Jaume Munar vs Kamil Majchrzak Prediction, Stats, Form, H2H, 4/1/25

Our second preview shifts over to the ATP tournament in Marrakech. Let’s delve into Jaume Munar vs Kamil Majchrzak.

Majchrzak’s win probability is about 35%, while Munar is favoured to win at 1.46 odds. The handicap is 3.5 games and the total games line is 22.

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Jon Reid’s  Munar vs Majchrzak prediction is for Munar to score a convincing victory.

Jaume Munar vs Kamil Majchrzak Prediction: Trust In Form Veteran Against Unproven Pole

• Prediction: Munar -3 Games
• Best Odds: 1.84
• Bookmaker: Pinnacle
• Stakes: 3/10

Odds as at 4:00 am UK Time on April 1st, 2025. Odds may now differ.

Natural clay courter. Tour level regular. Aggression added to the serve and forehand. Strong form entering this week in 2025. All of those things are accurate descriptions of Munar in 2025. Yet, despite his opponent being a Challenger Tour calibre player and him playing what could be his best ever tennis on the ATP’s main circuit in recent months, he’s only a 3-3.5 game favourite.

I think that’s a tad disrespectful but welcome the mistake, as I think it presents a great opportunity to back the world No. 55 (he’s now just a few spots off a career high ranking as well).

His improved service game should also benefit from the 450 metres of altitude in Marrakech and the fact Majchrzak isn’t a player whose game has an abundance of firepower should ensure his strong return game and consistency are also rewarded.

I’m not entirely surprised to see this kind of number, as I’ve been of the belief this season that the Pole has been consistently overvalued by the betting markets. When that’s the case, I’m going to try and oppose him when opportunities like this present themselves.

Jaume Munar Recent Form

I don’t think Munar can be anything but pleased with his start to 2025. He only played one of the stops in South America on clay, losing in the second round in Rio de Janeiro, but he’s already made a pair of semifinals in Hong Kong and Dallas on hard courts.

I mentioned his improved game in the serve and forehand departments and that was on full display in each of those tournaments.

He still possesses the patented consistency and ability to really make opponents work that got him here in the first place though.

Right now I have him as a full tier or two clear of Majchrzak and I think that warrants at least a four game handicap.

Kamil Majchrzak Recent Form

Majchrzak has amassed plenty of wins himself this season, but needless to say, they’ve come at a lower level than those of the Spaniard.

He’s also lost to some middling Challenger Tour level guys in matches he’s been a big favourite in. Calvin Hemery, Manuel Guinard and the talented young Rei Sakamoto simply shouldn’t be beating someone who is consistently being priced as though he’s a fringe main tour player.

He has a decent serve and forehand of his own, but they’re far from imposing and his best results in recent years have tended to come on quicker courts.

Now playing up against a tough opponent on a surface that likely favours that better opponent? Big test for the 29-year-old.

Jaume Munar vs Kamil Majchrzak H2H – Stat of the Match

Majchrzak has beaten Munar both times the two have met. That could be what’s keeping this handicap below four games, but as is often the case, the 2-0 score doesn’t tell the whole story.

For starters, those matches were in 2017 and 2019. Six years is a long time and looking at matches that far back is a fool’s errand.

Then there’s the fact that one took place on grass, with the other being at a tournament with traditionally fast courts indoors in Belgium. Not exactly the most predictive of data points.

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