Marina Stakusic vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto Prediction, H2H - 3/27/25

We’re heading back to Mexico for the second round of the Puerto Vallarta Challenger, where Marina Stakusic will face Elisabetta Cocciaretto on Thursday.

The Italian native arrives as the favorite at odds of -190 to advance to the quarterfinals, as her Canadian opponent has struggled to find her game.  

EJ Garr’s prediction for Marina Stakusic vs. Elisabetta Cocciaretto features odds at -115, which can be found below.

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Marina Stakusic vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto WTA Puerto Vallarta Challenger Prediction: Italian Favored To Advance

• Prediction: Match Total Under 21.5 Games
• Best Odds: -115
• Bookmaker: bet365
• Stakes: 3/10

Odds as of 7:00 am UK Time on March 27, 2025. Odds may now differ.

Elisabetta Cocciaretto being favored at -190 odds doesn’t make her the better tennis player in this matchup. I don’t envision anyone putting that kind of bet on the Italian to pick up a second-round win in Puerto Vallarta, but I do like this total to stay under the 21.5 games.

A fair line of -115 is posted at bet365, although I see the Under 21.5 listed at -125 odds at a handful of bookmakers. 

I am trying to convince myself that Cocciaretto will sweep Stakusic, but I do not expect a three-set match to take place either. Even if Stakusic upsets Cocciaretto and wins the first set, I can imagine Cocciaretto folding like a lawn chair and losing in straight sets anyway, HA!

That puts me in the weird spot of trusting one of these ladies to sweep their opponent. Stakusic is playing like junk lately, and the win over Ana Konjuh snapped a 4-game losing skid for the Canadian native.

Stakusic has one 3-match win streak in 2025 from the event in Transylvania, and the win over Sorana Cirstea is the highlight of the campaign for the 20-year-old. Since leaving the Austin event due to injury, Stakusic hasn’t looked comfortable in North America.

I will take a flyer on Cocciaretto to win this match in straight sets, and the +135 odds on the 2 – 0 correct sets prop is worth the look. I hope it leads to the under cashing in as my main play for this second round affair at the Puerto Vallarta Challenger.

MARINA STAKUSIC RECENT FORM

Marina Stakusic defeated 520th-ranked Ana Konjuh in the opening round of the Puerto Vallarta Challenger. The win snapped a 4-game slide for the Canadian native who had lost five of her previous six outings.

Stakusic is 6 – 7 in 2025 and is ranked 126th on the WTA Tour.

ELISABETTA COCCIARETTO RECENT FORM

Elisabetta Cocciaretto is 4 – 7 in 2025 and is ranked 82nd on the WTA Tour.

Cocciaretto faced 1100th-ranked Christina McHale in the first round and advanced in straight sets, 6 – 3, 6 – 3.

The Italian native has slipped 30 spots in the WTA Rankings since last season, and went 14 – 15 on hard courts in 2024.

STAKUSIC VS COCCIARETTO HTH –  STAT OF THE MATCH

Today’s match at the Puerto Vallarta Challenger will mark the first meeting between Marina Stakusic and Elisabetta Cocciaretto.

The winner of this match will face Sara Sorribes Tormo or Heather Watson in the quarterfinals.

SAFER GAMBLING

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