Masur vs Marie Prediction,Picks, Odds, H2H, September 9th

Our second preview for the day comes at the ATP Challenger Tour’s Open Blot Rennes. Let’s look at two serve-oriented players in Daniel Masur vs Jules Marie.

Marie’s win probability comes in at about 45%, with Masur being the favorite at 1.67 odds. The handicap is two games and the total game line is 22.5.

For more daily tennis tips, visit the bettingexpert community, but if you want more expert tips from Jon Reid, visit our Expert Insights section.

Our Masur vs Marie prediction is for Masur to win.

Daniel Masur vs Jules Marie Prediction: Masur Superior Indoor Tennis Player and Worth Backing

• Prediction: Masur to win & Masur -2 Games
• Best Odds: 1.69 & 1.98
• Bookmaker: Pinnacle
• Stakes: 4/10 & 2/10

Odds updated at 12:15 am UK Time on September 9th, 2024. 

There may be no one happier right now to see the Challenger Tour shift back to indoor hard courts than Masur. Though he acquitted himself decently on clay courts during the summer, he is a quick-court specialist in my mind (though if he’s improving on clay, perhaps he’s not a specialist and just prefers the quicker conditions).

Equipped with a massive serve, first forehand, and the desire to play pacy rallies, he’s at his best when things get quicker.

Judging by previous champions, finalists, and semifinalists dating back to 2021 (Benjamin Bonzi, Arthur Rinderknech, Maxime Cressy, Ugo Humbert, Gregoire Barrere, Mats Moraing, Peter Gojowczyk, and Matteo Martineau), this is a tournament that caters to those who enjoy playing in quicker conditions.

Now, Marie is also someone who prefers quicker courts, but I don’t rate his baseline game nearly as much, and the tennis Youtuber has done a great job to propel himself back up the rankings, but with how reliant he is on his first serve, I don’t think he has much staying power.

His results would suggest the same, with a few nice events on the Challenger Tour, but far more early exits.

Daniel Masur Recent Form

I alluded to the fact that Masur was oddly decent on clay this summer, with a pair of semifinals at German Challengers and then a quarterfinal in Porto a few weeks ago. That’s pretty inspiring because it means his game may be developing a bit, even though he’s nearly 30.

When it comes to indoor hard court performances, he’s 28-5 this year. Now, much of that success came on the ITF circuit, but in the one Challenger he played in Lugano, he qualified with ease and then ripped through the main draw, reaching the final with a trio of underdog wins and without dropping a set along the way. He ran into Otto Virtanen, who employs a similar style to his and is simply a much more promising player.

I’m surprised he’s not a much larger favorite. He may not be the best returner, but his baseline game should be able to dictate much more than Marie’s and his second serve should hold a bit more as well.

If this turns into a pure serve bot-like match with first serves to dominate and both guys racing to service holds, this could be close. In any other circumstance though, I’d give the German an edge.

Jules Marie Recent Form

The 33-year-old’s story is a great one, as he’s gone from content creator to a late-career surge that saw him grind away at the ITF level and nearly reach the top 200 for the first time in his career in his 30s.

This year has been a bit of a wake-up call though, with his record in Challenger Tour main draws or grand slam qualifying being just 12-16 on hard courts (including indoor matches). Half of those wins came in his semifinal runs in Tenerife and Blois.

The game hasn’t been there and though he can still challenge for ITF trophies, I don’t think he’s quite at the level anymore to win Challenger Tour matches against opposition that is strong on a given surface (which is the case here with Masur on a quick, indoor court).

With the match coming later on in the day, perhaps he can channel the home crowd’s energy to keep things close or even pull off the upset, but I don’t think his game comes close to Masur’s at this stage in these conditions.

Daniel Masur vs Jules Marie H2H – Stat of the Match

This is the first meeting between these two journeymen.

Safer Gambling

At bettingexpert, we always take a safe approach to gambling. We’ll never bet more than we can afford or chase losses. For more advice, head to our Safer Gambling hub.