Petra Kvitova vs Varvara Gracheva Prediction, Picks, Odds, H2H, Stats - 3/5/25

Petra Kvitova returned to WTA action last week in Austin, Texas, and flopped out of the gate, but she’ll get another chance to perform when she takes on Varvara Gracheva at the BNP Paribas Open.

Kvitova flopped like a fish in her return to the WTA tour last week, and the line setters show no confidence in the Czech Republic native to succeed at Indian Wells.

We have a coinflip decision with -110 odds on either player to advance into the second round of this WTA1000 event in California.

EJ Garr’s prediction for Petra Kvitova vs. Varvara Gracheva carries even odds which can be found below.

For more expert tennis predictions, visit Expert Insights!

Petra Kvitova vs Varvara Gracheva WTA Indian Wells Prediction: Try, Try Again!

• Prediction: Varvara Gracheva To Win
• Best Odds: +100
• Bookmaker: Pinnacle
• Stakes: 5/10

Odds as of 7:00 am UK Time on March 5, 2025. Odds may now differ.

Petra Kvitova returned to the WTA Tour last week, and let’s just call it what it is. It was a complete flop in Austin losing against Jodie Burrage, and the Czech Republic native has to pick up the pieces and try again.

After seeing that effort with my own eyes, the former World’s #2 looks nothing like the player she used to be, and she is barely favored against 70th-ranked Varvara Gracheva.

Kvitova has a ranking now! How about 1448th? 

I took a flyer on Kvitova to win her first match returning to the WTA tour, and I can still smell my money burning away! That mistake won’t happen again until we see a MASSIVE effort from Kvitova!

And I mean massive, because a win over Varvara Gracheva suddenly became the biggest hardship for the Czech native. The line setters don’t have any confidence in Kvitova and quite frankly, neither do I.

Pinnacle is giving away Gracheva at +100 odds, and I will move my Unit Bet to 5 to get back what I lost in Kvitova’s first outing. 

We can assume that Gracheva remembers the 2023 clash with Kvitova before she left the WTA Tour because she got thumped.

Revenge is best served cold, and Gracehva has Kvitova ripe for the picking at Indian Wells. Having confidence in Gracheva is also a scary proposition because Le Mademoiselle has stunk up the joint in 2025. 

I understand why the line setters want us to decide which player can win this outing, but my money is on Gracheva to advance at the BNP Paribas Open.

PETRA KVITOVA RECENT FORM

This should be easy. One match, one loss in 2025. No form, no game!

VARVARA GRACHEVA RECENT FORM

Varvara Gracheva has three wins from eight outings in 2025 with the highlight win coming against 44th-ranked Peyton Stearns in Austin. Wins over Anna Schmiedlova and Caty McNally are barely worth mentioning.

Gracheva scratched out a 29 – 28 record in 2024, but produced a 13 – 16 record on hard courts last season.

KVITOVA VS GRACHEVA HTH –  STAT OF THE MATCH

Kvitova defeated Gracheva in the only meeting in Miami during the 2023 campaign.

Mirra Andreeva will meet the winner of this match in the second round of the BNP Paribas Open.

SAFER GAMBLING

At bettingexpert, we always take a safe approach to gambling. We’ll never bet more than we can afford or chase losses. For more advice, head to our Safer Gambling hub.