Varvara Gracheva vs Leylah Fernandez Prediction, Picks, Odds, H2H, Stats - 10/22/24

A second-round clash featuring Varvara Gracheva and Leylah Fernandez is set for Wednesday morning in China, and the Canadian native will be heavily favored to progress at the Pan Pacific Open.

With odds floating past -350, Fernandez is expected to be a quarterfinalist for the second straight event after reaching that stage at Wuhan last week.

Gracheva is coming off a semifinal appearance in Hong Kong and is well-rested after taking two weeks off before entering Tokyo.

With a win already in her pocket, EJ Garr’s Varvara Gracheva vs. Leylah Fernandez prediction leans on the underdog to keep the match close so check out hit tip at -110 odds below.

For more expert tennis predictions, visit Expert Insights!

Varvara Gracheva vs Leylah Fernandez Prediction: Mademoiselle Out For Revenge

• Prediction: Varvara Gracheva +4.5 Games Handicap
• Best Odds: -110
• Bookmaker: 1XBet
• Stakes: 3/10

Odds updated at 7:00 am UK Time on October 22, 2024. 

Varvara Gracheva is out for revenge against Leylah Fernandez after the Canadian native bounced her from the semifinals in Washington DC last season. Despite the straight-sets loss in the American Capitol, Gracheva held her own and didn’t go out without a fight so now she gets another crack at Fernandez.

The line setters see this as a walkaway win for Fernandez listing the Northerner at -350 and that is quite a statement. I do not see value in Fernandez even if you are a combo-lover and I was pleased to get the hook on the +4 to get +4.5 games with a decent price of -110. 

If anything, the underdog holds the value, because Fernadez can’t get past anyone lately without turmoil getting in the way. Fernandez is 3 – 5 over the last eight outings and all three wins have gone the distance. Yesterday’s match with Sasnovich likely left plenty of bettors aggravated after the Lucky Loser quit down 5 – 2 in the third set. 

The tickets were voided but Fernandez has gone three sets in seven of her last eight outings. The likelihood of this match going three sets is valid and I am seeing a lovely offer of +170 on the Over 2.5 Sets. Fernandez to win this match 2 – 1 is +300 and now you are talking my language!

Gracheva will cover the +4.5 handicap and you have two more offers with big value from this second-round affair at the Pan Pacific Open.

VARVARA GRACHEVA RECENT FORM

Gracheva is 4 – 1 over the last five outings and defeated Mai Hontama in the first round to reach this stage of the Pan Pacific Open. Varvara starts the week ranked 68th on the WTA Tour and is 12 – 14 on hardcourts this season.

Gracheva is 28 – 25 in 2024 and is trying to finish the campaign with a winning record for the second straight campaign after three losing seasons on the WTA Tour.

LEYLAH FERNANDEZ RECENT FORM

Leylah Fernandez enters Tokyo ranked 35th on the WTA Tour and the 22-year-old Canadian native has never produced a losing season. 

At 14 – 13 on hard courts this year, Fernandez has never produced a losing record on this surface and is chasing her first tourney win in 2024.

GRACHEVA VS FERNANDEZ H2H –  STAT OF THE MATCH

Leylah Fernandez defeated Varvara Gracheva in straight sets in Washington DC last season at 4 and 3.

The winner of this match is likely headed for a third-round battle with Qinwen Zheng who is expected to get past her second-round opponent. Mika Stojsavljevic and Moyuka Uchijima will compete later tonight for the right to face Zheng in the second round.

SAFER GAMBLING

At bettingexpert, we always take a safe approach to gambling. We’ll never bet more than we can afford or chase losses. For more advice, head to our Safer Gambling hub.