Aneta Kucmova vs Silvia Ambrosio Prediction, Picks, Odds, H2H, Stats - 4/11/25

A pair of qualifiers square off in the quarterfinals of the WTA75 Bellinzona ITF event on Friday, and Silvia Ambrosio is favored to advance past Aneta Kucmova.

With a mere -128 on the Italian to reach the semifinals, Ambrosio was a +290 underdog against Panna Udvardy, flying high with momentum coming into this quarter-final affair in Switzerland.

EJ Garr’s prediction for Aneta Kucmova vs. Silvia Ambrosio features odds of -116, which can be found below.

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Aneta Kucmova vs Silvia Ambrosio WTA75 Bellinzona ITF Prediction: Semifinals In The Balance

• Prediction: Silvia Ambrosio -0.5 Game
• Best Odds: -116
• Bookmaker: Pinnacle
• Stakes: 3/10

Odds as of 7:00 am UK Time on April 11, 2025. Odds may now differ.

Silvia Ambrosio was slightly favored against Jenny Duerst and was a massive underdog against Panna Udvardy in the second round. Admittedly, I thought Duerst might get the better of Ambrosio in the first round, and then the effort against Udvardy has my Italian eyes smiling.

Ambrosio now plays under the Italian flag, and the German native is only laying a half-game at -116 odds. The -128 offer on the outright win for Ambrosio isn’t too full of juice, but it’s a little out of my comfort zone regarding my ROI%. 

I am also happy to see that Ambrosio has taken wins from the two previous meetings between them, which I will get more into later.

Kucmova has only had success on the clay, which does give her a fighter’s chance to win on this surface. Hard courts have been a sore spot for the Czech Republic native who lost both of her outings to start the 2025 season. Kucmova has only played five matches this year, and that is another concern, having limited outings.

Ambrosio is already 4 – 1 on the clay, and my gut tells me she will be a semifinalist. Being ranked 415th has no bearing against 365th-ranked Kucmova, and this is undoubtedly a match that could go either way.

I don’t think Kucmova has enough experience to upset Ambrosio, who is searching for her third clay title at the ITF level. A tiny half-game spread at -116 on the Italian will do for me to end the week.

ANETA KUCMOVA RECENT FORM

Aneta Kucmova finished the 2024 campaign with one win from her last four outings, and the  365th-ranked Czech native started 2025 0 – 3.

Kucmova ended last year’s clay swing with a title in France, and all four of her ITF tourney wins have come on the dirt.

SILVIA AMBROSIO RECENT FORM

Silvia Ambrosio was ranked  279th two years ago, but was limited to 40 outings in 2024.

Currently ranked 415th, the German native is 14 – 6 this season with a 5 – 3 clay court record, and has two clay titles to her credit.

KUCMOVA VS AMBROSIO H2H –  STAT OF THE MATCH

Aneta Kucmova and Silvia Ambrosio met twice during the 2023 campaign, and the Italian won both affairs in three sets.

The winner of this match will face Lois Boisson or Marie Benoit in the semifinals.

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