-101 Odds Pick for Thursday: Iga Swiatek vs Coco Gauff Prediction, Betting Picks, Odds, H2H, News - 5/16/24

Iga Swiatek will face Coco Gauff in the first of two Italian Open semifinal matches on Thursday, each with their eyes on the prize. The Internazionali d’Italia reward at the end of the rainbow earns €699,690 for this WTA-1000 event winner in Rome. Ej has your Swiatek vs Gauff prediction featuring odds of 1.99 below, close to even money.

Iga Swiatek is doing special things on clay this season, and Ej took full advantage of her convincing win in the quarters over Madison Keys. Another American stands in her way en route to another tournament victory on clay this season, and Coco Gauff has been beaten twice from nine matches on the dirt this year.

Gauff has two clay titles of experience to rely on at only 20 years old, and she will give Swiatek a challenge with a trip to the finals at stake in Rome. 

SWIATEK VS GAUFF PREDICTION: WORLD’S #1 FOCUSED IN FORM 

• Prediction: Over 19 Games
• Best Odds: 1.99
• Bookmaker: Pinnacle
• Stakes: 3/10

Odds as of 7:00 am UK Time May 16, 2024. Odds may now differ.

Call me crazy, but intuition in tennis handicapping is what I am all about, and if you haven’t noticed I do it well! Did you like my 6 – 4 – 6 – 3 call on Collins to land her place in the other semifinal today? 

I will have that other semifinal match between Sabalenka and Collins covered here at bettingexpert, so you might hear me mention it again! HA!

I don’t think anyone out there expects Iga to lose this match except for maybe Coco, her family, and her fans. Well, she will have the entire country over here in the United States pulling for her to upset Swiatek but it isn’t going to happen. 

I get that anything can happen on any given day, but this title can already be handed to Iga Swiatek. Neither Coco nor the winner of the Sabalenka vs Collins match has a snowball chance in hell to beat Iga right now.

With that said, I will tell you that I expect Coco to show up and put up one damn good fight for us to enjoy, and the game count will climb as a result. I suggest this Over 19 Games to bank the cash, as Pinnacle features 1.99 odds at just about even money on the return. 

You know I will always give you a bet worth investing in with plus money odds or close to it, so this is as close as it gets. 

I think Coco can take one of these sets to 7 – 5 or a tie-break, and that is a lot of respect on my part considering I know Iga is the World’s #1 for a damn good reason. DOMINANT FORCE! 

7 – 5, 6 – 3 is my call for this first of two semifinal affairs today in Rome, and Iga will be on the straight side victory end of that scoreline. Swiatek will advance and win this WTA-1000 event in Rome, and the trophy will be hers this weekend. Count on it! My Swiatek vs Gauff prediction is for there to be more than 19 games. 

IGA SWIATEK RECENT FORM

How does 12 – 1 on clay sound in 2024? That’s pretty damn good and dominant, and with a Madrid title already pocketed, she carries a 10-match win streak into the Rome Semifinal.

Iga has only dropped two sets over this winning streak on clay, and she knows a thing or two about how to beat Coco Gauff. As amazing as these two have already met 10 times, Iga has dominated Coco with nine wins to one loss.

COCO GAUFF RECENT FORM

Coco is 7 – 2 on the dirt in 2024, and she knows that Iga is a mountain she has yet to be able to climb. Sure, Coco had the win over Iga in Cincinnati last season, but nine losses by straight sets tell the story.

Gauff is 25 – 7 this season overall, and she has the Auckland title added to the four trophies she hoisted in 2023, including the U.S. Open! Coco has a French Open title to her credit, so let’s not lose track of that!

SWIATEK VS GUAFF H2H –  STAT OF THE MATCH

As stated above, Coco Gauff has yet to figure out a winning formula against Iga Swiatek but who has? Gauff and Swiatek have met 10 times because Coco manages to get deep into many events. 

Swiatek has beaten Coco on clay three times in three tries, and Iga has always retained a set to Coco in her nine wins against her overall. 

SAFER GAMBLING

At bettingexpert, we always take a safe approach to gambling. We’ll never bet more than we can afford or chase losses. For more advice, head to our Safer Gambling hub.