Lille vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction - Champions League
Get ready for an exciting clash as Lille hosts Borussia Dortmund in the second leg of the Champions League Round of 16 at Decathlon Arena-Stade Pierre-Mauroy. With the first leg ending in a 1-1 draw, both teams are coming into this match with everything to play for. Lille’s Hakon Arnar Haraldsson, their top scorer, and Dortmund’s Karim Adeyemi, who also netted in the previous encounter, will be key players to watch.
The weather forecast predicts overcast clouds and a temperature of 7°C, which might not influence match proceedings much. Swiss referee Sandro Schaerer will oversee the game.
Our match prediction tips both teams to score as both have shown a tendency to find the back of the net while also conceding. Lille has been better at home in this tournament, while Dortmund has consistently scored in their away games this season.
Expect a thrilling and open match where goals could come from both sides, especially in the 61-75 minute window, a period where both teams have proven to be particularly active. Fans are in for an exhilarating ride as two European giants battle to advance to the Champions League quarter-finals.
Lille vs. Borussia Dortmund Prediction & Betting tip
Our recommended betting tip is “Both teams to score (Yes)”, considering the current form and match facts. Lille and Borussia Dortmund both have a better tendency to find the back of the net while also conceding goals.
| Lille vs. Borussia Dortmund Prediction | |
|---|---|
| Betting tip | Odds |
| Both teams to score (Yes) | 1.80 |
- Recent matches: Both Lille and Dortmund have showcased their ability to score goals in their respective recent fixtures.
- Scoring potential: Historical encounters between the two teams ended with both teams finding the net.
- Key scoring period: Lille has scored most of their goals in the 61-75 minute interval, coinciding with Dortmund’s most conceded period. Expect an open and thrilling match with plenty of goal-scoring opportunities for both sides.
Lille vs. Borussia Dortmund Odds
| Lille vs. Borussia Dortmund Betting Odds | |
|---|---|
| Bet | Odds |
| Lille | 2.65 |
| Draw | 3.41 |
| Borussia Dortmund | 2.59 |
Both teams are evenly matched according to the bookmakers, with Dortmund slightly favored to edge out Lille. Hence, it’s difficult to pick a clear winner. The odds for a draw at 3.41 underline the high possibility of a closely contested match, reflecting the historical pattern of previous encounters ending in draws. Considering the match facts and recent form, betting on both teams to score could be a solid choice. Expect an exhilarating matchup with goals from both sides.
Lille Team Analysis
Recent Form: A concise way of representing a team’s last five matches (e.g., WWLWD)
Recent Performance: DWLWW
| Home team | Away team | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Lille | Montpellier | 1-0 (Win) |
| Borussia Dortmund | Lille | 1-1 (Draw) |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Lille | 4-1 (Loss) |
| Lille | Monaco | 2-1 (Win) |
| Rennes | Lille | 0-2 (Win) |
Lille have shown resilience in their recent matches, securing three wins, one draw, and one loss. They’ve kept two clean sheets, highlighting a solid defensive line with Lucas Chevalier impressing in goal. Despite conceding heavily against PSG, they’ve bounced back swiftly with tight defensive performances. Their offense, led by top scorer Hakon Arnar Haraldsson, has been consistent, averaging 1.40 goals per match in their last five games. Given these performances, Lille appears well-equipped to challenge Dortmund in their upcoming Champions League clash at the Decathlon Arena-Stade Pierre-Mauroy.
Lille Key Players
Lille boasts several key players who can influence the outcome against Borussia Dortmund. Leading the attack is Hakon Arnar Haraldsson, who has proven his goal-scoring capability with 1 goal in the campaign. Jonathan David and Remy Cabella are also crucial in creating scoring opportunities.
Promising talent Ayyoub Bouaddi will be a significant presence in midfield, having already accumulated 1,500 minutes in 31 matches this season. His vision and passing could be vital against Dortmund’s defensive setup.
In goal, Lucas Chevalier has attracted interest from FC Barcelona, reflecting his impressive performances. His last appearance included a solid showing, increasing the chances of a clean sheet.
Expected lineup for Lille:
- Goalkeeper: Lucas Chevalier
- Defenders: Thomas Meunier, Bafode Diakite, Alexsandro Ribeiro, Mitchel Bakker
- Midfielders: Andre Gomes, Benjamin Andre, Ayyoub Bouaddi
- Attackers: Remy Cabella, Jonathan David, Hakon Arnar Haraldsson
Lille Suspensions & Injuries
Lille is facing a number of critical injuries that could impact their performance against Borussia Dortmund.
