Chris Rodesch vs Mika Brunold Prediction, Stats, Form, H2H, 1/9/25

We’re back with our ATP tennis previews just in time for the Australian Open next week. With the qualifiers done and no odds for the tour level events going on at the moment, we’ll actually look to a pair of Challenger Tour events for Thursday’s previews.

Let’s start with Chris Rodesch vs Mika Brunold from the Nottingham Challenger.

Brunold’s win probability is about 43%, while Rodesch is favoured to win at 1.64 odds. The handicap is 2.5 games and the total games line is 22.5.

Jon Reid’s Rodesch vs Brunold prediction is for Rodesch to cover the handicap.

Chris Rodesch vs MIka Brunols Prediction: Bigger Game One to Trust in Nottingham

• Prediction: Rodesch -2 Games & -2.5 Games
• Best Odds: 1.86 & 1.96
• Bookmaker: Pinnacle
• Stakes: 3/10 & 2/10

Odds as at 4:00 am UK Time on January 9th, 2025. Odds may now differ.

This has to be a larger staking size for me for a couple of reasons. For starters, in quick conditions, Rodesch’s game is one I want to back more than the young Swiss’. He’s got a huge serve, the bigger forehand and the more I watched him on the Challenger circuit in 2024, the more I thought he was developing a decent return game to boot.

The other is experience and the ability to play day-to-day at this level without dropping his level. Brunold is a prospect I’ve had high hopes for since 2023, but I do think he’s still fairly raw and holding up for two matches this week alone is fairly impressive.

He certainly has decent firepower, but not to the extent of his Luxembourgish opponent and his level dips far more often, as he hasn’t really found a way to play with controlled aggression nearly as well.

Rodesch is a product of the American collegiate system. With talented players, that often leads to an undervaluation, since the market doesn’t observe their progression as it takes place away from the professional ranks.

More tennis previews can be found on the expert insights page.

Chris Rodesch Recent Form

After what can only be seen as a successful conclusion to his 2024 season with a semifinal at the ITF level, a quarterfinal in Charlottesville and final in Drummondville (the latter two on the Challenger circuit) before an earlier exit in Mexico, Rodesch has picked up where he left off.

Not only has he managed another quarterfinal run on a hard court, but he’s done so against an explosive but erratic player in Ryan Nijboer and another collegiate alum to watch this season in Johannus Monday.

That’s a tough path and one that is also more impressive than Brunold has had to deal with to this point.

His game is bigger and more suited to these courts, he’s more likely to hold up after two prior matches and his level is more sustainable. Those are all the elements I look for when betting on a favourite against the games handicap.

Mika Brunold Recent Form

Still just 20 years old, Brunold has been on the radar of those who watch the Challenger Tour for a few years after receiving some wild cards into qualifying and main draws of tournaments on Swiss soil.

I do think he’s got potential, but as I’ve outlined above, there are still some concerns about the talent being raw and his struggles to play at his best for sustained periods.

He may one day possess the necessary weapons to succeed on hard courts, but at the moment, there’s a reason he’s been better on clay and has elected to concentrate his professional career primarily on the red dirt.

Sure this tournament is played indoors and on hard courts, but his path to the quarterfinals has been rather easy, picking up wins against a journeyman ITF player in Alexis Gautier and a fellow clay courter, Sandro Kopp.

Now playing a much more comfortable player on this surface and one with a game far more suited to success in these conditions, I don’t know how competitive he’ll be.

Chris Rodesch vs Mika Brunold H2H – Stat of the Match

This is the first meeting between the two men in their early 20s.

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