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Horse Racing Fortinet Championship Best Bet: 76.00 Pick For This Weekend’s Action
Fortinet Championship Best Bet: Thursday, September 14th
Silverado Resort & Spa is the host course for the Fortinet Championship. We have analysed the betting markets to bring you our Fortinet Championship best bet.
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Fortinet Championship Preview
Thursday, 14th September, 12:00 (UK)
Silverado Resort & Spa hosts the Fortinet Championship once again, having done so for each Fortinet Championship since 2014.
At 7,123 yards, Silverado is a stock par 72. However, it should be noted that the card of the course has been altered this week, with several holes on the front nine switching to the back nine and vice versa. If you are betting in-play, be aware that there are now three par five holes on the back nine.
Silverado is a tree lined test with smaller than average greens. Players often refer to the need to keep the ball in the fairway to attack the smaller greens but power players can compete here too. Recent winners include Cameron Champ, Kevin Tway and Max Homa, all longer than average off the tee.
Scoring has generally been good at Silverado, Stewart Cink’s winning score of 21 under par in 2021 being the best score in recent years. The rough is slightly shorter than last year so a winning score of around 20 under par is expected.
This is the first tournament of the FedExCup Fall, a new name for the Fall Swing on the PGA Tour. Players who finished outside the top 70 in the FedExCup rankings are fighting to finish inside the top 125 in the rankings at the end of November. Opportunities also exist for players to play their way into cash rich designated events on next year’s PGA Tour schedule.
Fortinet Championship Best Bet
There is always a certain amount of trepidation betting on an event where most of the players have been out of action for four weeks. Looking through social media accounts gives a flavour of what players have been up to in the intervening period but it is always hard to gauge whether players have had their feet up after a long season or whether they have been applying themselves in an effort to finish the year strongly.
Players who have shown in the past that they have the ability to play well after a few weeks off are always preferred in these circumstances. Luke List certainly ticks that box, having recorded two of his three career victories when having at least one week off prior. In four of the last five years, List’s best performance has come when fresh off at least a week off. Notably, one of those performances was a win on the Korn Ferry Tour when play resumed after the hiatus in 2020.
There is also plenty to suggest that List is comfortable in California. A win in the state last year at the Farmers Insurance Open was impressive, not least for the fact that six of the top ten in the world were teeing it up that week. The field strength this week is significantly weaker and aside from Max Homa, Justin Thomas and Sahith Theegala, there aren’t too many players with better credentials than List.
List has plenty of course experience, having made five cuts from seven appearances. A fourth place finish in 2018 was the highlight of those efforts. Neither missed cut was by a significant margin either, both coming when he was largely out of form. Seven of the last eight winners of this event had played at Silverado previously, so course experience is valued highly. Take List at 76.00 with bet365 for eight each way places in the outright market.
Those of you looking for an alternative to the outright market are directed to the Top Korean specials market offered by bet365. Favourite in that market is KH Lee but he looks readily opposable given he has three missed cuts from three starts in this event. To compound matters, Lee missed seven of his eight cuts prior to the start of the FedEx Cup Playoffs. It is possible that he has rectified matters in the intervening period but his track record at this course suggests this may not be the place to do so.
The Top Korean market becomes of greater interest with the inclusion of Sung Kang and Sangmoon Bae. The latter is a past winner of this event but has missed the cut in his last four starts here. He has also struggled this year when making starts on the PGA Tour. It is a similar story for Kang too, five missed cuts in eleven PGA Tour starts in 2023 with four cuts missed here at Silverado over the years.
That leaves S.H. Kim and Seung Yul Noh as the two remaining options in the betting and it is Noh who I prefer at odds of 4.5 with bet365. Noh has missed only two cuts in fourteen PGA Tour starts this season, whilst Kim missed four of five cuts prior to the break. Kim was in action last week on the Korean Tour, missing the cut by two strokes and that doesn’t suggest his game has improved.
- Selection: Luke List EW (1/5 1-8)
- Best Odds: 76.00 (bet365)
- Stakes: 1/10
Odds via bet365 as at 09.45 September 13th 2023. Odds may now differ.
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