Atletico Madrid vs. Mallorca Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 1 February 2025 - bettingexpert
Atletico Madrid will host Mallorca at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano on 1 February 2025 in a crucial La Liga encounter. As Diego Simeone’s side aims to maintain their pressure on Real Madrid in the title race, they currently sit in second place with 45 points. Mallorca, holding sixth place, are battling for European qualification and have shown resilience despite recent setbacks.
Atletico, the bookmakers’ favorite, have not lost in 11 consecutive home matches, and Julian Alvarez is expected to be a key player. Despite their strong form, the fatigue from their midweek Champions League fixture could impact their performance.
On the other hand, Mallorca come into this game fresh and well-prepared, having had a full week of recovery. Though they are not known for high-scoring matches, their defensive setup might keep this game close.
Our match prediction is a draw, with a recommended bet on Mallorca +1.50 (Asian Handicap). Keep an eye on how the teams perform in the second half, where significant action is expected given recent tendencies.
Atletico Madrid vs Mallorca Prediction & Betting Tip
Our recommended betting tip for this matchup is to go for Mallorca +1.50 (Asian Handicap). This tip has been chosen due to several key factors:
- Atletico Madrid played a midweek Champions League game, which might leave them fatigued.
- Mallorca has had a whole week to prepare, offering a potential advantage in terms of freshness.
- Historically, Mallorca have performed well against Atletico Madrid, often covering the +1.5 handicap.
| Atletico Madrid vs Mallorca Prediction | |
|—————————————–|———————————–|
| Betting Tip | Odds |
| Mallorca +1.50 (Asian Handicap) | 1.64 |
- Atletico Madrid’s midweek fixture could impact their fitness and performance.
- Mallorca’s defensive strategies and recent performances suggest they can keep the game close.
- The history of recent matchups shows that Mallorca frequently covers the +1.5 handicap.
Atletico Madrid vs Mallorca Odds
The bookmakers have placed Atletico Madrid as the clear favourites for this fixture. Atletico will be looking to leverage their home advantage to secure a much-needed win and keep up the pressure in their title race against Real Madrid.
However, Mallorca’s fight for European qualification adds an extra layer of excitement to this clash. Let’s take a look at the betting odds for this encounter:
| Atletico Madrid vs Mallorca Betting Odds | |
|---|---|
| Bet | Odds |
| Atletico Madrid | 1.41 |
| Draw | 4.27 |
| Mallorca | 8.50 |
Despite Atletico Madrid’s strong form and home advantage, these odds reflect the potential for an unexpected result, especially given Mallorca’s strategic ability to defend well and counter-attack effectively.
Atletico Madrid Team Analysis
Atletico Madrid Recent Performance
Atletico Madrid’s recent form reflects a mix of achievements and setbacks. Here’s a look at their last five matches:
| Home team | Away team | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Salzburg | Atletico Madrid | 1-4 (Win) |
| Atletico Madrid | Villarreal | 1-1 (Draw) |
| Atletico Madrid | Bayer Leverkusen | 2-1 (Win) |
| Leganes | Atletico Madrid | 1-0 (Loss) |
| Elche | Atletico Madrid | 0-4 (Win) |
Recent Form: WDWLW
Atletico’s performance has been strong, averaging 2.20 goals scored in their last five games. Despite their attacking prowess, they have kept only one clean sheet in those fixtures. Their defensive capabilities will need addressing if they hope to maintain their push for the title and keep up the pressure on Real Madrid.
Atletico Madrid Key Players
Atletico Madrid’s squad boasts several key players who could make a difference in their clash against Mallorca. Julian Alvarez, who has formed a strong rapport with manager Diego Simeone, stands out as a vital asset in attack. Alvarez has been in fine form recently and is expected to lead the forward line.
Another crucial player is Antoine Griezmann, who will look to pull the strings in the final third, creating opportunities and potentially scoring.
In defence, Jan Oblak remains a fortress between the posts, while Robin Le Normand and Clement Lenglet are tasked with keeping Mallorca’s Cyle Larin at bay.
Expected lineup for Atletico Madrid:
- Goalkeeper: Jan Oblak
- Defenders: Marcos Llorente, Robin Le Normand, Clement Lenglet, Cesar Azpilicueta
- Midfielders: Giuliano Simeone, Koke, Samuel Dias Lino, Conor Gallagher
- Attackers: Antoine Griezmann, Julian Alvarez
Atletico Madrid Suspensions & Injuries
Atletico Madrid faces some challenges with key players missing due to injuries and suspensions. This could impact their performance, especially in the midfield area.
| Player | Suspension | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Rodrigo De Paul | Yellow cards | Next La Liga match |
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
| —————- | ————- | ——————— |
| Javi Galán | Knee injury | Early March 2025 |
Rodrigo De Paul’s suspension due to accumulated yellow cards means he’ll miss the upcoming match against Mallorca. His absence could disrupt Atletico’s midfield arrangement, necessitating adjustments by Diego Simeone. Javi Galán’s knee injury also sidelines him until early March, affecting the team’s defensive options. This may force Simeone to rely on less experienced players to fill crucial gaps.
