UFC Fight Night Best Bets: Kattar vs Chikadze

The UFC is back with more action this Saturday Night, and there are some very interesting fights on the docket. There are a total 10 of fights this weekend, with the preliminary event starting at 21:00 (UK). Here are some of the most interesting ones that made it to the ‘Best Bets’ section.

• Calvin Kattar vs Giga Chikadze
• Jake Collier vs Chase Sherman
• Joanderson Brito vs Bill Algeo
• Court McGee vs Ramiz Brahimaj

The UFC Best Bets are now at 60.33 units of profit with a 24.33% yield, and with UFC 270 right around the corner, stay tuned for more UFC Best Bets.

UFC Fight Night Best Bets:

Odds available as at 3 pm January 13th 2022. Odds may now differ

Calvin Kattar vs Giga Chikadze

Calvin Kattar started his professional MMA career back in 2007 and has amassed an impressive record of 22 wins and 5 losses. His UFC record is less impressive, but he holds notable victories over Shane Burgos, Dan Ige and Jeremy Stephens. Although Kattar started his MMA journey as a high school wrestler, he mostly relies on his boxing nowadays, paired with an occasional calf kick. His form has not been up to par recently, and he is coming off a difficult decision loss to Max Halloway. The fight was basically a boxing match where Kattar landed just 133 significant strikes whilst receiving 445.

Giga Chikadze has only been in the UFC for just 2 years, but he has made a reputation for himself as a very dangerous striker and knockout artist. With KO/TKO victories in all 3 of his last bouts, he is coming into this one as the favourite to take the victory in this 5-round main event. Chikadze is a highly-skilled and technical fighter with a 7-centimetre reach advantage, and his current form is impeccable. His striking is very precise and technical, whilst his defence is also at a very high level, blocking almost 70% of significant strikes. Kicks will be his biggest advantage in this one, as Kattar has had a problem with defending kicks, especially to the body.

Tip: Giga Chikadze to Win at 1.42 odds

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Jake Collier vs Chase Sherman

Jake Collier only started training martial arts at the age of 20, and his performance in the UFC has been rocky, to say the least. With 4 wins and 5 losses, he is still fighting to get his name on the UFC rankings. In his most recent loss against Carlos Felipe, Collier showed incredible improvements in his striking technique, and actually outlanded his opponent in 2 out of 3 rounds. But Collier used to compete in the middleweight division and his movement and overall agility are much better than that of an average UFC Heavyweight fighter. That said, he does have knockout power (5 KO/TKO wins) but has also suffered 3 TKO losses in his career.

Chase Sherman has been in the UFC since 2014 and is known in the heavyweight division as a very dangerous striker and knockout artist. Shermans holds 14 KO/TKO victories in his career, the most recent one being against Ike Villanueva. But Sherman suffered unanimous decision losses in his last 2 bouts against Parker Porter and Andrei Arlovski, whilst the latter was a short-notice replacement. Sherman is not a very skilled fighter, and his head movement and striking defence are subpar. In fact, he absorbs 6.33 significant strikes per minute, most of which are to the head. For reference, Stipe Miocic absorbs 3.82, whilst UFC Heavyweight champion  Francis Ngannou absorbs 2.04. Sherman has suffered 4 KO/TKO losses in his career, and his lack of defence puts him at risk each time he fights.

With a combined 7 KO/TKO losses between these two and the fact they are both heavy hitters, the best value bet would be against the FTGTD market. Betting on Collier to win also isn’t a bad call, but the odds aren’t good enough to make it a ‘best bet’.

Tip: Fight to go the Distance – NO at 2.10 odds

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Joanderson Brito vs Bill Algeo

Joanderson Brito made his way to the UFC through Dana White’s Contender Series by defeating Diego Lopes by decision. This will be his first appearance in an official UFC event, but a lot of bettors are backing him to come out as the victor in his debut. Why? At just 26 years of age, Brito is the younger fighter with an excellent record, and he hasn’t lost since 2015. His striking is sharp, his grappling is elite, and his cardio is relentless. He was dominant in his most recent fight against Lopes, landing 44 significant strikes and 3 takedowns. Brito is in excellent shape at the moment, and his cardio will be his biggest strength against the 32-year old Algeo.

Meanwhile, Bill Algeo will have his 4th career UFC performance this Saturday, looking to earn his first victory since November 2020. In fact, he hasn’t fought in 7 months, and he turns 33 in June. Despite having a black belt in BJJ, Algeo is mostly striking oriented, and his takedown defence is subpar, allowing 8 takedowns in his most recent fight against Ricardo Ramos. Algeo has also struggled with his cardio recently, even in 3-round fights, which will give Brito an excellent opportunity to finish the fight in the later rounds. There aren’t many ways in which Algeo can come out on top, and I expect Brito to get the job done in his UFC debut.

Tip: Joanderson Brito to win at 1.73 odds. 

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Court McGee vs Ramiz Brahimaj

Court McGee has been in the UFC since 2010 and with an MMA record of 20 wins and 10 losses, he is one of the veterans of the sport. But his recent form has been disappointing, winning just 1 fight in the last 2 years against a 39-year old Claudio Silva. McGee isn’t a finisher, with only one finish since his official UFC debut in 2010, and it’s unlikely he will be able to put away the younger Brahimaj. McGee is a solid fighter with solid striking defence, but relying on a decision victory isn’t something he can do against a younger and more active opponent, and I simply don’t see a way in which he can get the job done here.

Ramiz Brahimaj suffered a difficult loss to max Griffin due to a doctor’s stoppage in his UFC debut but bounced back with an impressive submission victory over Sasha Palatinkov last year. Brahimaj is a relentless grappler with solid cardio and excellent submission ability. What’s more, all 9 of his career victories have come by submission, and he has yet to be knocked out or submitted. All the indicators point to Brahimaj coming out on top in this fight, despite the bookies originally placing him as an underdog. He is now available at 1.92 to win, still providing solid betting value.

Tip: Ramiz Brahimaj to Win at 1.92 odds

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