PSG vs Brest Prediction - Champions League
On 19 February 2025, Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) will host Brest at the Parc des Princes at 20:00 in the second leg of their Champions League 1/16 playoff. PSG are clear favourites, coming off a 3-0 victory over Brest in the first leg and maintaining a dominant unbeaten record against Brest for decades. With Luis Enrique’s side averaging 18.3 shots per game in the Champions League and boasting a better squad, they have an 82% chance of victory.
Brest, in their first-ever European competition, face a tough challenge. Their aggressive style, evidenced by a high number of cards, may help disrupt PSG’s flow. However, PSG’s form, including five consecutive wins, makes them hard to beat. Weather conditions are cold with overcast clouds, potentially influencing play. A key tip: consider Brest +2.50 (Asian Handicap) at odds of 1.68, as they are expected to perform better and avoid another heavy defeat.
PSG vs Brest Prediction & Betting Tip
The recommended betting tip for this match is to back Brest +2.50 on the Asian Handicap. With Paris Saint-Germain having recently defeated Brest 3-0, it’s expected that Brest will perform better in this fixture, making the handicap bet a sensible choice.
| Paris Saint-Germain vs. Brest Prediction | |
|---|---|
| Betting tip | Odds |
| Brest +2.50 (Asian Handicap) | 1.68 |
Reasons why this betting tip is good:
- Paris Saint-Germain recently scored 3 goals against Brest, so a repeat of such a margin may be less likely.
- Brest have shown signs of improvement and resilience in recent matches, suggesting they may close the gap against PSG.
- The European Handicap of +2.5 provides a significant buffer for Brest, making it a safer bet.
In summary: Understanding that PSG are favorites and considering recent history, offering an Asian Handicap in favor of Brest seems like the best approach for those looking to bet on this match.
PSG vs Brest Odds
The betting odds heavily favor Paris Saint-Germain in this Champions League clash against Brest. With their dominant history over Brest, including a recent series of great performances, it’s clear why PSG are considered the favorites by bookmakers.
| Paris Saint-Germain vs. Brest Betting Odds | |
|---|---|
| Bet | Odds |
| Paris Saint-Germain | 1.18 |
| Draw | 7.50 |
| Brest | 12.95 |
Given PSG’s convincing wins in their last encounters, including a 3-0 victory, the odds reflect high confidence in their ability to secure another win. However, for those looking for potential upsets or a more strategic bet, the high odds on a draw or a Brest victory offer interesting opportunities.
Paris Saint-Germain Team Analysis
Paris Saint-Germain have been on an impressive run, winning all of their last five matches. They have demonstrated a defensive record with 3 clean sheets in these games and an average of 3 goals scored per match, indicating their attacking efficiency. Recent results have solidified PSG as a dominant force:
| Home team | Away team | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Toulouse | Paris Saint-Germain | 0-1 (Win) |
| Brest | Paris Saint-Germain | 0-3 (Win) |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Monaco | 4-1 (Win) |
| Le Mans | Paris Saint-Germain | 0-2 (Win) |
| Brest | Paris Saint-Germain | 2-5 (Win) |
This unbeaten streak highlights their formidable form under coach Luis Enrique. PSG’s defensive solidity coupled with their prolific attack makes them clear favourites for their upcoming tie against Brest at Parc des Princes.
Paris Saint-Germain Key Players
Paris Saint-Germain boasts several key players who could make a significant impact against Brest. Ousmane Dembélé, the top scorer with 2 goals, will be crucial in breaking down the Brest defense with his pace and dribbling skills. Désiré Doué and Bradley Barcola will flank him, adding creativity and goal-scoring threats.
In the midfield, Fabián Ruiz’s vision and passing accuracy will be pivotal for maintaining possession and initiating attacks. Vítinha and João Neves are expected to provide solid support and control the tempo.
Defensively, Achraf Hakimi and Nuno Mendes will likely be tasked with containing Brest’s wingers, while Marquinhos and Willian Pacho handle central defensive duties.
Expected lineup for PSG:
- Goalkeeper: Gianluigi Donnarumma
- Defenders: Achraf Hakimi, Marquinhos, Willian Pacho, Nuno Mendes
- Midfielders: João Neves, Fabián Ruiz, Vítinha
- Attackers: Désiré Doué, Ousmane Dembélé, Bradley Barcola
Paris Saint-Germain Suspensions & Injuries
Paris Saint-Germain has no suspensions for this match. However, the team does have a couple of key players out due to injury, which could impact their overall performance and depth.