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Samuel Umtiti | Knee injury | Mid March 2025 |
| Tiago Santos | Cruciate ligament injury | Out for the season |
| Edon Zhegrova | Muscle injury | Mid March 2025 |
| Osame Sahraoui | Hip injury | Late March 2025 |
| Ethan Mbappe | Knee injury | Late March 2025 |
The absence of experienced defenders like Samuel Umtiti and Tiago Santos will demand careful strategic adjustments in Lille’s defense. Ayyoub Bouaddi will have to step up in midfield to fill the gap left by injuries, making his performance crucial against a dynamic Dortmund side. These injuries present challenges, but also opportunities for other squad players to showcase their skills.
Lille Tactics and Formation
Lille Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: Predominantly using 4-2-3-1, as seen in their last five matches.
- Key Forward: Jonathan David, who is integral in spearheading their attack.
- Midfield Trio: Andre Gomes, Benjamin Andre, and promising talent Ayyoub Bouaddi, who has drawn interest from Real Madrid.
- Defensive Strength: With two clean sheets in their last five games and a transfer-target goalkeeper, Lucas Chevalier, Lille has a solid backline.
- Notable Strategy: They have a knack for scoring in the 61-75 minute interval, which aligns with Dortmund’s vulnerability during the same period.
Expect Lille to leverage their robust defensive setup and timely attacks to make a significant impact.
Borussia Dortmund Team Analysis
| Home team | Away team | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund | Augsburg | 0-1 (Loss) |
| Borussia Dortmund | Lille | 1-1 (Draw) |
| St. Pauli | Borussia Dortmund | 0-2 (Win) |
| Borussia Dortmund | Union Berlin | 6-0 (Win) |
| Borussia Dortmund | Sporting CP | 0-0 (Draw) |
Borussia Dortmund’s recent form has been a mixed bag, with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches. Recent highlights include an impressive 6-0 victory over Union Berlin and a solid 2-0 win against St. Pauli. On average, they have scored 1.8 goals per match and secured 3 clean sheets in their last five games. Though they faced a setback with a surprising loss to Augsburg, they’ve shown resilience and scoring prowess that’s critical in the Champions League. Another notable fact is that they have scored in 100% of their away matches this season. This consistency makes them a formidable opponent in the upcoming clash against Lille.
Borussia Dortmund Key Players
Borussia Dortmund comes into this crucial Champions League tie with several standout performers poised to make an impact. Top Scorer: Karim Adeyemi, with 2 goals, will be a pivotal part of Dortmund’s attacking strategy. His pace and finishing abilities pose a constant threat to any defense. Expected lineup for Borussia Dortmund:
- Goalkeeper: Gregor Kobel
- Defenders: Yan Couto, Emre Can, Nico Schlotterbeck, Ramy Bensebaini
- Midfielders: Salih Özcan, Pascal Groß, Karim Adeyemi, Julian Brandt, Jamie Bynoe-Gittens
- Forwards: Serhou Guirassy Key individual battles to watch include Karim Adeyemi against Lille’s defenders, particularly Bafode Diakite, and the midfield tussle between Pascal Groß and Lille’s Andre Gomes. With their consistent away scoring record and solid defense, Dortmund’s players are expected to play pivotal roles in this tightly contested fixture.
Borussia Dortmund Suspensions & Injuries
Injuries
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Felix Nmecha | Knee injury | Late March 2025 |
| Daniel Svensson | Medial Collateral Ligament injury | Mid April 2025 |
Suspensions
None
Dortmund will be missing two key players in this Champions League clash. Felix Nmecha and Daniel Svensson’s absences due to injuries could impact squad depth, especially in midfield and defensive positions. Dortmund’s coach will need to adjust the lineup accordingly and rely on other key players to step up in their absence.
Borussia Dortmund Tactics and Formation
Borussia Dortmund’s Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 4-2-3-1, their preferred setup in the last five games.
- Key Forward: Serhou Guirassy
- Attacking Midfield Trio: Karim Adeyemi, Julian Brandt, Jamie Gittens
- Defensive Structure: Emre Can and Nico Schlotterbeck’s partnership has provided stability at the back.
Dortmund’s strategy often focuses on solid defensive performances complemented by rapid and dynamic attacking transitions. Their midfield, led by versatile players like Salih Oezcan and Pascal Gross, works to control the tempo and provide creative outlets.
Notably, Dortmund tend to concede goals between the 61-75 minute mark, a vulnerability Lille will likely aim to exploit.
Lille vs. Borussia Dortmund Head-to-Head Statistics
| Home | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund | Lille | 1-1 |
| Borussia Dortmund | Lille | 0-0 |
| Lille | Borussia Dortmund | 1-1 |
Their previous encounters have been closely contested, with all matches ending in draws. Both teams have managed to find the net while maintaining better defensive performances. This trend suggests another tight contest could be on the cards.
