Dayana Yastremska vs Alina Charaeva Prediction, Stats, Form, H2H, 12/10/24

The first preview for Tuesday’s action comes from the Dayana Yastremska vs Alina Charaeva match at the Open BLS de Limoges. Yastremska enters among the top-35 in the WTA rankings, but she desperately needs a win ahead of the 2025 season. Can she find it? Let’s dig in a bit more.

Charaeva’s win probability is well over 40%, while Yastremska is favoured to win at 1.60 odds. The handicap is three games and the total games line is 20.5.

Jon Reid’s Yastremska vs Charaeva prediction is for Yastremska to snap her losing streak.

Dayana Yastremska vs Alina Charaeva Prediction: Even Out of Form Yastremska Too Strong for Weaker Opponent

• Prediction: Yastremska -3 Games
• Best Odds: 1.90
• Bookmaker: Pinnacle
• Stakes: 3/10

Odds as at 12:15 am UK Time on December 10th, 2024. Odds may now differ.

Even though Yastremska may be frustrated by Charaeva’s ability to wait out errors from her opponents thanks to her incredibly consistent and defensive play from the baseline, the fact is, these courts should help her end points a bit more quickly and the gulf between these two in terms of talent and their levels is a large one.

Yastremska has been poor since the summer, but she does need some form ahead of Australia, where she’ll have a boatload of points to defend in just over a month’s time.

Even if we want to price her poor form into this match, you’d have her moving from 1.44 or thereabouts into the 1.50 or 1.53 range. The 1.60 price for her to win is a bit much, and it means that the handicaps and totals – which are correlated with those moneyline markets – are anywhere from a half game to full game off.

More tennis previews can be found on the expert insights page.

Dayana Yastremska Recent Form

I will never understand how Yastremska has gotten to this point without ever making a slight adjustment to potentially propel herself into the top-10 or top-15 players in the world and, more importantly, stay there.

She’s been someone who has seen her rankings look like a roller coaster track with her results being so polarised.

She’s either missing everything and playing way too aggressively with zero second gear and mired in a losing streak (as she is now), or she’s redlining and her power is hitting everyone but the very best players in the game off the court and surging up the rankings (as she did in January at the Australian Open).

She had been a promising prospect at one point, but then came a series of losses. In fact, that semifinal run down under at the very beginning of the 2024 campaign came as a qualifier. That’s because she was outside of the top-100 by the end of 2023 and not able to get into the main draw directly based on her ranking.

That’s her game at this point. She’s got the explosive power and hitting to be among the best in the game. There is no problem solving, no tactical astuteness and no variety though.

In a tournament like this, I think the losing skid (now at seven matches) from the main tour can see her undervalued and available for a cheap price. I’ll be cautious here, but will back her against someone I consider to have a very low ceiling talent wise.

Alina Charaeva Recent Form

Though it’s been a nice season for Charaeva, who has a nice hard court record, her first win above the ITF Tour level on hard courts came in the opening round against a fellow ITF-calibre player in Justina Mikulskyte. Call me a sceptic, but I’m not going to put too much stock in that victory.

In fact, this is just her third tournament on the WTA circuit this season, with all of them being 125K events (Bucharest, Midland and now Limoges). She simply doesn’t have the game to stick against these types of players – much less the likes of Yastremska, who is a regular in bigger tournaments and is playing this one to find her form.

There isn’t much to Charaeva’s game, other than the fact that she doesn’t miss many balls. There isn’t a great serve to find cheap points and help her out of jams, there’s very little in the way of ball striking to control play and I struggle to see how she’s going to keep Yastremska from seizing control of point after point with how softly she can lob the balls in from the service line.

She won’t make many mistakes and if she can get Yastremska to play one of her 40-plus unforced error matches, she can certainly win. How likely is that to occur? That’s a proposition I have below the 40% mark.

Dayana Yastremska vs Alina Charaeva H2H – Stat of the Match

These two haven’t played in a professional capacity before.

Safer Gambling

At bettingexpert, we always take a safe approach to gambling. We’ll never bet more than we can afford or chase losses. For more advice, head to our Safer Gambling hub.