Atletico Madrid Tactics and Formation
Atletico Madrid Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 4-3-3
- Key Forward: Julián Álvarez
- Midfield Trio: Conor Gallagher, Koke, Pablo Barrios
- Defensive Strength: Low average of 0.6 goals conceded in 21 matches this season.
Setup:
Expect Diego Simeone to stick with a strong defensive line featuring Nahuel Molina Lucero and Axel Witsel, combining experience and reliability. With Javi Galán sidelined due to a knee injury, Reinildo Mandava will likely step in at left back.
The midfield will miss the influence of the suspended Rodrigo De Paul but will still be steered by the experienced Koke, flanked by the dynamic Conor Gallagher and young talent Pablo Barrios.
Attack:
Up front, Álvarez, who has been in fine form and shares a strong rapport with Simeone, will lead the line supported by Ángel Correa and Giuliano Simeone. This trio aims to break down Mallorca’s defense with quick passing and strategic positioning.
Strategy:
The team is known for tightening up defensively, allowing an average of only 0.6 goals per match. Often, they look to capitalize on their opponents’ weak 76-90-minute phase, aiming to close games strongly with tactical substitutions and relentless pressure.
Mallorca Team Analysis
Mallorca Recent Performance
Mallorca’s form over the last five matches has been quite challenging, with four losses and just one win. This recent run does not paint the brightest picture for Jagoba Arrasate’s side.
| Home team | Away team | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Mallorca | Real Betis | 0-1 (Loss) |
| Villarreal | Mallorca | 4-0 (Loss) |
| Real Madrid | Mallorca | 3-0 (Loss) |
| Pontevedra | Mallorca | 3-0 (Loss) |
| Getafe | Mallorca | 0-1 (Win) |
Despite these results, Mallorca’s defense has managed one clean sheet in the last five games. However, they have struggled offensively, with an average of just 0.20 goals scored per match. They face a tough challenge in turning their fortunes around against a defensively robust Atletico Madrid team.
Mallorca Key Players
Mallorca will rely heavily on their key players if they are to secure a positive result against Atletico Madrid.
Expected lineup for Mallorca:
- Goalkeeper: Dominik Greif
- Defenders: Mateu Morey, Antonio Raíllo, José Manuel Arias Copete, Johan Mojica
- Midfielders: Martin Valjent, Samú Costa, Robert Navarro, Dani Rodríguez, Sergi Darder
- Attacker: Cyle Larin
Top scorer Cyle Larin will be crucial for Mallorca, having netted five goals this season. His battle against Atletico’s solid defense, led by Jan Oblak, will be one to watch.
Another key player, Sergi Darder, often orchestrates the midfield and will need to outperform Atletico’s Koke to provide scoring opportunities for his team.
Mallorca Suspensions & Injuries
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Manu Morlanes | Muscle injury | Doubtful |
| Pablo Maffeo | Knee injury | Doubtful |
| Antonio Sánchez | Hamstring injury | Late February 2025 |
| Player | Suspension | Expected return |
| —————– | ——————– | ————————- |
| Omar Mascarell | Red card | 1 match |
Mallorca faces a challenging game against Atletico Madrid, particularly with some key players out.
Omar Mascarell’s absence due to suspension weakens their midfield, limiting their options to hold possession and counter the home team’s pressure.
Injuries to Pablo Maffeo and Manu Morlanes further thin their defensive and midfield ranks, potentially forcing manager Jagoba Arrasate to make tactical adjustments.
Additionally, the absence of Antonio Sánchez means fewer creative options in the attack, putting more responsibility on the likes of Sergi Darder and Cyle Larin to break through Atletico’s formidable defense.
Mallorca Tactics and Formation
Mallorca Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 4-2-3-1
- Key Forward: Cyle Larin
- Midfield Versatility: With Omar Mascarell out, Samú Costa and Martin Valjent will likely anchor the midfield in defensive roles, while Dani Rodriguez will operate as the attacking midfielder.
- Wing Play: Sergi Darder and Robert Navarro will be pivotal on the wings, tasked with providing width and delivering crosses to Larin.
- Defensive Organization: Following recent losses, Mallorca aims to tighten their defense with José Manuel Arias Copete and Antonio Raíllo as the central defensive duo. Johan Mojica and Mateu Morey will operate as full-backs, focusing on stopping Atletico’s wingers.
- Strategic Approach: Jagoba Arrasate may opt for a more compact, counter-attacking strategy, utilizing the pace on the wings and Larin’s physical presence up front to exploit any gaps during transitions.
Atletico Madrid vs Mallorca Head-to-Head Statistics
| Home | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Mallorca | Atletico Madrid | 0-1 |
| Mallorca | Atletico Madrid | 0-1 |
| Atletico Madrid | Mallorca | 1-0 |
| Atletico Madrid | Mallorca | 3-1 |
| Mallorca | Atletico Madrid | 1-0 |
In their last five encounters, Atletico Madrid has a dominant record against Mallorca, winning four times and losing just once. This consistent performance gives Atletico a psychological edge heading into this fixture. Their ability to clinch victories with narrow margins, particularly evident in the three 1-0 wins, highlights their defensive solidity and resilience.
Odds accurate as of 30.01.2025 18:31, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.
