Elina Avanesyan vs Jelena Ostapenko Prediction, Picks, Odds, H2H, Stats - 8/15/24

Elina Avanesyan took advantage of the Lucky Loser role with a first-round win as a +165 underdog and now gets a crack at Jelena Ostapenko on Thursday at the Cincinnati Open.

Avanesyan got hurled out of qualifying by Harriet Dart but the re-entry as a Lucky Loser provided a spark for the Armenian native against favored Bianca Andreescu.

Jelena Ostapenko flopped at the Olympics and was taken out in Toronto as a big favorite against Taylor Townsend but the line setters like the Latvian’s chances to advance at -200.

EJ Garr’s Elina Avanesyan vs Jelena Ostapenko prediction is on a first-set prop with odds at +114 so check out the tip below.

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Elina Avanesyan vs Jelena Ostapenko Prediction: An Early Cash in the Queen City

• Prediction: 1st-Set Total Over 9.5 Games
• Best Odds: +114
• Bookmaker: 1XBet
• Stakes: 3/10

Odds updated at 7:00 am UK Time on August 15, 2024. 

We’re getting paid early from this match and as you can see I expect things to get wild out of the gate when Avanesyan and Ostapenko hit the court.

I’ll start with Avanesyan and her service game because the Armenian native had it under control against Andresscu in the first round. It was quite a comeback for Elina after being trounced by Harriet Dart in qualifying but sometimes it is better to be lucky than a loser.

Luck had nothing to do with taking out Andreescu who came into Cincinnati ranked 166th on the WTA Tour but was a -175 favorite to take out Avanesyan in the opening round.

The best part of that clash came late in the second set when Avanesyan was serving to shut the door at 5 – 4 and up a set. The only break of Elina’s serve had to happen while serving for the match, and the service game going up 5 – 3 was even more insane for Avanesyan. It took 21 points to hold that serve!

Jelena Ostapenko is ranked 11th on the WTA Tour and no one knows where her confidence level is coming into this WTA1000 event in Ohio. The two matches in Toronto were odd for Ostapenko as she found a way to take out Paula Badosa who was fresh off a title run in DC, and then the loss to Taylor Townsend was like, WHAT? 

This will be a 7 – 5 first set so play the Over 9.5 Games at +114 and enjoy the opening frame.

ELINA AVANESYAN RECENT FORM

Avanesyan will tell anyone that clay is her thing as all four of her titles won have come from tourneys on the dirt. The Armenian native is ranked 60th on the WTA Tour, a career-best, and with winning records on clay and grass the 8 – 7 number on hardcourts it’s the last surface left to stay above .500.

Avanesyan has a record of  28 – 27 on hard courts over the last three seasons. 

JELENA OSTAPENKO RECENT FORM

Ostapenko isn’t in good form having lost three of her last four outings on three different surfaces. The flop at the Olympics was hard enough to take but the loss to Taylor Townsend in Toronto doesn’t do much for the Latvian’s confidence.

Jelena has two titles this season on hardcourts from wins at Adelaide and Linz. With an 18 – 7 record on hardcourts this campaign, Ostapenko is almost guaranteed a winning record on all three surfaces for the third time in four seasons. 

AVANESYAN VS OSTAPENKO HTH –  STAT OF THE MATCH

Speaking of the final Major of the season Elina and Jelena met at last year’s U.S. Open and it was a three-set affair. Ostapenko won the match and two of the three sets went to a 7 – 5 finish.

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