Sara Errani vs Anna Schmiedlova Prediction, Picks, Odds, H2H - 5/28/24

Sara Errani and Anna Schmiedlova meet in the first round at Roland Garros on Tuesday in Section 8 of the bottom bracket. Errani has three wins through qualifying at the French Open under her belt, as the Italian carries a 12 – 4 record on clay into this first-round battle. My Errani vs Schmeidlova prediction at +148 odds is available below. Visit Expert Insights for more daily tennis predictions!

Schmiedlova enters the Major event after winning the Paris Challenger title and has similarly accumulated a 12 – 4 record on the dirt this season. The Slovakian is favored to advance past the Italian at -130 but this match will be decided by heart and stamina.

ERRANI VS SCHMIEDLOVA PREDICTION: A LONG AFTERNOON IN PARIS

• Prediction: Match Total Over 2.5 Sets
• Best Odds: +148
• Bookmaker: Pinnacle
• Stakes: 3/10

This section 8 clash will test both players’ ability to put mistakes behind them, and stamina will be a factor because I expect three sets to be played in Paris on Tuesday.

Sara Errani and Anna Schmiedlova have equivalent 12 – 4 records on clay this season, although the Italian has had to play three qualifying matches to claim her spot in the main draw.

Anna Schmiedlova has had 10 days off since taking the Paris Challenger title on May 18, so she is well-rested and favored to win this first-round battle with Errani.

As soon as I saw that -130 on the Slovakian native, the first thing that went through my mind was that this would be a tight battle that goes the distance. As you know, I am commonly seen posting the Over 2.5 Sets prop, and this match will prove to be a lengthy affair in the third Major of the 2024 campaign.

As a bonus offer, I recommend moving the handicap to -1.5 games and taking Schmiedlova to cover at -108 instead of paying that -130 on the Moneyline. I don’t expect Errani to get past Schmiedlova but I envision her playing well enough to steal a set from the Slovak.

Errani knows her way around the clay court, and we know this because she has nine titles on this surface over her career. Playing as the underdog in this match will inspire the Italian to give Schmiedlova all she can handle today, win or lose.

Play the Over 2.5 Sets prop at +148 unless you don’t mind settling for the Over 20.5 Games holding a decent -110 attached to the action. 

SARA ERRANI RECENT FORM

Sara Errani is simply a better player on clay and the numbers prove as much. She was 8 – 8 in hard court play before the clay swing arrived, and as mentioned she is 12 – 4 this year on the dirt. Over the last 15 years on tour, Errani has had a winning record on clay.

After winning three matches in Madrid, Errani fell to Haddad-Maia before heading to Rome where she earned one win before being humiliated by Elina Svitolina at 0 & 2.

ANNA SCHMIEDLOVA RECENT FORM

Ann Schmiedlova carries a five-match win streak into the French Open after taking the Paris Challenger title in preparation for the Major.

Anna has eight clay titles in her career, one behind Errani’s nine.

ERRANI VS SCHMIEDLOVA H2H –  STAT OF THE MATCH

Sara and Anna have met three times on tour, although the first two matches they played were back in 2015. Errani won the first meeting on clay in Rio de Janeiro, and Schmiedlova returned the favor in Bucharest. 

Their most recent meeting happened in Spain back in 2022, a match Schmiedlova won in straight sets.

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