Alex de Minaur vs Jack Draper Prediction, Stats, Form, H2H, September 4th

Wednesday brings the second day of quarterfinal action at the U.S. Open. We’ll break down both matches. Let’s start with the day time Alex de Minaur vs Jack Draper match.

Draper’s win probability is about 46%, while de Minaur is favoured to win at 1.81 odds. The handicap is 1.5 games and the total games line is 38.

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Alex de Minaur vs Jack Draper Prediction

Another second week clash that appears to be priced up pretty well. It can be tough to find value when the players remaining tend to be well known and the markets become more efficient as the most bet on matches of the tennis season.

I still think this one is well worth a watch. The younger of the two in Draper has been excellent this week and has a nice game that comprises a strong serve, power as a lefty and the ability to play with enough consistency to stick around the longer rallies with de Minaur.

The Aussie has been playing decent tennis himself, considering it’s his first tournament back since Wimbledon.

The absence has appeared to have taken a toll on his ability to land his first serve, and with his game not being the most powerful to begin with, that could be something that comes back to haunt him as the competition gets tougher.

He won’t have the bigger game of the two, but he’s certainly likely to come out on top in any physical battle that goes to a fourth or fifth set. We’ll see if he can drag Draper into many longer rallies and make the match a physical affair.

Alex de Minaur Recent Form

I think the fact that de Minaur has proven himself a bit more often at the highest levels and been a steadier presence in the rankings up near the top, along with the head-to-head record are what is making him the favourite.

For me, it’s the likelihood that the match will be a close one that may go four hours that gives him the slightest of edges. On the basis of their styles, games and form, I would tend to lean against the Aussie, but I can’t help but feel like he does turn this from a coin flip like match into one he has the slightest of edges in when it goes long.

Think the market continues to price up the second week matches well and I think we’re better off looking for better spots to wager on.

Jack Draper Recent Form

If ever there was a time for Draper to break out, it’s this week. He looks great on court, hasn’t racked up the time on court (still yet to drop a set through four rounds and has been posting some lopsided sets along the way) and he has an opponent who may not be at his best.

I’m intrigued to see how his serve looks against what is likely the best returner and most adept player at getting points started and getting them to neutral footing on the men’s circuit.

If he can stay on the front foot on serve consistently, he should be able to score the win. That may be tougher said than done though.

Alex de Minaur vs Jack Draper H2H – Stat of the Match

The speedy grinder from Australia holds the 3-0 lead in this series, though it should be noted that none of the three have been all that straightforward.

With Draper on the rise and de Minaur potentially still playing below his top level, this very well could be the time that the Brit can turn the tides.

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