Coco Gauff vs Paula Badosa Prediction, Picks, Odds, H2H, Stats - 10/4/24

We have arrived at the semifinal stage of the China Open and a high-profile affair between Coco Gauff and Paula Badosa will play out on Friday in Beijing.

Gauff enters the final four of this WTA1000 event as the favorite to get past Badosa at -135 although the Spaniard hasn’t dropped a set from four wins in Beijing.

Badosa finally ended the run for Shuai Zhang in the quarterfinals and now gets a crack at the 6th-ranked Gauff who hasn’t been at her best in Beijing this week. 

EJ Garr’s Coco Gauff vs Paula Badosa prediction features odds at +110 and you can find his tip below.

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Coco Gauff vs Paula Badosa Prediction: An Upset Brewing in Beijing

• Prediction: Paula Badosa Moneyline
• Best Odds: +110
• Bookmaker: bet365
• Stakes: 3/10

Odds updated at 7:00 am UK Time on October 4, 2024. 

With the back injury put behind her, Badosa is inching closer to getting back into the top 10 of the WTA rankings and a run to this title in Beijing would give the Spaniard even more confidence in her game since returning to the tour this year.

The win over Jess Pegula in the third round was a huge confidence booster for Badosa and she could pick up two wins against top-10 ranked opponents with the dub today over Gauff.

Coco’s ranking fell to the 6th spot after the loss at the US Open and if anyone needs a confidence boost it is the American. Gauff barely got past Naomi Osaka and who knows how that match would have ended if the Japanese native could have finished that match.

We nailed the Starodubtseva action against Gauff in the quarterfinal and this is a perfect scenario for Badosa to pull the mild upset over the 6th-ranked Gauff.

Gauff dropped the first set against the Ukrainian native and needed to mount a comeback to take the three-set victory. Coco’s serve is a big issue right now and Badosa will take advantage of it!

COCO GAUFF RECENT FORM

Coco Gauff made her life difficult against Stardubtseva because of the 11 double-faults in the match but she did enough to get past the Ukrainian in three sets.

Gauff went 3 – 0 at the US Open until the clash with Emma Navarro and is 7 – 1 over the last 8 outings.

Coco is 26 – 8 on hardcourts this season and has won 45 of 60 matches in 2024.

Because of the Olympics, Gauff only competed in two North American events this year after winning three titles during the swing last season (Washington DC, Cincinnati, and the US Open).

PAULA BADOSA RECENT FORM

Paula Badosa is 23 – 9 on hardcourts this season and has a record of  34 – 16 in 2024.

The Spaniard hasn’t produced a losing record on any surface since 2018 and is looking for her first win on Asian soil since turning pro.

Badosa will see her ranking rise from 19th after another deep run in Beijing and a title in this event would give her title #2 in 2024 after the run to the DC title.

GAUFF VS BADOSA H2H –  STAT OF THE MATCH

Gauff and Badosa have squared off 5 times since 2021 and the Spaniard holds an edge in the series with three wins against the American.

The 2021 campaign was big for Badosa who reached as high as 8th in the WTA Rankings after a career-high 40 wins. The two met at Indian Wells that season and Badosa took a straight-sets win in the first meeting.

In 2022, Gauff and Badosa each won a meeting from two clashes and Badosa took a 3 – 1 series lead with the win in 2023 at the Madrid Open. This past May in Rome, Coco took out Badosa in three sets in the round of 8.

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