Jannik Sinner vs Grigor Dimitrov Prediction, Picks, Odds, H2H, June 4th

The final eight for each of the singles draws have been determined and we’re off to the quarterfinals at the French Open. For the first preview of the day, let’s look at Jannik Sinner vs Grigor Dimitrov as the most in form player in the world continues his quest to win the first two grand slams of the year alive. Our Sinner vs Dimitrov prediction at 1.87 odds is available in the article below!

Dimitrov’s win probability is about 22%, while Sinner is favored to win at 1.23 odds. The handicap is 5.5 games and the total games line is 36.

Jannik Sinner vs Grigor Dimitrov Prediction: Sinner to Keep Rolling in Paris

• Prediction: Sinner -5.5 Games
• Best Odds: 1.85
• Bookmaker: Pinnacle
• Stakes: 2/10

Odds as at 1:30 am UK Time on June 4th, 2024. Odds may now differ.

Not a whole lot of value here, but considering I’d have this handicap slightly north of six games, I’m happy to have a bet on the -5.5 games in this spot.

As admirable as this run has been for Dimitrov, we’re still talking about a surface that isn’t his best, and against more decent opposition he could be in trouble. His return game continues to be mediocre at best, even with the courts slower and he’s going from playing a pair of fringe tour level players, Hubert Hurkacz in conditions that he doesn’t like and a physically struggling Fabian Marozsan to the most in-form player in the world.

Just as is the case for almost every player in the world, there’s almost nothing Dimitrov does better than Sinner and he’s probably more out of his element than the young Italian on clay.

Head over to the expert insights for my preview of the Carlos Alcaraz vs Stefanos Tsitsipas match.

Jannik Sinner Recent Form

Though Corentin Moutet gave him a scare for about an hour on Phillippe Chatrier in the fourth round with his variety, Sinner still managed to trounce the Frenchman when it was all said and done to give himself a jaw-dropping 34-2 record in 2024.

Only his hip has stopped him since Stefanos Tsitsipas bested him in Monte Carlo. His power is unquestionable, his serve has improved, he’s fine across surfaces and he’s been on a roll at Roland Garros.

At this point, I just don’t see much reason to doubt him. Sure, Dimitrov’s serve is strong, but Sinner is a pretty strong returner himself, and with the surface eating up some pace, he should be able to start plenty of points on return and create the requisite chances to cover the number.

Grigor Dimitrov Recent Form

Credit where it’s due, I didn’t expect Dimitrov to make it this far on clay, but the fact is, the men’s tour is fairly top-heavy at the moment, and it’s why I outlined his 80/1 price in the early look at the outright odds last month.

The problem for him is that the question marks for the big gun in his quarter of the draw have been answered for the most part during the opening week of the French Open. The set against Moutet was the only set Sinner has dropped and I’m not sure I’d expect Dimitrov to be the guy to take the second.

He’s beaten the guys you’d expect him to beat this clay season, but when he’s come up against strong players and the top guys in the game? He’s struggled to remain competitive for an entire match.

Jannik Sinner vs Grigor Dimitrov H2H – Stat of the Match

Sinner has dominated this matchup since Dimitrov took the first meeting back in 2020.

He’s also managed to win lopsided sets in most meetings, which is something we’ll be looking for from him in this spot. Combined with his surface edge, form edge, matchup edge and Dimitrov’s struggles against the best players he’s played on the clay this year, I think we are making a decent wager giving up the 5.5 games.

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