Why Now Is The Perfect Time To Bet on Liverpool's Treble

What appeared to be a challenging run of Premier League fixtures for Liverpool has actually propelled the Reds towards an almost certain league triumph. 

After playing five Premier League games in just 14 days, Arne Slot’s men have extended their lead over Arsenal. Initially, they had a six-point advantage with a game in hand before facing Everton, but now enjoy a 13-point lead, although the Gunners have played one game less.

With the Premier League title nearly secured, Liverpool have a historic chance of adding the League Cup and Champions League to their trophy cabinet. 

As European football expert Daniele Fisichella suggests, now might be the perfect time to bet on this possibility.

It’s not if but when for Slot’s men

Following their 2-0 victory over Newcastle and Arsenal’s draw against Nottingham Forest, Liverpool have a 98.8% chance of claiming the league title, according to BETSiE. Due to Champions League commitments, the Carabao Cup final, and an international break, Liverpool will play only one league match in March, facing Southampton.

No team in English top-flight history has ever been so far ahead at this stage without winning the title. 

Therefore Liverpool could be crowned champions on 5 April if they win their next three games, Arsenal lose them all and Nottingham Forest and Manchester City also drop points.

More realistically, the Reds might clinch the title on 26 April against Tottenham or the following weekend away at Chelsea.

Squad rotation will be key

Emerging strongly after a challenging period is likely to boost Liverpool’s belief that they can secure more than just one major trophy this season. 

They are still in pursuit of Premier League records, such as equalling their own achievement of clinching the title with seven games to spare in the 2019-20 season. 

However, would manager Arne Slot consider resting key players, like the ever present Virgil Van Dijk, in league matches to concentrate on the other two cup competitions?

Their recent, shock elimination by Plymouth Argyle in the FA Cup likely serves as a reminder to the Dutch manager about the risks of making too many changes to his starting XI. It’s improbable that the former Feynoord boss will repeat this mistake in the Carabao Cup and Champions League.

Difficult, but not impossible

This brings us to the prospect of betting on Liverpool to secure the Treble. 

The club has achieved this feat three times in its history—1984, 2001, and 2020. However, only in 1984 did it include both the league and the Champions League (then the European Cup). 

Much like this season, when Arne Slot replaced Jürgen Klopp, who managed the club for nine years, 1983 saw Joe Fagan take over from the legendary Bob Paisley, who had also been at the helm for nine seasons. Feels like an encouraging sign for Liverpool fans, doesn’t it?

Back in 1984, Liverpool played a total of 67 matches, having been eliminated in the FA Cup fourth round by Brighton & Hove Albion, then a second-division side—coincidentally similar to Plymouth Argyle’s status this season. 

The League Cup ties were contested over two legs, and they faced Everton in a final replay after a goalless draw in the first encounter. 

If Liverpool reach the Champions League final this season, they will have played 61 games across all competitions—a significant number, though fewer than in the 1983-84 season (67 in total). 

Moreover, they have the advantage of a larger squad, contrasting with only 20 first-team players available in 1983-84. 

Don’t be put off by the high odds

Betting on Liverpool to win three major trophies could be a smart pick, considering Slot’s men have an excellent record against Newcastle who they’ll face in the League Cup final on 16 March. 

Liverpool haven’t lost in 17 matches against the Magpies, with their last defeat coming in 2015 at St James’ Park. 

They convincingly beat Eddie Howe’s side on Wednesday (xG of 1.46 vs. 0.46), and they also dominated the expected goals battle (2.23 vs. 1.52) in a thrilling 3-3 draw back in December.

Liverpool have won the League Cup twice in the last three campaigns, and all the players who started in last season’s final at Wembley remain at the club, providing a wealth of experience. 

This contrasts sharply with Newcastle United, who lost the final in 2023 against Manchester United, managing only three shots on target with an xG of 1.68 compared to United’s 2.07, and now have a significantly altered squad.

Liverpool are heavy favourites to win the EFL Cup (1.30, implied probability 77%), making a bet on them to win the treble at 8.00 (implied probability of 12.5%) an attractive proposition. 

Before their league success against Newcastle, the odds were 9.00, indicating that bookmakers see the treble as a real possibility for the Merseyside club. 

According to BETSiE, they have a 14.1% chance of winning the final in Munich at the end of May.

But, in terms of odds, it’s more advantageous to bet on Liverpool’s treble rather than placing separate bets on the League Cup final and the Champions League victory. 

BETSiE also suggests Liverpool have a 54% chance of advancing to the quarter-finals against PSG. If they defeat the French side, they will face either Club Bruges or Aston Villa, offering a relatively straightforward path to the semi-finals. 

It’s a long shot, but with the Round of 16 approaching, now seems the perfect time to place this bet.

Safer Gambling

At bettingexpert, we always take a safe approach to gambling. We’ll never bet more than we can afford or chase losses. For more advice, head to our Safer Gambling hub.