Dayana Yastremska vs Carole Monnet Prediction, Stats, Form, H2H, 12/12/24

After a day off with little value on the board, I’m back to look at a pair of matchups from the WTA’s Open BLS de Limoges in France. Let’s get it going with Dayana Yastremska vs Carole Monnet

Monnet’s win probability is only 30%, while Yastremska is favoured to win at 1.32 odds. The handicap is 4.5 games and the total games line is 20.5.

Jon Reid’s Yastremska vs Monnet prediction is for Yastremska to cover once again.

Dayana Yastremska vs Carole Monnet Prediction: Top-50 Yastremska Undervalued Again on Thursday

• Prediction: Yastremska -4.5 Games
• Best Odds: 1.86
• Bookmaker: Unibet
• Stakes: 4/10

Odds as at 1:45 am UK Time on December 12th, 2024. Odds may now differ.

Once again, I’m not going to go overboard on backing Yastremska with a large staking, simply because of her propensity to beat herself on occasion. The same logic that applied to her first round match applies here as well.

Though the handicap is higher, Monnet is much worse than Alina Charaeva, whose serve was actually much more potent than it was in previous seasons.

Monnet has a similar defensive profile, but lacks any sort of weapons and is going to struggle mightily to hold serve, unless Yastremska gifts her multiple points in each service game by overhitting balls into the net (entirely possible, but not likely to happen enough to get Monnet over the line).

Yastremska playing a level even as high as last match (not a high bar to clear) should see her win by at least five games. In the end, Monnet is only here because she played a midlevel clay courter indoors who was out of form.

It’s not a win that inspires confidence.

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Dayana Yastremska Recent Form

After snapping her seven-match losing streak last time out, Yastremska is looking to build some momentum and maybe get some points on the board ahead of a good chunk of her rankings points dropping in January.

She’s had a fortunate draw to this point and this should be a rare easy win for her. I’d go as far as to say that it’s more likely she beats herself should she lose than Monnet being responsible for her potential defeat.

This industry is all about probabilities and likelihoods though, and the most likely outcomes in this match are all lopsided wins in the Ukrainian’s favour.

Carole Monnet Recent Form

Monnet’s CV on hard courts this year isn’t a pretty one. Not only is her game not cut out for this level or this surface, but she has experienced losses to some pretty low-level talent in Sara Beth Grey, Yulia Hatouka, Diana Martynov and Aneta Laboutkova (and some of them in lopsided fashion).

When playing the likes of Dominika Salkova and Celine Naef – more solid players that aren’t at Yastremska’s level, but are strong in their own regard – she lost by seven and 10 games, respectively.

Yastremska really should be a five game favourite against her at a minimum and I’d go as far as to say that 5.5 may be the true number.

Dayana Yastremska vs Carole Monnet H2H – Stat of the Match

These two haven’t played one another and it’s no surprise. Monnet is an ITF Tour calibre player, while Yastremska is a tour level pro at her best and 125K player at her worst. There aren’t many opportunities for them to cross paths.

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