Eva Lys vs Aoi Ito Prediction, Picks, Odds, H2H, Stats - 3/17/25

A spot in the main draw of the Miami Open is on the line when Eva Lys takes on Aoi Ito in the fifth qualifier final on Monday morning from the Sunshine State.

As we switch coasts from West to East, the main draw will be filled by the end of the day, and one of these ladies will secure their spot. Eva Lys arrives as the slight favorite with odds at -140 to win the fifth qualifier bracket, after they were both favorites to win the first round of qualifying.

EJ Garr’s prediction for Eva Lys vs. Aoi Ito features odds at +138, which you can find below.

For more expert tennis predictions, visit Expert Insights!

Eva Lys vs Aoi Ito WTA Miami Open Prediction: We’re Going The Distance

• Prediction: Match Total Over 2.5 Sets
• Best Odds: +138
• Bookmaker: Pinnacle
• Stakes: 3/10

Odds as of 7:00 am UK Time on March 17, 2025. Odds may now differ.

My four favorite words. We’re going the distance, and this should be a great way to conclude qualifying for the main draw of the Miami Open.

All I can see is this match rolling into a third set, and seeing Lys favored doesn’t make me think she can win because the linesetters see it that way. Being favored only puts a bigger target on your back, and puts the pressure back on you for the expectations on you to win.

Holding that composure is the key to this outcome, and I honestly can’t predict Lys to win this match in three sets. Should Eva Lys advance to the main draw? 

The line for Lys to win this match in three sets is +320 and +340 odds are showing for Ito to do the same. That isn’t much of a discrepancy, and neither player is expected to sweep their opponent. Lys has +170 odds to sweep Ito, so something has to give in one direction.

These two ladies met last October in Osaka, Japan, and being the underdog didn’t stop Ito from taking a three-set win over Lys. That result should give Ito the confidence to earn a set victory, at least, and push Lys to the limit if she isn’t making the main draw.

Ito can win this match, and I will stay away from a side and leave the over 2.5 sets as the play. We’re going the distance is my only conclusion, and the payoff is +138 when they hit the third frame.

EVA LYS RECENT FORM

Eva Lys will start the week ranked 78th on the WTA Tour, and is 10 – 7 to start the 2025 campaign.

The German native is the 5-seed in qualifying, and was listed at -200 to get past Petra Martic in the semifinal of the fifth qualifier bracket. Her first serve was on point converting 78%, and she broke Martic five times while taking advantage of a sloppy service game from the veteran.

AOI ITO RECENT FORM

Aoi Ito will start the week ranked 112th on the WTA Tour, and started teh campaign with a bang. After winning the Canberra title, the Japanese native is 11 – 6 in 2025, and is on the brink of cracking the top 100. The 20-year-old will turn 21 in May, and a couple of nice runs over teh next few weeks could get her there.

Ito has the drive and the game to provide an upset today, so don’t be shocked if this match ends up with both ladies exhausting all they have to advance to the main draw.

Ito was an impressive 62 – 24 in 2024 with 3 tournament wins, so the projections all point up! 

LYS VS ITO HTH –  STAT OF THE MATCH

Aoi Ito upset Eva Lys last year in Osaka, Japan, in a match that went three sets. It was the first meeting between them.

SAFER GAMBLING

At bettingexpert, we always take a safe approach to gambling. We’ll never bet more than we can afford or chase losses. For more advice, head to our Safer Gambling hub.