Arthur Rinderknech vs Hugo Gaston Prediction, Free Picks, Odds, Form, H2H, 4/15/24

With Monte Carlo now in the rearview mirror, we’re back to having several tournaments on the calendar this week. The ATP is in Barcelona, Bucharest, and Munich. Our Rinderknech vs Gaston prediction is available below!

For our first preview of the week, it’s off to the Tiriac Open in Romania, as we look at Arthur Rinderknech vs Hugo Gaston.

Gaston’s win probability is down at 45.2% while Rinderknech is favored to win at 1.72 odds. The handicap is 1.5 games and the total games line is 22.5.

Rinderknech vs Gaston Prediction: Crafty Lefty More Suited to Clay Court Tennis

• Prediction: Gaston to win
• Best Odds: 2.21
• Bookmaker: Pinnacle
• Stakes: 3/10

Odds as at 1:00 am UK Time on April 15th, 2024. Odds may now differ.

In a matchup of stylistic contrasts, I have the craftier, more consistent Gaston as the more likely player to emerge victorious.

On a quicker court, where Rinderknech’s advantage on serve would be more valuable, this pricing would make more sense.

Gaston’s proficiency on return, as well as his spin-heavy, higher margin style and ability to find the outer thirds of the court hitting with angles all makeup for his lack of power.

We have more previews and tips from around the tennis world over on the expert insights page.

Arthur Rinderknech Recent Form

Other than winning a Challenger in his native France on indoor hard courts (he also needed four three-setters to get that done), it hasn’t been a great 2024 season for the 28-year-old.

The power his game possesses is undeniable, but he doesn’t have a lot of variety, or rally tolerance and he isn’t a particularly strong defender or mover. It makes him a tad one-dimensional, and when his hitting goes awry from the baseline, there is very little to fall back on.

He’s 1-2 to start the clay season and the win was against a Monegasque wild card in qualifying who is more known as a double specialist. Last year the majority of his wins on the surface came at altitude, where short points are more likely to occur and the thinner air rewards his serve a bit more.

If he can redline with his hitting and get one of Gaston’s mental blowups on the other side of the net, he certainly has a path to victory. I’m not so sure the chances of that happening are over 50% though.

Hugo Gaston Recent Form

It’s been a rough few months for the younger of the two Frenchmen. Gaston has now lost his last six matches, with the last four of those happening in three sets and several of them coming from a setup.

That can be seen as extra painful to continually lose close contests, or it can be read as an indicator that perhaps he’s been much more competitive than players typically on six-match losing skids.

A week at a 250 with a more manageable draw could be just what the doctor ordered for the world No. 95.

He managed to win a lot of matches on the dirt a year ago, and I wouldn’t be surprised if he strings together several wins this week.

Arthur Rinderknech vs Hugo Gaston H2H – Stat of the Match

Though I don’t always believe in the head-to-head series in any given match being all that predictive (obviously it points to a matchup advantage in some cases), this one is on our side. I wouldn’t shift my numbers too much over a three-set, comeback win or a one-break of serve margin of victory on a different surface, however.

This bet hinges more on the surface favoring Gaston a bit more than it does Rinderknech.

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