Why Kolo Muani's Arrival Makes Juventus a Smart Value Bet in Serie A & Coppa Italia

Still unbeaten in Serie A, Juventus are not just targeting a top-four finish but also aiming to add more silverware to their already illustrious trophy cabinet. With Kolo Muani joining their ranks, could the French international be the missing piece in their pursuit of domestic success?

More Than Just a Goalscorer

Juventus have struggled with a lack of cutting edge in front of goal this season. With an expected goals (xG) tally of 29.5, they currently rank just 32nd among Europe’s top five leagues in terms of attacking output.

The arrival of Kolo Muani brings hope for a turnaround. The former PSG forward is known for his vertical play, excelling at exploiting space and creating opportunities for teammates. Over the past seven seasons, Muani has netted 45 goals across spells with Nantes, Eintracht Frankfurt, and PSG from an xG of 47.35—demonstrating his reliability in front of goal.

Muani isn’t just about scoring; his creative influence is notable too. Since 2018, he has registered 22.10 expected assists, showcasing his ability to contribute beyond goals. His movement and ability to stretch defenses could offer a much-needed solution for Juventus, who often struggle against deep-lying opposition.

Betting Value on Juventus’ Top-Four Finish and Coppa Italia Triumph

Despite their attacking struggles, Juventus remain solid defensively, boasting the sixth-best defensive xGA (expected goals against) in Europe’s top five leagues. This defensive strength makes them a strong contender for a top-four Serie A finish.

Current odds for Juventus to secure a Champions League spot stand at 2.00, implying a 50% chance. Our data-driven projections suggest they have a 44.2% likelihood of finishing in the top four, potentially amassing 67.4 points—just enough to edge out AC Milan.

Historically, Juventus have been a consistent top-four presence, missing out only due to a points deduction in 2022/23. Without that penalty, they would have equaled Inter Milan’s fourth-place finish.

Juventus could also challenge the Serie A draw record for a 20-team season, set at 19 draws by Udinese last term. If they maintain their current unbeaten form, their chances of finishing in the top four become even stronger.

In addition to their league campaign, Juventus have their sights set on the Coppa Italia. Inter Milan, the last elite side to record a high number of draws, won the Coppa Italia in 2004/05, a feat the Bianconeri could replicate with Muani’s influence in attack.

With only one domestic defeat so far—to AC Milan in the Super Cup—Juventus are well-positioned for a strong league finish and a serious push for silverware.

Odds courtesy of bet365. Correct at time of publishing and subject to change.

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