlos Benavidez | Muscle injury | Mid March 2025 |
Deportivo Alaves face several injury challenges as they head into this match. The absence of Tomás Conechny, who is out with a skull fracture until late April 2025, will be a significant blow, especially in maintaining defensive solidity.
Carlos Benavidez, Hugo Novoa, and Jesús Owono are all doubtful due to muscle and thigh injuries, reducing Alaves’ midfield depth. The injury situation might force coach Eduardo Coudet to rely on a thinner squad, potentially affecting their performance against Mallorca.
No players are currently suspended for Alaves, providing some relief.
Deportivo Alaves Tactics and Formation
Deportivo Alaves Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 4-4-2
Coach Eduardo Coudet traditionally sets up his side in a balanced 4-4-2 formation, with a focus on maintaining a compact structure defensively. - Key Forward: Kike Garcia
With 10 goals this season, Garcia is the spearhead of the attack and will be crucial in breaking down Mallorca’s defense. - Midfield Quartet:
- Right Midfielder: Carlos Vicente
- Central Midfielders: Antonio Blanco, Joan Jordan
- Left Midfielder: Carles Aleña
This midfield unit provides flexibility, with Vicente and Aleña tasked with supplying crosses and acting as creative outlets.
- Defensive Setup:
- Right Center Back: Abdel Abqar
- Left Center Back: Santiago Mouriño
- Full Backs: Nahuel Tenaglia and Moussa Diarra
Despite having no clean sheets in their last five games, their defensive line is expected to stay resilient and try to limit Mallorca’s opportunities.
- Notable Strategy:
Alaves will likely focus on tight marking and hitting on the counter-attack, emphasizing quick transitions to capitalize on Mallorca’s aggressive play in the final 15 minutes of each half.
Mallorca vs Deportivo Alaves Head-to-Head Statistics
Analyzing the last five meetings between Mallorca and Deportivo Alaves:
| Home | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Alaves | Mallorca | 1-0 |
| Deportivo Alaves | Mallorca | 1-1 |
| Mallorca | Deportivo Alaves | 0-0 |
| Mallorca | Deportivo Alaves | 2-1 |
| Deportivo Alaves | Mallorca | 0-1 |
The data reveals a balanced rivalry, with Mallorca having a slight edge, winning two of the last five encounters. Matches often have low-scoring outcomes, with 86% featuring less than 2.5 goals.
Odds accurate as of 28/02/2025 17:31, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.