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Ibrahim Mbaye | Sprained ankle | Late February 2025 |
| Warren Zaïre-Emery | Sprained ankle | Late February 2025 |
With both Ibrahim Mbaye and Warren Zaïre-Emery out, PSG may need to adjust their formation and rely more heavily on their available midfielders. Their absence could limit the squad rotation options for Coach Luis Enrique and may put extra pressure on the starting eleven.
PSG Tactics and Formation
Paris Saint-Germain Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 4-3-3
- Key Forward: Ousmane Dembélé, the top scorer with 2 goals in the previous matches.
- Midfield Trio: João Neves, Fabian Ruiz, Vítinha
- Defensive Line: Achraf Hakimi, Marquinhos, Willian Pacho, Nuno Mendes
- Key Defender: Gianluigi Donnarumma in goal, reinforcing a solid back-line.
PSG has shown remarkable consistency in recent matches, with five consecutive wins and an average of 3 goals scored per game. Their aggressive attacking formation is designed to stretch the opposition and create scoring opportunities, while their solid defence, boasting three clean sheets in the last five games, provides a better foundation.
The team’s focus will be on a better start, aiming to exploit Brest’s vulnerabilities, particularly during key periods like the final 15 minutes of each half. Their pressing game and ball possession will be essential to maintaining control and dictating the match tempo.
Brest Team Analysis
Brest’s recent form has been a mixed bag, with their last five games showcasing two wins, two losses, and one draw:
| Home team | Away team | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Brest | Auxerre | 2-2 (Draw) |
| Brest | PSG | 0-3 (Loss) |
| Nantes | Brest | 0-2 (Win) |
| Troyes | Brest | 1-2 (Win) |
| Brest | PSG | 2-5 (Loss) |
Despite scoring an average of 1.6 goals per game, Brest has only managed one clean sheet during this period. Their defensive vulnerabilities have been evident, particularly against better teams. However, they have shown offensive potential, particularly in away fixtures. With several key players out injured, this inconsistency could pose a significant challenge as they face Paris Saint-Germain at Parc des Princes.
Brest Key Players
Brest’s key players will need to step up against Paris Saint-Germain at Parc des Princes. Ludovic Ajorque, their centre forward, will be pivotal in breaking down PSG’s defense. Expected lineup for Brest:
- Goalkeeper: Marco Bizot
- Defenders: Kenny Lala, Brendan Chardonnet, Soumaïla Coulibaly, Massadio Haidara
- Midfielders: Edimilson Fernandes, Hugo Magnetti, Mahdi Camara
- Attackers: Romain Faivre, Ludovic Ajorque, Abdallah Sima
The midfield battle will be crucial, with Mahdi Camara tasked with stifling PSG’s creative playmakers. Romain Faivre and Abdallah Sima on the flanks will need to exploit any spaces left by PSG’s attacking full-backs.
Brest Suspensions & Injuries
Brest heads into this Champions League tie with several key injuries that could impact their performance. Here’s a quick look at their injury list:
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley Locko | Achilles tendon injury | Late February 2025 |
| Jonas Martin | Muscle injury | Late February 2025 |
| Jordan Amavi | Hamstring injury | Late February 2025 |
| Romain Del Castillo | Knee injury | Early March 2025 |
| Ibrahim Salah | Foot injury | Mid March 2025 |
These injuries could potentially weaken Brest’s defensive and midfield stability, making their task at Parc des Princes even more challenging. They will need to rely on their depth to cover for these absences.
Brest Tactics and Formation
Brest Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 4-2-3-1
- Key Forward: Ludovic Ajorque
- Midfield Trio: Edimilson Fernandes, Hugo Magnetti, Mahdi Camara
- Defensive Line: Lala, Chardonnet, Coulibaly, Haidara
- Notable Strategy: Utilizing a b, defensive mindset coupled with quick counter-attacks.
Based on their last few matches, Brest typically opts for a solid defense to keep the opponent at bay while looking to exploit gaps on the counter. The presence of Edimilson Fernandes and Mahdi Camara in midfield provides a balanced blend of stability and creativity. Ludovic Ajorque will be crucial upfront for creating and finishing opportunities.
With notable injuries affecting their squad, Brest will need to rely on tactical discipline and team cohesion to pose a challenge to Paris Saint-Germain.
PSG vs Brest Head-to-Head Statistics
The last five encounters between Paris Saint-Germain and Brest have been dominated by PSG, showcasing their better form against this opponent.
| Home | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Brest | Paris Saint-Germain | 0-3 |
| Brest | Paris Saint-Germain | 2-5 |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Brest | 3-1 |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Brest | 3-1 |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Brest | 2-2 |
In these matches, PSG scored a total of 16 goals while conceding just 6. Brest has struggled to secure a win, with their best result being a 2-2 draw. This historical dominance by PSG suggests that Brest will face a challenging task ahead.
