Deportivo Alaves vs. Celta Vigo Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 27 January 2025 - bettingexpert
As we head into the 21st round of LaLiga, Deportivo Alaves host Celta Vigo at the Estadio Mendizorroza. Scheduled for 8:00 PM on January 27, 2025, this match carries significant importance for both sides. Alaves are perched just above the relegation zone in 17th place with 20 points. They snapped a seven-game winless streak with a win against Real Betis, reigniting their hope to steer clear of relegation. In contrast, Celta Vigo, who sit in 13th with 24 points, are licking their wounds from back-to-back defeats and aim to stave off the relegation battle.
In terms of player availability, Alaves will miss Antonio Sivera due to a broken hand and Joan Jordán remains doubtful. Jesús Owono will man the goalposts. On the other side, Celta will be without key players like Iago Aspas and Oscar Mingueza, although Marcos Alonso returns from suspension.
Given their recent forms and injuries, a tightly contested and low-scoring match seems likely. Our match prediction tips recommend betting on under 2.5 goals, considering the potential defensive approaches and limited goalscoring options for both sides. Tune in to ESPN 2 or Disney+ for what promises to be a crucial match in shaping the lower half of the LaLiga table.
Deportivo Alaves vs Celta Vigo Prediction & Betting Tip
Given the context of this LaLiga clash, we recommend placing a bet on Under 2.5 goals. Both Deportivo Alaves and Celta Vigo have shown tendencies for low-scoring matches recently, and key injuries could limit their offensive capabilities.
| Deportivo Alaves vs Celta Vigo Prediction | |
|---|---|
| Betting tip | Odds |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 2.12 |
- Low-Scoring Trends: Deportivo Alaves’ last four home matches have contained two or fewer goals, indicating a pattern.
- Defensive Tactics: Both teams concede the most goals in the game’s final quarter, likely prompting stricter defensive strategies.
- Key Injuries: With Iago Aspas out for Celta Vigo and Antonio Sivera missing for Alaves, both teams may struggle to convert their chances.
Given these factors, a low-scoring affair seems the most probable outcome in this critical LaLiga matchup.
Deportivo Alaves vs Celta Vigo Odds
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| Bet | Odds |
| Alaves | 2.60 |
| Draw | 3.00 |
| Celta Vigo | 2.90 |
The odds suggest a closely contested matchup, with Deportivo Alaves slightly favored.
Despite their shaky form, their recent win could give them the edge.
Given both teams’ inconsistent performances, betting on a draw might also be a smart choice.
These odds reflect a balanced game where minimal errors could decide the outcome.
Don’t forget, under 2.5 goals also has good odds at 2.12, aligning with the trends of both teams’ recent matches.
Deportivo Alaves Team Analysis
Deportivo Alaves Recent Performance
| Home team | Away team | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Real Betis | Deportivo Alaves | 1-3 (Win) |
| Deportivo Alaves | Girona | 0-1 (Loss) |
| Valencia | Deportivo Alaves | 2-2 (Draw) |
| Deportivo Alaves | Athletic Club | 1-1 (Draw) |
| Osasuna | Deportivo Alaves | 2-2 (Draw) |
Deportivo Alaves have shown mixed form in their recent matches, posting one win, one loss, and three draws, which reflects their struggle for consistency.
Recent Form: WLDDD
In those five games, they averaged 1.60 goals scored per match. However, they have not kept a clean sheet, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities. Their latest 3-1 win against Real Betis could provide a vital morale boost as they aim to move away from the relegation zone.
Despite this, their inconsistency is a concern, making it a challenge to fully rely on their performance.
Deportivo Alaves Key Players
Key players for Deportivo Alaves will be crucial in their bid to stay clear of the relegation zone. Kike Garcia, the team’s top scorer with 8 goals, will spearhead the attack and is expected to pose a continuous threat. In midfield, Jon Guridi will orchestrate play, backed by the defensive solidity of Ander Guevara and Carlos Benavídez. Jesús Owono will continue in goal, filling in for the injured Sivera.
Their expected lineup:
- Goalkeeper: Jesús Owono
- Defenders: Nahuel Tenaglia, Abdel Abqar, Moussa Diarra, Manu Sánchez
- Midfielders: Ander Guevara, Carlos Benavídez, Carlos Vicente, Jon Guridi, Tomás Conechny
- Forward: Kike Garcia
Expect a key individual battle between Kike Garcia and Celta’s defenders.
Deportivo Alaves Suspensions & Injuries
Deportivo Alaves are facing several challenges with injuries and suspensions for their upcoming match against Celta Vigo. Antonio Sivera remains sidelined with a broken hand, with a potential return expected in early February 2025. Joan Jordán is also out with a muscle injury, and his return is similarly anticipated for early February 2025.
Additionally, Alaves will miss the services of Antonio Blanco, who is serving a suspension due to an accumulation of yellow cards.
