Anna Kalinskaya vs Clara Burel Prediction, Picks, H2H, 5/27/24: Another Value Bet at +136 Odds

The first round of the French Open main draw brings together Anna Kalinskaya and Clara Burel on Monday at the third Major event of the season. After a busy Sunday at Roland Garros, there will be a total of 44 WTA first-round matches on Monday to complete the round. Ej’s Anna Kalinskaya vs Clara Burel prediction features odds at +136 which can be found below..

This clash between Kalinskaya and Burel comes out of Section 5 of the bottom bracket, and the Russian native lands the favorite role. At -150, Kalinskaya is expected to advance in the section to face Bianca Andreescu or Sara Sorribes Tormo in the next round. 

Kalinskaya has been absent from Paris for two years, but her track record here has been full of disappointment. Burel has been ousted from the French Open in her last three showings in Paris so home-court advantage hasn’t been advantageous!

KALINSKAYA VS BUREL PREDICTION: AN UPSET BREWING IN PARIS

• Prediction: Clara Burel Moneyline
• Best Odds: +136
• Bookmaker: Pinnacle
• Stakes: 3/10

Odds as of 7:00 am UK Time May 27, 2024. Odds may now differ.

French Open success is three words that neither Anna Kalinskaya nor Clara Burel know about in their careers.

Kalinskaya has competed twice at the Major in Paris, and she is 0 – 2 with first-round losses in 2020 and 2022. The 25-year-old Moscow native is 2 – 4 on clay in 2024, and her two wins are against 409th-ranked Carolina Kuhl and 71st-ranked Clara Tauson.

Kalinskaya’s four losses on clay are matches that anyone in the top 30 should be winning, and that gives me zero confidence that she can win this match today. Being favored at Roland Garros doesn’t mean anything to me so I am calling for the upset to happen in this first-round battle.

Clara Burel knows she can beat Kalinskaya because she’s already done it in their only meeting in 2021. Kalinskaya was the favorite that day too, and what did that get her? An exit in qualifying at the Australian Open against the Mademoiselle  

Burel had a nice little run in Strasbourg earning wins over Svitolina and Kat Pliskova before falling to Danielle Collins in the quarterfinals. Clara is 5 – 5 on clay this season, and Kalinskaya has only played 6 matches on the dirt in 2024.

Clara Burel has the goods to get past Kalinskaya in this first-round affair at Roland Garros, so the +136 line at Pinnacle is the play to make on the French native to win.

ANNA KALINSKAYA RECENT FORM

Kalinskaya is 1 – 4 on clay over her last 5 matches and has a 38 – 40 record on the dirt in her career. 

Anna has one W60 ITF title run on clay in 2019 at Saint Gaudens, and she was 7 – 3 last year on this surface.

CLARA BUREL RECENT FORM

Burel is 0 – 3 at the French Open the last three years after making a run to the third round in 2020. Clara has played doubles at the Major five times, and only once has she advanced past the first round.

Burel has two clay titles in her career, the most recent win from a W60 event at Montpelier last season. Ironically, all five career titles have come from tournaments played in France, so she does tend to play well on home soil.

KALINSKAYA VS BUREL H2H –  STAT OF THE MATCH

Kalinskaya and Burel met at the 2021 Australian Open, and Clara earned the win in their qualifying match in three sets. 

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