Sofia Kenin vs Caroline Garcia Prediction, Picks, Odds, H2H - 5/29/24

Sofia Kenin arrives at her second-round clash with Caroline Garcia as the underdog at Roland Garros, as the French Open continues on Wednesday in Paris. The American has had no problems handling Garcia in three meetings, and being favored won’t make the French native any better on home soil. Ej’s Sofia Kenin vs Caroline Garcia prediction features odds at -104 which can be found below. 

Caroline Garcia has had limited success at the clay Major in her career, as she has never advanced past the third round since her first appearance in 2012.

Kenin knows what it takes to make a deep run in Paris as evidenced by her 2020 semifinal showing, so expect a big effort and a possible surprise today.  

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SOFIA KENIN VS CAROLINE GARCIA PREDICTION: KENIN OWNS GARCIA!

• Prediction: Sofia Kenin +3 Games
• Best Odds: -104
• Bookmaker: Pinnacle
• Stakes: 3/10

Odds as of 7:00 am UK Time May 29, 2024. Odds may now differ.

I can’t even imagine how many people saw the -3 on Garcia and thought that would be the play to make against Kenin on Wednesday. 

Kenin has had Caroline’s number in all three affairs they have played, and I expect more of the same in Paris even if Garcia calls France home. 

It’s been three years since Kenin has even qualified for the main draw in Paris, so it is put up or shut up and I expect her best effort today. I would love to be the guy who suggests the Kenin Moneyline, but I like having a few games in my pocket too. 

The +3.5 Handicap fell a little short for me because of the price, although I imagine that -125 wouldn’t deter many a bettor from placing that action. I like getting as close to even money or plus money as often as possible, and this +3 falls in line at -104.

It’s not even about Kenin’s overall form for me because that 9-match losing skid she dealt with is tough to get past. It took a lot of work and time to feel like she could compete at this level again, and her comeback win in the first round showed me as much. 

Sonya could have easily given a B effort and lost against Siegemund but here she is in a big match against a native of France who will have the entire crowd on her side.

Garcia needed that crowd support in her first-round battle against Eva Lys after dropping the first set, 6 – 4. Caroline rebounded and only had her serve broken twice in the final two sets to reach the second round.

My Sofia Kenin vs Caroline Garcia prediction is for Kenin to win!

SOFIA KENIN RECENT FORM

Luckily we are talking about Sonya’s recent form and not the 9-match losing skid she had to endure earlier this season. Wait, I just mentioned it, so there’s that. 

I get it, and there isn’t much to support a play on Kenin with her recent record but she loves playing against Garcia for some reason. Kenin has taken wins in all three of their battles, and she’s done it rather easily.

CAROLINE GARCIA RECENT FORM

Caroline has three clay titles in her career but has yet to escape the third round at Roland Garros. Being at home can bring a different pressure, and she hasn’t found a way to take advantage of it yet.

Garcia was only 9 – 8 on the hard courts before clay season arrived, and her 2-year run of 40-win campaigns will end this year.

KENIN VS GARCIA H2H –  STAT OF THE MATCH:

Kenin being the underdog against Garcia is old hat and it’s only inspired the American to take out Garcia in all three meetings between them.

They first met on the grass at Mallorca in 2018, and Garcia was the 1-seed in that event. Heavily favored to ease past then 19-year-old Kenin, Sofia dismantled Caroline at 3 & 3.

Their second meeting was in Hobart to begin the 2019 campaign, and once again Kenin sent Garcia packing in straight sets. 

They last met in the World Tennis League last year, and it just took a one-set win to take the match, which Kenin did, 7 – 5.

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