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Antonio Sivera | Broken hand | Early February 2025 |
| Joan Jordán | Muscle injury | Early February 2025 |
| Player | Suspension | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Antonio Blanco | Yellow cards | One match suspension |
These absences could impact the team’s defensive solidity and midfield creativity, forcing coach Eduardo Coudet to make strategic adjustments.
Deportivo Alaves Tactics and Formation
Deportivo Alaves Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 4-2-3-1
- Key Forward: Kike Garcia
- Midfield Duo: Ander Guevara and Carlos Benavídez
- Defensive Line: Nahuel Tenaglia, Abdel Abqar, Moussa Diarra, Manu Sanchez
- Goalkeeper: Jesús Owono
Eduardo Coudet seems to favor a 4-2-3-1 setup, which seeks to balance both defensive and offensive responsibilities. In attack, Kike Garcia remains a focal point, leveraging his scoring ability, as evident from his 8 goals this season. The midfield pairing of Guevara and Benavídez provides a solid shield in front of the back four, crucial given their tendency to concede most goals between the 76th and 90th minutes. Owono steps in for the injured Sivera, aiming to solidify a defence yet to keep a clean sheet in the last five matches.
Celta Vigo Team Analysis
Celta Vigo Recent Performance
Celta Vigo have had a roller-coaster ride in their last five matches, with form tending to dip before picking itself up with back-to-back wins.
- Recent Form: LLLWW
- Celta Vigo average goals scored in last 5 games: 1.80
- Away team clean sheets in last 5 games: 1
Celta Vigo have shown they can score, averaging 1.8 goals per game over the last five matches. However, defensive fragility is evident, conceding 1.6 goals on average this season and only keeping one clean sheet in the last five outings. Their recent uptick in form will give them confidence going into this clash.
Celta Vigo Key Players
Celta Vigo’s lineup showcases several notable talents, starting with their top scorer Iago Aspas, who unfortunately remains sidelined with a foot injury. This places a significant amount of pressure on Borja Iglesias to lead the attack.
Expected lineup for Celta Vigo:
- Goalkeeper: Vicente Guaita
- Defenders: Carlos Domínguez, Carl Starfelt, Marcos Alonso
- Midfielders: Sergio Carreira, Fran Beltrán, Ilaix Moriba, Franco Cervi
- Attackers: Pablo Durán, Borja Iglesias, Hugo Álvarez
In the absence of Aspas, key battles will involve Borja Iglesias going up against Deportivo Alavés’ defenders Abdel Abqar and Moussa Diarra.
Additionally, midfield dynamo Fran Beltrán will be crucial in dictating play and possibly exploiting Alavés’ right wing with the help of Franco Cervi.
Celta Vigo Suspensions & Injuries
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Jailson | Hamstring Injury | Doubtful |
| Fer López | Ankle injury | Doubtful |
| Iago Aspas | Foot injury | Mid-February 2025 |
| Alfonso Gonzalez | Thigh injury | Early February 2025 |
| Jonathan Bamba | Personal reasons | About 1-2 weeks |
| Lucas Daniel De la Torre | Personal reasons | About 1-2 weeks |
| Player | Suspension | Expected return |
| Oscar Mingueza | Red card | 2 matches left |
Key players missing for Celta Vigo include their top scorer, Iago Aspas, who is sidelined with a foot injury, putting extra pressure on the attack. The absence of Oscar Mingueza due to suspension further weakens their defensive options.
These absences will test Celta Vigo’s depth and could impact their overall performance against Deportivo Alaves.
Celta Vigo Tactics and Formation
Celta Vigo’s Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 3-4-3
- Key Forward: Borja Iglesias
- Midfield Duo: Fran Beltrán, Ilaix Moriba
Defensive Trio: Carlos Dominguez, Carl Starfelt, Marcos Alonso
Celta Vigo are expected to employ a 3-4-3 formation, featuring a solid defensive trio to shore up the backline.
Without their top scorer, Iago Aspas, Borja Iglesias will be crucial up front. His positioning and finishing will be critical for breaking down Deportivo Alaves’ defense.
The midfield will be anchored by Fran Beltrán and Ilaix Moriba, providing both defensive cover and initiating attacks.
Celta’s wing-backs, Sergio Carreira and Franco Cervi, should push forward, adding width to their play and aiding in both defense and attack. This balanced approach should help mitigate injuries and suspensions.
Deportivo Alaves vs Celta Vigo Head-to-Head Statistics
| Home | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Alaves | Celta Vigo | 3-0 |
In their last encounter at Estadio Mendizorroza, Deportivo Alaves secured a commanding 3-0 victory over Celta Vigo.
Both teams will remember this match as they prepare for their upcoming clash on 27 January 2025. This history adds an extra layer of expectation and motivation for both sets of players and fans alike.
Given their current standings and the importance of the points at stake, expect a hard-fought battle.
Odds accurate as of 25.01.2025 20:01, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.
