Lorenzo Musetti vs Quentin Halys Prediction, Stats, Form, H2H, 3/21/25

Our first ATP preview to round out the week at the Miami Open is in the Lorenzo Musetti vs Quentin Halys matchup.

Halys’ win probability is 40%, while Musetti is favoured to win at 1.59 odds. The handicap is two games and the total games line is 23.

Jon Reid’s Musetti vs Halys name prediction is for Musetti to come away with a clean win.

Lorenzo Musetti vs Quentin Halys Prediction: Trust Seeded Italian on Friday

• Prediction: Musetti -2 Games
• Best Odds: 1.89
• Bookmaker: Pinnacle
• Stakes: 4/10

Odds as at 1:00 am UK Time on March 21st, 2025. Odds may now differ.

It’s fairly clear by the total in this match that the market expects Halys’ powerful first serve to play well in these quicker conditions. That’s not an unreasonable assumption, but it’s one I’ll disagree with for a few reasons.

The first is that the courts aren’t lightning quick here. They’re certainly quicker than what we saw during the fortnight of tennis in California at the Indian Wells Masters, but they’re not exactly impossible to return on either.

The other reason? He’s playing a decent returner in Musetti. The Italian also displayed that when conditions are somewhat quicker that his own service game becomes tougher to pressure. With Halys not particularly gifted on the return of serve, I’m going to credit Musetti with being able to hold his own (literally).

Give me Musetti giving up the two game head start.

More tennis previews can be found on the expert insights page.

Lorenzo Musetti Recent Form

I’m actually fine with the 23-year-old’s form to this point. I’m sure he and his team would like his record to be better than 5-3, but some close losses to quality players and injury woes have prevented him from having a stronger first quarter of 2025.

That may change this week, but he’s been dealt a tough draw again, with the potential to play Felix Auger Aliassime in the third round.

There’s no shame in losing in three sets to Arthur Fils or even to Jaume Munar all the way back in January, after what the Spaniard has shown on hard courts so far this year. Again, there will surely be disappointment in his camp that he was up a set in both of those contests, but he has either won or held his own in every match he’s played so far this year.

The consistent game style is a staple, but in the last year or two he’s added a lot more offence to his game that makes him more well rounded and a much tougher out for his opponents on any surface.

Quentin Halys Recent Form

The powerful, but volatile and erratic Halys was not having a fun start to 2025 in the least, losing four of the five main draw matches he played. Then Dubai happened. The now-57th-ranked player in the world snuck through qualifying and managed to turn that into a deep run, reaching the semifinals and taking the first set against Auger Aliassime before the magic ran out.

His style is fairly straightforward. He’s a fairly tall player with a booming serve and imposing groundstrokes. He’s also error prone though and doesn’t do much defending, slicing or shotmaking. If you can keep the ball out of the centre of the court and get some depth on your shots (which Musetti does fairly well), you’re going to give him trouble.

We’ll see if back in quicker conditions he can rekindle that magic from Dubai. I’m not expecting much though.

Lorenzo Musetti vs Quentin Halys H2H – Stat of the Match

The only prior meeting between these two came all the way back in 2020 – Musetti was still a teenager at the time – and went three sets at a Challenger in France. Obviously Musetti has improved a lot since then, especially off of clay, where he’s now a threat. I’d expect this one to go a little differently.

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