Qinwen Zheng vs Leylah Fernandez Prediction, Picks, Odds, H2H, Stats - 10/25/24

Top-seeded Qinwen Zheng will face Leylah Fernandez in the quarterfinals of the Pan Pacific Open and the Chinese native is strongly favored to reach the semifinal.

With odds reaching -400, Zheng is expected to ease past Fernandez for the second time in two weeks after their clash in Wuhan.

The Canadian native pushed Zheng to three sets in Wuhan and EJ Garr’s Qinwen Zheng vs Leylah Fernandez prediction has expectations of another lengthy battle in Tokyo.

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Qinwen Zheng vs Leylah Fernandez Prediction: We’re Going The Distance!

• Prediction: Match Total Over 2.5 Sets
• Best Odds: +185
• Bookmaker: Unibet
• Stakes: 3/10

Odds updated at 7:00 am UK Time on October 25, 2024. 

I expect a similar battle to ensue today at the Pan Pacific Open, and the price on the Over 2.5 Sets is listed at +185! With Zheng favored so strongly at -400, Fernandez is getting +5 on the handicap and the total is listed at 20.5 games.

Unibet is offering +107 odds for Fernandez to win a set and that play is worth the investment with plus-money value. Ironically, Fernandez has odds of +210 to win the first frame and +240 to win the second set.

I will call for Zheng to win the first set and Fernandez to force a third set by winning the second frame at +240. The +5 with Fernandez is worth a look because this match will come down to the wire and the Canadian native will hold her own against 7th-ranked Zheng in Tokyo.

I see 1xBet is offering +152 odds on the total to go over 9.5 Games in the second set and they will topple that in the pivotal frame  I will call for a tie-break in the second set that pushes the total over 20.5 games so you have plenty of betting options for this quarterfinal match at the Pan Pacific Open.

QINWEN ZHENG RECENT FORM

Qinwen Zheng is 13 – 3 over the last 16 outings, and two of the three losses were against Aryna Sabalenka.

Zheng is 25 – 4 over the last 29 outings since the magical run on clay. The Chinese native claimed the Palermo title and an Olympic Gold Medal at the Paris Olympics before the North American swing.

Qinwen is 26 – 10 on hard courts this season and has accumulated a 46 – 16 record in 2024.

LEYLAH FERNANDEZ RECENT FORM

Leylah Fernandez is ranked 35th on the WTA Tour and that number hasn’t changed since the start of the campaign. Fernandez ended the 2023 season ranked 35th and has only produced a 15 – 13 record on hard courts in 2024.

Fernandez is 28 – 22 this season and has never produced a losing record since joining the WTA Tour.

ZHENG VS FERNANDEZ HTH –  STAT OF THE MATCH

Qinwen Zheng and Leylah Fernandez have played each other thrice on the WTA Tour since 2022, and two clashes have happened this season.

In 2022, Fernandez defeated Zheng in three sets in Monterrey, Mexico.

Zheng and Fernandez met in February at Doha and the Canadian wiped the floor with Zheng taking the win in straight sets.

Zheng finally got into the series with a win over Fernandez two weeks ago in Wuhan in another match that went the distance.

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